{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:10.017Z", "seo": { "title": "India exports to Saudi Arabia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from India to Saudi Arabia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "IND", "country_name": "India" }, "importer": { "iso3": "SAU", "country_name": "Saudi Arabia" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "all_history_lane_count": 1469, "current_lane_count": 1420, "current_product_count": 1420, "first_observed_last_year": 1998, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 11650376617.122921, "attention_trade_usd": 6408239085.138643, "critical_trade_usd": 197411923.34689832, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 7770246781.635243, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 1113262986.795551, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 2651491.4687079, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 6379170500.967321, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 11, "high_attention_lane_count": 312, "high_volatility_lane_count": 973, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 541, "declining_demand_lane_count": 1, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 725, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.423365837117005, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 15.643900715468225, "product_concentration_hhi": 402.31322502742063, "top1_product_share_pct": 11.847548011976828, "top3_product_share_pct": 30.867035921566327, "top_product_hs6": "100630", "top_product_trade_usd": 1380283963.2897599, "top_product_description": "Cereals: rice, semi-milled or wholly milled, whether or not polished or glazed", "top_attention_product_hs6": "100630", "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "distance_km": 3053.153076171875, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 9.92094824989899, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.92094824989899, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 10.4, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 833541.2365690001, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 23586, "buyer_population_latest": 35340.679, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 6.8811275779533165, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.503293336407065, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 3.2635041192047964, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 26.332, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 43.605999999999995, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 55.00456591008616, "critical_trade_share_pct": 1.6944681690097114, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "declining_buyer_demand", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 833541.2365690001, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 23586, "buyer_population_2024": 35340.679 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 501616861.552888, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 588141714.8200742, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.24919154418485, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 672743653.1533961, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.384617890809448, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 806679223.6940262, "yoy_growth_pct": 19.90885680048038, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.159159759619257 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 763226568.8398261, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.386608899534739, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.074651048755712 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 809873974.5847192, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.111868696578715, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.379010077408664 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 769114982.2831495, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.032757389502452, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.5769543499302596 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 894418006.4779997, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.291845443302, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.42954960094606 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 1109559550.1481981, "yoy_growth_pct": 24.053802820604364, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.065128713223714 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 1417843873.1313028, "yoy_growth_pct": 27.78438732215218, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.61559590644162 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 1710417543.020648, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.635111907152194, "cagr_3y_pct": 24.1234589190374 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 2435928343.951938, "yoy_growth_pct": 42.41717491098791, "cagr_3y_pct": 29.968457405387362 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 3222619940.1118627, "yoy_growth_pct": 32.29535048160046, "cagr_3y_pct": 31.48016074868536 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 5485183461.867571, "yoy_growth_pct": 70.20882275299181, "cagr_3y_pct": 47.46750705817868 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 3908036130.180511, "yoy_growth_pct": -28.75286383128706, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.06615485418206 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 4341771441.962222, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.098549177478478, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.44666905599383 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 5036865605.706425, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.009460033438838, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.8022074691065213 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 8312555900.661843, "yoy_growth_pct": 65.03430012594113, "cagr_3y_pct": 28.605241589156762 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 11539540097.62548, "yoy_growth_pct": 38.82060145552473, "cagr_3y_pct": 38.51830893828534 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 12141295945.839209, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.214729903642801, "cagr_3y_pct": 34.08130472875997 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 6863861653.965997, "yoy_growth_pct": -43.46681207191705, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.183769140069817 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 5177766128.301397, "yoy_growth_pct": -24.564823865445472, "cagr_3y_pct": -23.44304643965076 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 5285529303.83316, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.0812677293926996, "cagr_3y_pct": -24.210714421119693 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 5466694184.914671, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.427563649115073, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.305901293473404 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 6252996638.172659, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.383509057956601, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.49157616799354 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 6255522037.319282, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.0403870222991376, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.777108518059437 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 8148549326.808215, "yoy_growth_pct": 30.261699634266883, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.231314164702248 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 10318987378.175266, "yoy_growth_pct": 26.635882834094726, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.172465171267294 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 10957517914.984999, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.187918575811313, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.54509502894635 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 12265424224.576515, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.936154882328642, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.604259217200655 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "hs_code": "100630", "hs_description": "Cereals: rice, semi-milled or wholly milled, whether or not polished or glazed", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1826193691.1219864, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5537732146166015, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "hs_code": "880240", "hs_description": "Aeroplanes and other aircraft: of an unladen weight exceeding 15,000kg", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2153433903.471298, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.2848999570165462, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "hs_code": "870322", "hs_description": "Vehicles: with only spark-ignition internal combustion piston engine, cylinder capacity over 1000 but not over 1500cc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 6708276932.4925785, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4729420601456131, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "hs_code": "290220", "hs_description": "Cyclic hydrocarbons: benzene", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 598181940.2696967, "current_below_peak_pct": 28.42919171133494, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8742746574190056, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "hs_code": "740811", "hs_description": "Copper: wire, of refined copper, of which the maximum cross-sectional dimension exceeds 6mm", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1932692661.2669134, "current_below_peak_pct": 33.14649600103311, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.9318618688779927, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "hs_code": "851712", "hs_description": "Telephones for cellular networks or for other wireless networks", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 4424509393.092547, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1867274034866602, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "hs_code": "730511", "hs_description": "Iron or steel (excluding cast iron): line pipe of a kind used for oil or gas pipelines (not seamless), longitudinally submerged arc welded, having circular cross-sections, external diameter exceeds 406.4mm", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 968073198.1321609, "current_below_peak_pct": 24.8251865452797, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3766053289567275, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "hs_code": "020230", "hs_description": "Meat: of bovine animals, boneless cuts, frozen", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 515638580.8868074, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8800771888860759, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "hs_code": "843049", "hs_description": "Boring and sinking machinery: not self-propelled", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 834341966.8081107, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.9581280441793436, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "hs_code": "271019", "hs_description": "", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 912474683.1158794, "current_below_peak_pct": 95.80574710783534, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.755115710624458, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "distance_km": 3060, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 833541.2365690001, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 23585.886297459085, "importer_population": 35340.679, "importer_biz_entry_days": 10.4, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 5.4, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 3173397.5908170003, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2277.434305882774, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 9.92094824989899, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.92094824989899, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IND-SAU/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IND-SAU/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IND-SAU/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IND-SAU/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IND-SAU/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }