{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:09.997Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "India exports to Sri Lanka: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from India to Sri Lanka, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "IND",
    "country_name": "India"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "LKA",
    "country_name": "Sri Lanka"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "IND",
    "importer_iso3": "LKA",
    "all_history_lane_count": 290,
    "current_lane_count": 283,
    "current_product_count": 283,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2008,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 3203084056.182552,
    "attention_trade_usd": 2702554475.3785024,
    "critical_trade_usd": 597961978.4239545,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 1320875345.1732993,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 1261329419.0558758,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 2884510645.681849,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 15,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 113,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 138,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 113,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 225,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.0426382410922488,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 34.79744618762965,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 457.03924177709655,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 16.532659057004224,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 29.13557514447739,
    "top_product_hs6": "271019",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 529554966.317923,
    "top_product_description": "",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "271019",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
    "distance_km": 2431.21484375,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.03355159983038902,
    "has_reported_fta": 1,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 20.983399004242422,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 21.97737046626262,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 14.882070684646465,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 7.095299781616155,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 8,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 84518.83039300001,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 3815,
    "buyer_population_latest": 22156,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 2.1452073861579324,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.039656303460391,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.1034412369869564,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 29.916000000000004,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 23.772,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 84.3735109030956,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 18.668319904679866,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Critical attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 84518.83039300001,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 3815,
    "buyer_population_2024": 22156
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 421534757.7475589,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 503766239.8164928,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 19.50763977526597,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 524403913.97646606,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.096676698202506,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 508323185.81159526,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.0664775254885757,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.439340833152385
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 526953859.2670041,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.6651236802552667,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.5113281357572728
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 620808814.9148273,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 17.81084890020088,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.786597828362594
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 641267273.1545435,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.2954522790600294,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.052060320094423
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 855275742.1322349,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 33.37274143508584,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 17.51983913846051
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 1156890315.3786523,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 35.265185061192184,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.058448953050604
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 1415636851.138655,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 22.36569295467863,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 30.20797786432197
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 1717019307.9680734,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 21.289531745871425,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 26.150702924599976
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 1973253591.780909,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 14.923203403930518,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.48046537257828
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 2739059579.9430466,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 38.80930415390649,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 24.60913268703098
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 2853997353.664674,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.196249492463289,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.456654350117052
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 1737442472.2532082,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -39.12249182634153,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.1535914941115415
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 2985360326.023426,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 71.82498837799511,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.911780623479765
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 4451668351.439514,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 49.11661793835273,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 15.972871900952157
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 3697079678.783048,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -16.95069383172847,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 28.622256847770156
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 4348654339.77605,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 17.624036201661664,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.358139780946043
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 6395771864.82289,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 47.074735426137934,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.838348377958898
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 5184932724.509243,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -18.93186883311664,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.933849146080533
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 4147871940.9135528,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -20.001431815951843,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.5633518665420731
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 4409866221.822767,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6.316354136321567,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.655913669628404
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 4777264438.361614,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.331278049223624,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.6927082832389537
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 3889552266.4263897,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -18.58201871361489,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.1205717075601482
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 3183006487.204478,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -18.16522136289651,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.297605476307204
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 4729423466.238466,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 48.583532118156384,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.33493062253543426
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 5681298592.935145,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 20.12666308043145,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.461712577674255
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 3505678132.148076,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -38.29442204450431,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.2709499492590055
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 4218522435.9898877,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 20.333991797616125,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.7389221035483033
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "hs_code": "271019",
      "hs_description": "",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1712854402.8846922,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 53.13916438497868,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8332588048540653,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "hs_code": "271012",
      "hs_description": "",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 808205511.1492975,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 63.73108808652223,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1240610576474828,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "hs_code": "170199",
      "hs_description": "Sugars: sucrose, chemically pure, in solid form, not containing added flavouring or colouring matter",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 340073916.57369614,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 33.708219483227786,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9742809230528908,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "hs_code": "300490",
      "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 292913935.2022579,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 17.427105837552762,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6956954460892124,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "hs_code": "890120",
      "hs_description": "Tankers",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 127550991.49819286,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 18.100795223825383,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2974707320707706,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "hs_code": "600622",
      "hs_description": "Fabrics: knitted or crocheted fabrics, other than those of headings 60.01 to 60.04, of cotton, dyed",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 136112559.239183,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 5.766352344356407,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1076775655748539,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "hs_code": "100630",
      "hs_description": "Cereals: rice, semi-milled or wholly milled, whether or not polished or glazed",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 92190627.97436553,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 65.71346967582728,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5922639497643238,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "hs_code": "890520",
      "hs_description": "Floating or submersible drilling or production platforms",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 77223432.85720144,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 78.04278522808761,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6125608257945812,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "hs_code": "090421",
      "hs_description": "Spices: fruits of the genus Capsicum or Pimenta, dried, neither crushed nor ground",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 78662443.49439247,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 27.389294943150013,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6980176649143449,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "hs_code": "600410",
      "hs_description": "Fabrics: knitted or crocheted fabrics of a width exceeding 30 cm, other than those of heading 60.01, containing by weight 5% or more of elastomeric yarn but not containing rubber thread",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 313193826.82315195,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 20.749992905392475,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4468715004290196,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "IND",
    "importer_iso3": "LKA",
    "distance_km": 2422,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 1,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 2,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 84518.830393,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 3814.715219037733,
    "importer_population": 22156,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 8,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 8.7,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 3173397.5908170003,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2277.434305882774,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 20.983399004242422,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 21.97737046626262,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 14.882070684646465,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 7.095299781616155
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IND-LKA/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IND-LKA/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IND-LKA/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IND-LKA/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IND-LKA/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}