{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:10.019Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "India exports to Canada: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from India to Canada, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "IND",
    "country_name": "India"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "CAN",
    "country_name": "Canada"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "IND",
    "importer_iso3": "CAN",
    "all_history_lane_count": 1547,
    "current_lane_count": 1510,
    "current_product_count": 1510,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2005,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 5161075594.123414,
    "attention_trade_usd": 3840966180.6725693,
    "critical_trade_usd": 181026903.39141902,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 2833328742.2121744,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 573175404.9763391,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 12614609.212058853,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 2862403123.151948,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 5161075594.123414,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 7,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 522,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 926,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 511,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 12,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1106,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 1510,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.1853446752423695,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 18.61268174757602,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 152.30981656060465,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 9.305208736799491,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 16.402568189882704,
    "top_product_hs6": "300490",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 480248857.0971981,
    "top_product_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "300490",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 11643.625,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.19550001621246338,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 5.110891145858587,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 7.513050048545457,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 4.791655203636364,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 2.7213948449090926,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 1.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 1990761.6096649999,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 52051,
    "buyer_population_latest": 38246.109,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.170733773212577,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.2307679188356975,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.8792515966772338,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23.134000000000004,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 22.016,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 74.4218159688657,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 3.5075421797259225,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "declining_buyer_demand",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 1990761.6096649999,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 52051,
    "buyer_population_2024": 38246.109
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 363705843.00023496,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 410126547.028324,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.763254954927694,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 499317060.4547848,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 21.747071500909488,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 560155012.5901914,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.184232615643964,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 15.483334721711973
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 653282406.9850843,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 16.62528983972955,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.786961777061894
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 750328093.3573474,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 14.855089519421094,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.540287117086127
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 682794515.5212572,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -9.00053968843294,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.821973986329466
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 795745528.9657216,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 16.54246056124744,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.79667906520689
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 927458150.7033532,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 16.552103272113428,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.320092493309027
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 1095523164.7526133,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 18.121034778960677,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 17.069522516105252
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 1327084523.0650687,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 21.13705723098476,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.58819506139444
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 1525979192.2723603,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 14.98733997348709,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.05510265321537
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 1643954816.440955,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.731142388181267,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.486981178818258
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 1874141123.6342852,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 14.001985023631436,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.193553083835207
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 1596773806.0002239,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -14.799702868490394,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.52311376189731
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 1759233340.5465343,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 10.174235945995203,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.2848211339766333
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 2390897997.295312,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 35.905677899018265,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.455834243592664
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 2516358094.8410544,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.247404853225368,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.370530686260754
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 2784923156.987444,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 10.672768025226297,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.545789924299935
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 2677191380.063695,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.868393160272565,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.8419392341904057
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 2885357681.5871477,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.775548026697288,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.666830034642877
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 2838353974.342797,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.629042650216439,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.6354778601155742
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 3097972180.371364,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.146787482300557,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.9863164901102985
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 3743602386.9811134,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 20.840413309726856,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.067833347114007
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 3824521721.6060324,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.161536569864553,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.451137275424372
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 3612171908.945354,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.552323352251909,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.251985961709438
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 4648630842.910697,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 28.69351072130888,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.484320340833817
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 6017139759.38404,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 29.43896735875167,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.306589877321564
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 5274395083.650743,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -12.343816255471696,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.44919423282085
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 5454640701.452654,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.4173704271912797,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.474391807572876
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "hs_code": "300490",
      "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 7905119753.1495495,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.229725665600586,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "hs_code": "711319",
      "hs_description": "Jewellery: of precious metal (excluding silver) whether or not plated or clad with precious metal, and parts thereof",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1243418816.651173,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8762051152584911,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "hs_code": "851712",
      "hs_description": "Telephones for cellular networks or for other wireless networks",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 6245560943.308793,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 21.007502490972822,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 3.0008206098210524,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "hs_code": "030617",
      "hs_description": "Crustaceans: frozen, shrimps and prawns, excluding cold-water varieties, in shell or not, smoked, cooked or not before or during smoking: in shell, cooked by steaming or by boiling in water",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 348139903.0995598,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 3.698407682489017,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7999717742536678,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "hs_code": "100630",
      "hs_description": "Cereals: rice, semi-milled or wholly milled, whether or not polished or glazed",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 409239829.550658,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 3.973380134917401,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8689277518892187,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "hs_code": "710239",
      "hs_description": "Diamonds: non-industrial, (other than unworked or simply sawn, cleaved or bruted), but not mounted or set",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 209578780.72521374,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 49.25007683524364,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6121531751865134,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "hs_code": "271019",
      "hs_description": "",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 5655694800.069544,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 72.13825517900261,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3909785446914973,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "hs_code": "630231",
      "hs_description": "Bed linen: of cotton (not printed, knitted or crocheted)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 145472428.72682667,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 20.889966911593692,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8689616129705732,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "hs_code": "870840",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: parts, gear boxes",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2279047090.3113503,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 20.435834820535987,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5972907915231422,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IND",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "hs_code": "760120",
      "hs_description": "Aluminium: unwrought, alloys",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 391631100.48424864,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.989597221795213,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "IND",
    "importer_iso3": "CAN",
    "distance_km": 11646,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 1,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 1990761.6096649999,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 52051.3501037452,
    "importer_population": 38246.109,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 1.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.3,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 3173397.5908170003,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2277.434305882774,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 5.110891145858587,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 7.513050048545457,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 4.791655203636364,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 2.7213948449090926
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IND-CAN/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IND-CAN/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IND-CAN/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IND-CAN/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IND-CAN/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}