{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:10.018Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Indonesia exports to Türkiye: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Indonesia to Türkiye, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "IDN",
    "country_name": "Indonesia"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "TUR",
    "country_name": "Türkiye"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
    "importer_iso3": "TUR",
    "all_history_lane_count": 529,
    "current_lane_count": 389,
    "current_product_count": 389,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1995,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 2060177365.058403,
    "attention_trade_usd": 1863069346.9805038,
    "critical_trade_usd": 191770905.68710458,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 983664549.6443844,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 354431555.00605655,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 1273557567.5485263,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 2060177365.058403,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 4,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 103,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 204,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 176,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 149,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 389,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.2283278546071166,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 18.12804675106718,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 452.0089301087362,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 10.994346074083495,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 28.512862535188926,
    "top_product_hs6": "550410",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 226503029.2544553,
    "top_product_description": "Fibres: artificial staple fibres, of viscose, not carded, combed or otherwise processed for spinning",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "550410",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
    "distance_km": 9452.7607421875,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 9.164901741252528,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.772561373939395,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 4.844690146242424,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.92787122769697,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 7,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 815271.751724,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 9587,
    "buyer_population_latest": 85042.732,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 11.86543006803118,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 11.08568690227736,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.7019294631897877,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 27.79,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 23.340000000000003,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 90.43247336753885,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 9.308465811712681,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 815271.751724,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 9587,
    "buyer_population_2024": 85042.732
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 135101248.45230034,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 131567534.54052113,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.6156041874230707,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 136916587.60994765,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.065632975572009,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 158359699.17120454,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 15.661441711025326,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.437500483512281
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 140678403.6501771,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.165274759654597,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.256964924997007
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 218385450.0391695,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 55.23736719548322,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.83937122784862
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 188067199.51732793,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -13.882907728698813,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.898415774697119
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 293071781.05205715,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 55.83354343778295,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 27.71704373362718
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 355513295.58964044,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 21.305877458905552,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 17.637029399625703
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 493400329.63293326,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 38.78533820081154,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 37.9204903613942
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 665442904.4970906,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 34.86875961192586,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 31.435373919195484
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 877578719.4671991,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 31.878890515848312,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 35.14814177570431
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 1215782713.9612277,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 38.538308529103915,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 35.0679089276996
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 1158374299.2977817,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.72193049006261,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.294573921345794
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 845559216.7401555,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -27.00466358302821,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.2313051869015212
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 1265969519.938582,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 49.71979429414943,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.3574700548682594
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 1691097968.6713219,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 33.58125468560766,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.441845955102938
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 1582421002.0089998,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -6.426414594283292,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.232711242577352
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 1841084921.468998,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 16.34608736433638,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.296594834701715
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 1791759666.2006276,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.6791406899913106,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.9460326600849287
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 1446801562.2228656,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -19.25247623802333,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.942527640563841
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 1276065668.548471,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.800919914136399,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.502079111658848
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 1360312032.5152006,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6.602039851331498,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.773797969329811
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 1310356127.7929251,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.6723857121154446,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.2479612978010386
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 1269259406.0259144,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.1363017194593668,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.17810994444990014
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 1128119272.638331,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.119880831097962,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.048116066843168
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 1727379338.690003,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 53.1202755405626,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.647682999024942
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 2373498865.3653636,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 37.40461126305701,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.20061600640213
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 1704378449.3894587,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -28.191309704835444,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.74585469140881
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 2126413619.133874,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 24.761822698215674,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.173317629720954
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "hs_code": "550410",
      "hs_description": "Fibres: artificial staple fibres, of viscose, not carded, combed or otherwise processed for spinning",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 547155292.4327154,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9046536118596106,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "hs_code": "720711",
      "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: semi-finished products of iron or non-alloy steel: containing by weight less than 0.25% of carbon, of rectangular (including square) cross-section, width less than twice thickness",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1826256008.9994736,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3640332162563515,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "hs_code": "270400",
      "hs_description": "Coke and semi-coke: of coal, lignite or peat, whether or not agglomerated: retort carbon",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 794229820.1202793,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.199834769396268,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "hs_code": "720712",
      "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: semi-finished products of iron or non-alloy steel: containing by weight less than 0.25% of carbon, of rectangular (other than square) cross-section",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1955328742.840106,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7956244449717197,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "hs_code": "721913",
      "hs_description": "Steel, stainless: flat-rolled, width 600mm or more, hot-rolled, in coils, of a thickness of 3mm or more but less than 4.75mm",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 394785764.22869426,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 30.583842939667367,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6989933509696761,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "hs_code": "151190",
      "hs_description": "Vegetable oils: palm oil and its fractions, other than crude, whether or not refined, but not chemically modified",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 650947822.9913753,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 80.8342778764162,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9494377566498824,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "hs_code": "721933",
      "hs_description": "Steel, stainless: flat-rolled, width 600mm or more, cold-rolled, of a thickness exceeding 1mm but less than 3mm",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 176966580.9204563,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.8558315888143377,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "hs_code": "400122",
      "hs_description": "Rubber: technically specified natural rubber (TSNR), in primary forms or in plates, sheets or strip (excluding latex and smoked sheets)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 385142740.7017302,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 76.15987685409907,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.802808777280913,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "hs_code": "721912",
      "hs_description": "Steel, stainless: flat-rolled, width 600mm or more, hot-rolled, in coils, of a thickness of 4.75mm or more but not exceeding 10mm",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 124405396.62861346,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 18.567767033685183,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8133628535207904,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "hs_code": "851712",
      "hs_description": "Telephones for cellular networks or for other wireless networks",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 3122101190.2500286,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.8953722472926493,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
    "importer_iso3": "TUR",
    "distance_km": 9454,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 815271.751724,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9586.612900959013,
    "importer_population": 85042.732,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 7,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 6,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 1186092.99132,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 4291.8125855504495,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 9.164901741252528,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.772561373939395,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 4.844690146242424,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.92787122769697
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IDN-TUR/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IDN-TUR/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IDN-TUR/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IDN-TUR/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IDN-TUR/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}