{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:09.990Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "India exports to Indonesia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from India to Indonesia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "IND",
    "country_name": "India"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "IDN",
    "country_name": "Indonesia"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "IND",
    "importer_iso3": "IDN",
    "all_history_lane_count": 1227,
    "current_lane_count": 1157,
    "current_product_count": 1157,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1997,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 5084401523.085498,
    "attention_trade_usd": 3408530249.998711,
    "critical_trade_usd": 1080379215.2417097,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 3544160142.6718464,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 1785169221.8680208,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 3745350050.8864274,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 12,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 273,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 876,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 561,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 774,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.3102485798681516,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 35.04173553162558,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 287.6952431955103,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 14.012405954314625,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 22.932341899820287,
    "top_product_hs6": "271012",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 712446981.7620958,
    "top_product_description": "",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "271012",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
    "distance_km": 4998.228515625,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 1,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 17.331165490909093,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 17.946165427272728,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 6.042297015555556,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 11.903868411717172,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 12.6,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 1186092.99132,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 4292,
    "buyer_population_latest": 276361.786,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.5254352248609075,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.701487543021109,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.7945379582891654,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 30.339999999999996,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 32.702,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 67.0389668188563,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 21.248896459815303,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Critical attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 1186092.99132,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 4292,
    "buyer_population_2024": 276361.786
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 574622446.745214,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 674031726.4405546,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 17.29992976404182,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 580383890.1248252,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -13.893683730626073,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 236551255.47557387,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -59.24227748211655,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -25.61005742695689
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 296127022.9821384,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 25.185141117425314,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -23.979176963087667
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 514425721.7193163,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 73.71792568567615,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.9415055638138408
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 509884071.7570684,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.8828582573726651,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 29.1760685201246
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 726014936.9457787,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 42.38823629926702,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 34.841167801058546
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 875967214.9218218,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 20.654158798284072,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.413948502628052
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 1111516516.4543886,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 26.89019606214247,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 29.662629619048065
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 1209484985.8425095,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.813946346081213,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.545473371652577
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 1643642791.508796,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 35.89608889306373,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.340734155980147
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 1689493705.5411434,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.7895911611219404,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.977682984336326
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 2622251494.798909,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 55.209308338855536,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 29.426921114290792
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 2467104236.8794465,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.916566669031886,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.496801113132207
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 3740871070.8559246,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 51.63003714782724,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 30.338300580561572
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 4963825112.464684,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 32.69169181307665,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.703136140514758
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 4945905340.460283,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.3610073199275643,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 26.091583955928566
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 4526156837.740226,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -8.486788036282844,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.557891761844403
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 4030522389.7064195,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -10.950447936339335,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.707165424536599
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 2668418151.8758717,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -33.794731951104794,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -18.591573226066338
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 2874167820.1909065,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.710548220127911,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -14.047039207766431
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 3775606734.2167253,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 31.363475288159904,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.1542864626536096
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 4695660318.974554,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 24.368363802823346,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.729739117219026
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 3970953494.5304036,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -15.43354449033939,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.37666925998344
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 4081392356.070223,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.7811673365587763,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.629890351908104
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 7604242910.95334,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 86.31492019245854,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 17.431994264610772
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 9234142221.116667,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 21.434077386133744,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 32.48516554492855
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 6798775400.03932,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -26.37350349129497,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.542509229055003
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 5390142420.219231,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -20.71892211370805,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.837667818538943
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "hs_code": "271012",
      "hs_description": "",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12942143525.337969,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 72.63781519218291,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4731396789007756,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "hs_code": "120242",
      "hs_description": "Ground-nuts: other than seed, not roasted or otherwise cooked, shelled, whether or not broken,",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 357160494.8927115,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7674638244607425,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "hs_code": "020230",
      "hs_description": "Meat: of bovine animals, boneless cuts, frozen",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 591933847.9623437,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 47.85646832334054,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0708711331583898,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "hs_code": "870410",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: dumpers, designed for off-highway use, for transport of goods",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 622775290.2727838,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 64.38890830280305,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9778610211057743,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "hs_code": "240120",
      "hs_description": "Tobacco: partly or wholly stemmed or stripped",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 726228445.0158358,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5950005959996514,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "hs_code": "870322",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: with only spark-ignition internal combustion piston engine, cylinder capacity over 1000 but not over 1500cc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 213021074.79748273,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 30.84157265053817,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9380335251786244,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "hs_code": "890590",
      "hs_description": "Vessels: light, fire-floats, floating cranes and other vessels, the navigability of which is subsidiary to their main function, floating docks",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 113220487.22717398,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 79.99855989687892,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.427564580830298,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "hs_code": "100640",
      "hs_description": "Cereals: rice, broken",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 213335645.29982147,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2195074294865471,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "hs_code": "110812",
      "hs_description": "Starch: maize (corn) starch",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 100564571.44430403,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.259703415190992,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "hs_code": "840734",
      "hs_description": "Engines: reciprocating piston engines, of a kind used for the propulsion of vehicles of chapter 87, of a cylinder capacity exceeding 1000cc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 96837812.9015928,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.7792624339753753,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "IND",
    "importer_iso3": "IDN",
    "distance_km": 4999,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 1,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 2,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 1186092.99132,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 4291.8125855504495,
    "importer_population": 276361.786,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 12.6,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 5.7,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 3173397.5908170003,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2277.434305882774,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 17.331165490909093,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 17.946165427272728,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 6.042297015555556,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 11.903868411717172
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IND-IDN/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IND-IDN/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IND-IDN/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IND-IDN/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IND-IDN/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}