{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:12.872Z", "seo": { "title": "India exports to Guatemala: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from India to Guatemala, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "IND", "country_name": "India" }, "importer": { "iso3": "GTM", "country_name": "Guatemala" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "all_history_lane_count": 277, "current_lane_count": 251, "current_product_count": 251, "first_observed_last_year": 1997, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 498462917.71875423, "attention_trade_usd": 405608320.85891914, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 396541396.3676369, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 36967096.9484786, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 294284752.4592173, "access_friction_trade_usd": 498462917.71875423, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 49, "high_volatility_lane_count": 168, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 76, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 132, "access_friction_lane_count": 251, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.190859111233075, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 9.55453632534718, "product_concentration_hhi": 1446.9467632139265, "top1_product_share_pct": 34.49451499978501, "top3_product_share_pct": 51.99131661804143, "top_product_hs6": "871120", "top_product_trade_usd": 171942365.9208617, "top_product_description": "Motorcycles (including mopeds) and cycles: fitted with an auxiliary motor, reciprocating internal combustion piston engine, of cylinder capacity exceeding 50cc but not exceeding 250cc, with or without side-cars: side-cars", "top_attention_product_hs6": "871120", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 15042.2998046875, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.8966810369697, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 8.8966810369697, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 15, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 85986.321551, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 5026, "buyer_population_latest": 17109.747, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 7.963421520392089, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 6.390193560081858, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.4787339957434753, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 17.206, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 4.184, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 81.37181452036798, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 85986.321551, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 5026, "buyer_population_2024": 17109.747 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 3127831.970399294, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 3520887.349877251, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.566384102397299, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 4778231.065954791, "yoy_growth_pct": 35.71098962087995, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 5257343.012955304, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.02697317034784, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.89793163550122 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 13652750.360699633, "yoy_growth_pct": 159.68916859820848, "cagr_3y_pct": 57.104758592614346 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 16709346.384960592, "yoy_growth_pct": 22.388133844881388, "cagr_3y_pct": 51.78566982501731 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 15602844.649527239, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.622052771790465, "cagr_3y_pct": 43.70740826885091 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 14510308.218771338, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.002161819184705, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.051367673878146 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 21608993.391878463, "yoy_growth_pct": 48.921670484737675, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.949445661053668 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 24698488.72519403, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.29726631540702, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.54371700181334 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 53133282.75956369, "yoy_growth_pct": 115.1276677320113, "cagr_3y_pct": 54.1333687463013 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 61311665.72961951, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.39220342749057, "cagr_3y_pct": 41.56944393067459 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 77408758.11731766, "yoy_growth_pct": 26.25453442854626, "cagr_3y_pct": 46.34343343102396 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 106899570.24580055, "yoy_growth_pct": 38.097513570477105, "cagr_3y_pct": 26.241778257902727 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 92640264.94354688, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.338973458421211, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.749875860161898 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 120632237.09621447, "yoy_growth_pct": 30.215772989990207, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.937632397076506 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 166911514.20057803, "yoy_growth_pct": 38.36393837863745, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.012142111113725 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 230294793.97974533, "yoy_growth_pct": 37.97418056072479, "cagr_3y_pct": 35.46531483415629 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 231519637.0210272, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.531858762464954, "cagr_3y_pct": 24.272437582949458 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 220395180.31340513, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.804973284668601, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.708075985119912 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 257083588.28488243, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.64664713597903, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.7361384633637584 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 246227265.24219412, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.222876736362524, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.07422774342374 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 279237767.9391153, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.406518024903292, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.20749791825952 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 304392724.1783989, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.008436224418027, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.792116252713431 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 284669456.2783212, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.4795464324299274, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.954623915801815 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 287423598.4967803, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.9674877854708663, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.967767771489414 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 523254314.60341907, "yoy_growth_pct": 82.04987946015177, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.79154978422224 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 568028706.755064, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.556908352600967, "cagr_3y_pct": 25.89538323404237 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 547496154.7640327, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.614703226589744, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.961327083506045 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 647806080.7072831, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.321576338099277, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.376868462181996 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "hs_code": "871120", "hs_description": "Motorcycles (including mopeds) and cycles: fitted with an auxiliary motor, reciprocating internal combustion piston engine, of cylinder capacity exceeding 50cc but not exceeding 250cc, with or without side-cars: side-cars", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 371193650.8608355, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.228606000016491, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "hs_code": "300490", "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 536205592.61456096, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2030725581939479, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "hs_code": "870321", "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity not exceeding 1000cc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 49416512.782431975, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7619032422775154, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "hs_code": "690721", "hs_description": "Ceramic tiles: flags and paving, hearth or wall tiles other than those of subheadings 6907.30 and 6907.40, of a water absorption coefficient by weight not over 0.5%", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 42887189.82055752, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4068730005287169, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "hs_code": "870322", "hs_description": "Vehicles: with only spark-ignition internal combustion piston engine, cylinder capacity over 1000 but not over 1500cc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 245338681.2384877, "current_below_peak_pct": 35.12786377555073, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8335285884242751, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "hs_code": "871410", "hs_description": "Motorcycles (including mopeds): parts and accessories", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 37719499.48985041, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1332988789328127, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "hs_code": "520523", "hs_description": "Cotton yarn: (not sewing thread), single, of combed fibres, 85% or more by weight of cotton, less than 232.56 but not less than 192.31 decitex (exceeding 43 but not exceeding 52 metric number), not for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 60822011.48832896, "current_below_peak_pct": 56.751293793333225, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9333817149852706, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "hs_code": "870340", "hs_description": "Vehicles: with both spark-ignition internal combustion piston engine and electric motor for propulsion, incapable of being charged by plugging to external source of electric power", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 95724574.09927346, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1443956282282362, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "hs_code": "271019", "hs_description": "", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2022120633.6693263, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6383340244057882, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "hs_code": "520942", "hs_description": "Fabrics, woven: containing 85% or more by weight of cotton, of yarns of different colours, weighing more than 200g/m2, denim", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 22366775.486343797, "current_below_peak_pct": 29.244016697418356, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7443509415412705, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "distance_km": 15039, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 85986.321551, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 5025.575278874668, "importer_population": 17109.747, "importer_biz_entry_days": 15, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 17.3, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 3173397.5908170003, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2277.434305882774, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.8966810369697, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 8.8966810369697, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IND-GTM/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IND-GTM/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IND-GTM/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IND-GTM/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IND-GTM/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }