{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:15.610Z", "seo": { "title": "Indonesia exports to Uganda: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Indonesia to Uganda, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "IDN", "country_name": "Indonesia" }, "importer": { "iso3": "UGA", "country_name": "Uganda" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "all_history_lane_count": 39, "current_lane_count": 17, "current_product_count": 17, "first_observed_last_year": 2007, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 18773133.500665776, "attention_trade_usd": 17209790.74430635, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 16263189.468536228, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 2154335.5202892395, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 18528193.825408243, "access_friction_trade_usd": 18773133.500665776, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 3, "high_volatility_lane_count": 8, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 9, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 13, "access_friction_lane_count": 17, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.15604135378905, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 45.93313752896539, "product_concentration_hhi": 5868.084347930161, "top1_product_share_pct": 75.69607313155188, "top3_product_share_pct": 91.67244639098749, "top_product_hs6": "151190", "top_product_trade_usd": 14210524.863747833, "top_product_description": "Vegetable oils: palm oil and its fractions, other than crude, whether or not refined, but not chemically modified", "top_attention_product_hs6": "151190", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 8269.1875, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 16.47315390888889, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 16.47315390888889, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 24, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 40434.701516999994, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 858, "buyer_population_latest": 47123.531, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 8.805671720289032, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.56605150525753, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 3.0688087399671105, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 25.022, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 16.612000000000002, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 91.67244639098749, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 40434.701516999994, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 858, "buyer_population_2024": 47123.531 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 2670140.0289923092, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 1838251.9543145595, "yoy_growth_pct": -31.155222784016246, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 2436285.8164507006, "yoy_growth_pct": 32.53274725113151, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 3060437.8881322294, "yoy_growth_pct": 25.619000343351495, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.652557026978377 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 3386357.374546965, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.649439666087869, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.586482669973872 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 3825947.5725827585, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.981211059999321, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.235001592623277 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 2831413.9428691766, "yoy_growth_pct": -25.99443956944262, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.5594038928895557 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 2721280.132095209, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.88971068858851, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.029145909959733 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 3498870.3005816806, "yoy_growth_pct": 28.574425665165816, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.9349364686374724 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 4392359.889492407, "yoy_growth_pct": 25.536516422520307, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.761687814628367 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 4607176.52392711, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.890688373432162, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.184707198179773 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 5496028.807084748, "yoy_growth_pct": 19.29277679163004, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.244849301390563 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 7187094.514975348, "yoy_growth_pct": 30.768865434451563, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.837941267681835 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 10269016.59883356, "yoy_growth_pct": 42.88133511304997, "cagr_3y_pct": 30.62651320121217 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 11710769.54293627, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.039834586171352, "cagr_3y_pct": 28.680323702003264 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 15664423.568822697, "yoy_growth_pct": 33.760838785109584, "cagr_3y_pct": 29.654328615520107 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 19499288.266513746, "yoy_growth_pct": 24.48136492761648, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.831167615775286 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 22505493.370793127, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.416999139614518, "cagr_3y_pct": 24.32764322744354 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 20570590.64466857, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.597468601313164, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.507563097741944 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 23074301.842094183, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.171314089488794, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.771810096088381 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 23286786.240537293, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.9208703253394956, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.1440499743650578 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 23771630.960859094, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.082059393312896, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.939117084808786 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 41031292.479554534, "yoy_growth_pct": 72.60613101016979, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.151522423926018 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 43545298.88924891, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.1270465972941945, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.199961772778877 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 37290733.64436165, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.36335357530747, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.193183112313015 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 21210341.44829896, "yoy_growth_pct": -43.121683658519395, "cagr_3y_pct": -19.74400424398589 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 27232430.036373015, "yoy_growth_pct": 28.392228398364683, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.48380408373845 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 53974052.19791363, "yoy_growth_pct": 98.19770812161511, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.117040055011264 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 52699089.52714267, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.36217704406535, "cagr_3y_pct": 35.4415194853988 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 32470576.4623291, "yoy_growth_pct": -38.38493842364178, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.039547899448405 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "hs_code": "151190", "hs_description": "Vegetable oils: palm oil and its fractions, other than crude, whether or not refined, but not chemically modified", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 107180671.89615594, "current_below_peak_pct": 46.99432061018726, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1592826450318234, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "hs_code": "730429", "hs_description": "Iron or steel: casing and tubing, of a kind used in drilling for oil or gas", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13607931.282296654, "current_below_peak_pct": 85.86640431355758, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8744633573910477, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "hs_code": "340111", "hs_description": "Soap and organic surface-active products: in the form of bars, cakes, moulded shapes, and paper, wadding, felt and nonwovens, impregnated, coated or covered with soap or detergent, for toilet use (including medicated products)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10779327.96311358, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5194242107871252, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "hs_code": "401110", "hs_description": "Rubber: new pneumatic tyres, of a kind used on motor cars (including station wagons and racing cars)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15062619.800623901, "current_below_peak_pct": 32.407061907595825, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.962059826643134, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "hs_code": "300660", "hs_description": "Pharmaceutical goods: chemical contraceptive preparations based on hormones or spermicides", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10291376.834916325, "current_below_peak_pct": 56.737191528223384, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0883139041759897, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "hs_code": "330210", "hs_description": "Odoriferous substances and mixtures: of a kind used in the food or drink industries", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 99563986.48242521, "current_below_peak_pct": 68.57328555753196, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7021207070385685, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "hs_code": "850440", "hs_description": "Electrical static converters", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 23613875.990735274, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.3008997187220945, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "hs_code": "392010", "hs_description": "Plastics: plates, sheets, film, foil and strip, of polymers of ethylene, non-cellular and not reinforced, laminated, supported or similarly combined with other materials", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10572568.701524476, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7006977450250181, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "hs_code": "854449", "hs_description": "Insulated electric conductors: for a voltage not exceeding 80 volts, not fitted with connectors", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 19297899.269678246, "current_below_peak_pct": 48.6166294577145, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0671570366556349, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "hs_code": "850720", "hs_description": "Electric accumulators: lead-acid, (other than for starting piston engines), including separators, whether or not rectangular (including square)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12677053.832726285, "current_below_peak_pct": 54.269946687048154, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9223557594762246, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "distance_km": 8281, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 40434.701517, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 858.0575491467309, "importer_population": 47123.531, "importer_biz_entry_days": 24, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 40.5, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 1186092.99132, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 4291.8125855504495, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 16.47315390888889, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 16.47315390888889, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IDN-UGA/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IDN-UGA/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IDN-UGA/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IDN-UGA/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IDN-UGA/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }