{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:10.001Z", "seo": { "title": "India exports to Germany: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from India to Germany, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "IND", "country_name": "India" }, "importer": { "iso3": "DEU", "country_name": "Germany" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "all_history_lane_count": 1985, "current_lane_count": 1896, "current_product_count": 1896, "first_observed_last_year": 1998, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 12407662450.439062, "attention_trade_usd": 2580297367.5875335, "critical_trade_usd": 411043563.71363, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 4946349637.728145, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 1729708506.89876, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 66414357.852107696, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 2650195793.1685724, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 9, "high_attention_lane_count": 206, "high_volatility_lane_count": 951, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 828, "declining_demand_lane_count": 40, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 410, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.080805783365347, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 21.42060509274421, "product_concentration_hhi": 92.91407836017635, "top1_product_share_pct": 6.445814374365812, "top3_product_share_pct": 12.041006973057737, "top_product_hs6": "851712", "top_product_trade_usd": 799774889.7531904, "top_product_description": "Telephones for cellular networks or for other wireless networks", "top_attention_product_hs6": "851712", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 6229.63671875, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.12880000472068787, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.8971697826111114, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.8782636827160495, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.6473747314205263, "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.2308889512955234, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 8, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 4223116.205969, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 50802, "buyer_population_latest": 83129.288, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.422772294996279, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.3176380750794765, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.10175824948728263, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 22.237999999999996, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 27.802, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 20.795999068271122, "critical_trade_share_pct": 3.312820326596527, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "declining_buyer_demand", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 4223116.205969, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 50802, "buyer_population_2024": 83129.288 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 2219317078.8677244, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 2298403158.860524, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.563532257100843, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 2159974524.3926525, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.022817795660362, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 2131365785.0848515, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.3244942930910386, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.3388413299289192 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 2016533941.655232, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.387711683897933, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.267417323334266 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 2079504258.8695536, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.1227005860676726, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.2575887288064913 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 2063009981.0035174, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.7931831731377459, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.0806820742272905 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 2278314361.8504024, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.436419737637603, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.152421246594806 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 2645227766.0618014, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.104599538818665, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.351373140102858 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 3168082560.078782, "yoy_growth_pct": 19.765964985140137, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.37145964014055 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 3875262468.934264, "yoy_growth_pct": 22.32201640723328, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.370173425360715 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 4591261069.317559, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.476131774893734, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.177446475327088 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 5594866355.17353, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.859033296164654, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.873493802294043 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 6908056122.749462, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.471333973181263, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.25088345679731 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 6520946485.232781, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.603741930263995, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.406877154360728 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 7117917335.401298, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.154665684197916, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.356360063501711 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 9520468803.889221, "yoy_growth_pct": 33.75357362663824, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.284366796404433 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 7990281286.166215, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.072606814255895, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.008221006822168 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 8656539575.003162, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.338358375323507, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.740801521532425 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 8552306759.842957, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.20409332455651, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.511628055487459 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 7673043384.537052, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.281008387520119, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.3413439382347292 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 7780188957.464265, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.3963895101015034, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.4952680746618836 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 8634823084.627235, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.984747694887798, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.320585452284905 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 9526828923.181568, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.33033137809609, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.479813517852474 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 9338548670.769367, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.976316085135732, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.274665636018506 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 8824836138.698051, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.5009889671538525, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.7281989529128507 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 11121287498.922285, "yoy_growth_pct": 26.022594914300967, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.293662865647097 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 13226432266.462896, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.92896634265242, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.302073561339988 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 12937473393.44566, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.184707615748538, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.600682313460277 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 12653806382.486603, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.1925997629704708, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.397165123823088 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": "851712", "hs_description": "Telephones for cellular networks or for other wireless networks", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14342876548.75759, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7396954769226445, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": "300490", "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 26433358483.570984, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9777278958363544, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": "292429", "hs_description": "Cyclic amides (including cyclic carbamates) and their derivatives: other than the derivatives and salts of ureines, 2-acetamidobenzoic acid (N-acetylanthancillic acid), and ethinamate S", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 766053004.980715, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5410472204193397, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": "271019", "hs_description": "", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 19171045683.569923, "current_below_peak_pct": 71.4286322436368, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.304064763058325, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": "610910", "hs_description": "T-shirts, singlets and other vests: of cotton, knitted or crocheted", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2940794633.085056, "current_below_peak_pct": 24.442834143990797, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4944767816476784, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": "090111", "hs_description": "Coffee: not roasted or decaffeinated", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 4251538917.3834057, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5831717119421167, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": "870899", "hs_description": "Vehicle parts and accessories: n.e.c. in heading no. 8708", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 8682393376.931953, "current_below_peak_pct": 8.873308484979589, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8368384654691903, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": "850300", "hs_description": "Electric motors and generators: parts suitable for use solely or principally with the machines of heading no. 8501 or 8502", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 3580815070.4550815, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4620691648672983, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": "640399", "hs_description": "Footwear: n.e.c. in heading no. 6403, (not covering the ankle), outer soles of rubber, plastics or composition leather, uppers of leather", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2959080995.729001, "current_below_peak_pct": 13.478795050055107, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4696217445576957, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": "300213", "hs_description": "Blood, human or animal, antisera, other blood fractions and immunological products: immunological products, unmixed, not put up in measured doses or in forms or packings for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 961616662.8828727, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.9993656040642462, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "IND", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "distance_km": 5786, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 1, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 4223116.205968999, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 50801.7848771783, "importer_population": 83129.288, "importer_biz_entry_days": 8, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 6.5, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 3173397.5908170003, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2277.434305882774, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.8971697826111114, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.8782636827160495, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.6473747314205263, "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.2308889512955234 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IND-DEU/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IND-DEU/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IND-DEU/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IND-DEU/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IND-DEU/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }