{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:15.574Z", "seo": { "title": "Indonesia exports to World excl. Intra-EU: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Indonesia to World excl. Intra-EU, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "IDN", "country_name": "Indonesia" }, "importer": { "iso3": "WXD", "country_name": "World excl. Intra-EU" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "all_history_lane_count": 77, "current_lane_count": 44, "current_product_count": 44, "first_observed_last_year": 1999, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 127451881.23999996, "attention_trade_usd": 45768031.3, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 64994803.839999996, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 4388132.52, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 48335558.059999995, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 3, "high_volatility_lane_count": 20, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 15, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 16, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.6882329472898457, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 6.651905249849038, "product_concentration_hhi": 2683.7895617128884, "top1_product_share_pct": 39.154357491224125, "top3_product_share_pct": 76.88296958558101, "top_product_hs6": "271019", "top_product_trade_usd": 49902965.21, "top_product_description": "", "top_attention_product_hs6": "151190", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": null, "shares_land_border": null, "shares_official_language": null, "common_spoken_language_score": null, "has_reported_fta": null, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": null, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": null, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": null, "buyer_population_latest": null, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": null, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": null, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": null, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": null, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Macro trend unavailable", "attention_trade_share_pct": 35.91004766247106, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": null, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": null, "buyer_population_2024": null }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 18966799, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 20145855, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.216420598963479, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 44457997, "yoy_growth_pct": 120.6806164344973, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 31547247.000000007, "yoy_growth_pct": -29.04033215891394, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.48293618218073 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 34496799, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.349633582924021, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.636683376601738 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 46655232, "yoy_growth_pct": 35.245104915386506, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.6210053324316354 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 65685794, "yoy_growth_pct": 40.789770373449215, "cagr_3y_pct": 27.69385432288245 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 52072117.00000001, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.72545092474637, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.7119895137368 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 39312178.00000002, "yoy_growth_pct": -24.504359982137814, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.548487389257916 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 28298429, "yoy_growth_pct": -28.016125181362415, "cagr_3y_pct": -24.473917717919225 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 32482105.999999996, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.784131656213129, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.55637834193485 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 22150683.999999996, "yoy_growth_pct": -31.80650294041896, "cagr_3y_pct": -17.405078391692484 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 29716447, "yoy_growth_pct": 34.15588882040845, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.6431663198073876 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 26058822, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.308419643842349, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.0812126456968105 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 25419945.999999996, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.451668766915116, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.695776117499539 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 50457833.00000001, "yoy_growth_pct": 98.49701096926017, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.300950604429623 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 80168693, "yoy_growth_pct": 58.882552486944874, "cagr_3y_pct": 45.43982433011762 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 28051047, "yoy_growth_pct": -65.00997340695076, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.337547612960945 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 75822322, "yoy_growth_pct": 170.3012190596665, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.53973176547776 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 63848841, "yoy_growth_pct": -15.79149870931149, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.306473522379431 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 43959642, "yoy_growth_pct": -31.150446411392185, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.15422826895201 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 57425802.19991497, "yoy_growth_pct": 30.633006974704145, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.847203541712279 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 86522553.12000002, "yoy_growth_pct": 50.66842744101558, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.660366094275542 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 82523949.32000002, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.621458401087919, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.36026270712519 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 79490320.31399997, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.676058927132375, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.447173576825854 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 84063492.665, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.753118534351409, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.9564873232879689 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 105937522.00999999, "yoy_growth_pct": 26.020842879048356, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.681744821683491 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 113886711.58300003, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.503658214933218, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.733485659851485 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 121035684.54300006, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.277266996852293, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.919427313537991 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 174523637.97000012, "yoy_growth_pct": 44.191887399948996, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.10496332096583 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "hs_code": "271019", "hs_description": "", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 6201963063.363749, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "hs_code": "151190", "hs_description": "Vegetable oils: palm oil and its fractions, other than crude, whether or not refined, but not chemically modified", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 167471402.88869143, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2061582054849957, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "hs_code": "870322", "hs_description": "Vehicles: with only spark-ignition internal combustion piston engine, cylinder capacity over 1000 but not over 1500cc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 97362518.51740538, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0480673480769467, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "hs_code": "392321", "hs_description": "Ethylene polymers: sacks and bags (including cones), for the conveyance or packing of goods", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13919381.596708475, "current_below_peak_pct": 31.538698548612675, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1300744065907782, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "hs_code": "441820", "hs_description": "Wood: doors and their frames and thresholds", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 19956665.059941728, "current_below_peak_pct": 10.92094780332248, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9431553473404166, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "hs_code": "340111", "hs_description": "Soap and organic surface-active products: in the form of bars, cakes, moulded shapes, and paper, wadding, felt and nonwovens, impregnated, coated or covered with soap or detergent, for toilet use (including medicated products)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11845224.365858616, "current_below_peak_pct": 39.175794289199764, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1688709543515552, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "hs_code": "540752", "hs_description": "Fabrics, woven: containing 85% or more by weight of textured polyester filaments, dyed", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 27011675.781438846, "current_below_peak_pct": 53.21541438077588, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1289300589432092, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "hs_code": "711319", "hs_description": "Jewellery: of precious metal (excluding silver) whether or not plated or clad with precious metal, and parts thereof", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 353115159.7290621, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3543144268689473, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "hs_code": "210690", "hs_description": "Food preparations: n.e.s. in item no. 2106.10", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 126691036.38556205, "current_below_peak_pct": 32.589871838747506, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8377746683805203, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "hs_code": "841810", "hs_description": "Refrigerators and freezers: combined refrigerator-freezers, fitted with separate external doors, electric or other", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11157106.449141279, "current_below_peak_pct": 36.17905829756268, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9505502818099466, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "distance_km": null, "shares_land_border": null, "shares_official_language": null, "shares_ethnic_language": null, "shared_religion": null, "shared_legal_system": null, "shared_colonial_history": null, "has_fta": null, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": null, "importer_is_wto": null, "exporter_is_eu": null, "importer_is_eu": null, "importer_gdp_million_usd": null, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": null, "importer_population": null, "importer_biz_entry_days": null, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": null, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": null, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IDN-WXD/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IDN-WXD/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IDN-WXD/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IDN-WXD/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IDN-WXD/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }