{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:09.989Z", "seo": { "title": "India exports to Iran: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from India to Iran, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "IND", "country_name": "India" }, "importer": { "iso3": "IRN", "country_name": "Iran" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "all_history_lane_count": 398, "current_lane_count": 287, "current_product_count": 287, "first_observed_last_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 1678146686.2089086, "attention_trade_usd": 1546804854.9701846, "critical_trade_usd": 1095490134.214003, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 1400269289.8376667, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 1294433514.6592574, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 1519147104.8731956, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 4, "high_attention_lane_count": 60, "high_volatility_lane_count": 200, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 230, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 190, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.2369197594493901, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 51.23298910391175, "product_concentration_hhi": 3040.558583366537, "top1_product_share_pct": 53.39271123613898, "top3_product_share_pct": 71.19875098206602, "top_product_hs6": "100630", "top_product_trade_usd": 896008014.2863578, "top_product_description": "Cereals: rice, semi-milled or wholly milled, whether or not polished or glazed", "top_attention_product_hs6": "100630", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": 2544.59228515625, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 57.04679814121213, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 57.04679814121213, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 72.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 231547.57124000002, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 2757, "buyer_population_latest": 85028.763, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 6.431909337919595, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.360726244823533, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.0166815769729887, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 39.459999999999994, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 40.714000000000006, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 92.17339983935268, "critical_trade_share_pct": 65.27976029847656, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 231547.57124000002, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 2757, "buyer_population_2024": 85028.763 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 186223117.57068303, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 271775039.1299683, "yoy_growth_pct": 45.94054845355764, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 209481837.61706722, "yoy_growth_pct": -22.920869301433978, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 186209633.46160176, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.109413789851818, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.0024136699969146136 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 171455276.588686, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.923519636785203, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.234275082609106 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 207793955.69670704, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.194261168873794, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.26930507248650315 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 516756978.8974419, "yoy_growth_pct": 148.68720418975644, "cagr_3y_pct": 40.52752640261828 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 511213884.72974104, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.0726694353557997, "cagr_3y_pct": 43.92975801539318 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 906045243.2643654, "yoy_growth_pct": 77.23408348804071, "cagr_3y_pct": 63.37000587586361 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 1162449552.2710564, "yoy_growth_pct": 28.299283166357014, "cagr_3y_pct": 31.02754019266145 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 1019961230.8045805, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.257591840273774, "cagr_3y_pct": 25.890707563553427 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 1647666981.1543076, "yoy_growth_pct": 61.54211860136796, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.0599491395822 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 1698036256.7437086, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.057005824933978, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.463875894040722 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 2236767311.7691436, "yoy_growth_pct": 31.72671095130495, "cagr_3y_pct": 29.920908156053393 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 1213888909.4971087, "yoy_growth_pct": -45.73021059857146, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.682931061115685 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 2211406000.2134233, "yoy_growth_pct": 82.17531957924939, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.20449331521187 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 2221109800.2107825, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.4388068041971005, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.23388200676041082 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 2339745425.2746787, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.341276917180671, "cagr_3y_pct": 24.450473812526386 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 4896219115.662172, "yoy_growth_pct": 109.26289940656137, "cagr_3y_pct": 30.33591959828732 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 4166974155.9935493, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.89404257533925, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.33422036769157 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 2820917886.1651797, "yoy_growth_pct": -32.302966599691416, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.4324221795556635 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 2310831122.4900584, "yoy_growth_pct": -18.08229747405179, "cagr_3y_pct": -22.14214147605472 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 2460251284.1946406, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.46607881685326, "cagr_3y_pct": -16.108192156387314 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 2727772451.839368, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.873733482565772, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.1129931901378232 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 3634857674.9731064, "yoy_growth_pct": 33.253698361902615, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.298219942679637 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 2117233019.2706501, "yoy_growth_pct": -41.75196916654198, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.881922525450754 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 1279648217.6791556, "yoy_growth_pct": -39.56035041811449, "cagr_3y_pct": -22.298842995799074 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 2027837384.0355914, "yoy_growth_pct": 58.46834747391709, "cagr_3y_pct": -17.678127902267793 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 1763285876.6986315, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.045992219084003, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.915512505216602 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 1827135232.2452521, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.621043892562925, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.6056111489663 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "hs_code": "100630", "hs_description": "Cereals: rice, semi-milled or wholly milled, whether or not polished or glazed", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1376443787.7556658, "current_below_peak_pct": 53.073620547021996, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1250933375754535, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "hs_code": "090240", "hs_description": "Tea, black: (fermented) and partly fermented tea, in immediate packings of a content exceeding 3kg", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 342460440.4176705, "current_below_peak_pct": 19.610680387890856, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9695595251564934, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "hs_code": "230400", "hs_description": "Oil-cake and other solid residues: whether or not ground or in the form of pellets, resulting from the extraction of soya-bean oil", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1203699142.444235, "current_below_peak_pct": 83.94422143809511, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.222504987841891, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "hs_code": "170113", "hs_description": "Sugars: cane sugar, raw, in solid form, as specified in Subheading Note 2 to this chapter, not containing added flavouring or colouring matter", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 376444846.04596794, "current_below_peak_pct": 66.78386504566376, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.551027818371393, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "hs_code": "080390", "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: bananas, other than plantains, fresh or dried", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 87649411.81176463, "current_below_peak_pct": 17.935979125323477, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.401672059268333, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "hs_code": "330210", "hs_description": "Odoriferous substances and mixtures: of a kind used in the food or drink industries", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 96373234.70941488, "current_below_peak_pct": 19.569383749248647, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.8312089314230688, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "hs_code": "020230", "hs_description": "Meat: of bovine animals, boneless cuts, frozen", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 329254610.52535486, "current_below_peak_pct": 73.17329737733338, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.177024247760962, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "hs_code": "071320", "hs_description": "Vegetables, leguminous: chickpeas (garbanzos), shelled, whether or not skinned or split, dried", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 74879504.49232064, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4245984056146348, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "hs_code": "281820", "hs_description": "Aluminium oxide: other than artificial corundum", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 62976891.45392913, "current_below_peak_pct": 94.13551913693986, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6466588601981564, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "hs_code": "300220", "hs_description": "Vaccines: for human medicine", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 124331334.15588409, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7530908182861704, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "distance_km": 2546, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 0, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 231547.57124, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2723.167585538084, "importer_population": 85028.763, "importer_biz_entry_days": 72.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1.1, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 3173397.5908170003, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2277.434305882774, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 57.04679814121213, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 57.04679814121213, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IND-IRN/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IND-IRN/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IND-IRN/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IND-IRN/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IND-IRN/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }