{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:15.644Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Indonesia exports to Syrian Arab Republic: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Indonesia to Syrian Arab Republic, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "IDN",
    "country_name": "Indonesia"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "SYR",
    "country_name": "Syrian Arab Republic"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
    "importer_iso3": "SYR",
    "all_history_lane_count": 25,
    "current_lane_count": 6,
    "current_product_count": 6,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1996,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 7788268.53,
    "attention_trade_usd": 6733244.13,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 2691222.4299999997,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 3337596.8299999996,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 7379618.53,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 7788268.53,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 7788268.53,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 3,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 3,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 5,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 5,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 6,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.9794539922424306,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 56.71216594244648,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 3773.144176020522,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 57.14584291561401,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 86.45367200763428,
    "top_product_hs6": "441114",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 4450671.7,
    "top_product_description": "Medium density fibreboard (MDF), of a thickness exceeding 9 mm",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "441114",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
    "distance_km": 8610.904296875,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 21.381889623030304,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 21.381889623030304,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 15.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 21445.775364,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 1266,
    "buyer_population_latest": 18275.703,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 0.9043464757107378,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -1.065563203855846,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 3.9239347234722777,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": null,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": null,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend weakened",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 86.45367200763428,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction",
      "buyer_macro_weakness"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 21445.775364,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 1266,
    "buyer_population_2024": 18275.703
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "export_value_usd": 15503543.999999998,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "export_value_usd": 33288158.999103155,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 114.7132229837459,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "export_value_usd": 48693413,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 46.278479988370314,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "export_value_usd": 80326076,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 64.96292013870541,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 73.03814678447931
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "export_value_usd": 64554867.678524144,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -19.63398326774466,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 24.703814865981144
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "export_value_usd": 43901790.309101954,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -31.99305972133992,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.3940212145857296
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "export_value_usd": 231628999.84836322,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 427.60718462167284,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 42.335137983644856
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "export_value_usd": 131054142.69662514,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -43.42066719520431,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 26.62144134824085
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "export_value_usd": 98687409.44065827,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -24.69722252954035,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 30.99654435119854
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "export_value_usd": 107366327.19800687,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.794351586022042,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -22.608774882951433
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "export_value_usd": 45158403.20148681,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -57.939882661530476,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -29.892802347500314
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "export_value_usd": 47745681.67063743,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.729340024727514,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -21.49618125260536
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "export_value_usd": 71206579.52948734,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 49.13721416879018,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -12.793134688983665
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "export_value_usd": 87576247.70597443,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 22.98898259775033,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 24.704632117765236
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "export_value_usd": 88947893.3909256,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.566230251787326,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.045912002137147
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "export_value_usd": 65179983.515859924,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -26.72116108540741,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.9047374157776362
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "export_value_usd": 77321614.03116795,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 18.627851466629576,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.066226870296086
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "export_value_usd": 56379559.851368725,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -27.084346908947854,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -14.099569953011947
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "export_value_usd": 37580314.18805042,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -33.34408021786272,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -16.769586272481906
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "export_value_usd": 48243250.68182656,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 28.373728969958112,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -14.55003599654352
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "export_value_usd": 32425246.76413039,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -32.78801426964141,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -16.838840446582516
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "export_value_usd": 22303505.64943004,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -31.21561784349247,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -15.962928863632776
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "export_value_usd": 34576115.14739396,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 55.025473084216884,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.508893579079537
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "export_value_usd": 41527330.51543999,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 20.10409595876752,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.596769998069798
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "export_value_usd": 44865386.5385,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.038214789219156,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 26.23489634008922
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "export_value_usd": 25688418.98700001,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -42.74334633235313,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.429438523386812
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "export_value_usd": 19578607.860000007,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -23.784301906987583,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -22.16959963084053
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "export_value_usd": 9317716.424,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -52.408687631787544,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -40.780324259581114
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "export_value_usd": 15926680.161999999,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 70.9290070362845,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -14.730059319265054
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "export_value_usd": 17970254.999999996,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.831141312649908,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.816886057677348
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "hs_code": "441114",
      "hs_description": "Medium density fibreboard (MDF), of a thickness exceeding 9 mm",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 23937418.796103533,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 34.55313804384918,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8158941911950347,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "hs_code": "240220",
      "hs_description": "Cigarettes: containing tobacco",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 373545906.18671435,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 83.98094089552856,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3784640690615961,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "hs_code": "151190",
      "hs_description": "Vegetable oils: palm oil and its fractions, other than crude, whether or not refined, but not chemically modified",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 28942734.516331278,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 95.1697909329905,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3008716595325762,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "hs_code": "151790",
      "hs_description": "Edible mixtures or preparations of animal or vegetable fats or oils or of fractions of different fats or oils of this chapter, other than edible fats or oils of heading no. 1516",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 24557975.644704793,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 91.45460636665614,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7879336303686317,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "hs_code": "180500",
      "hs_description": "Cocoa: powder, not containing added sugar or other sweetening matter",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12132509.694632571,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 66.2653925548873,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0498270143045754,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "hs_code": "160413",
      "hs_description": "Fish preparations: sardines, sardinella and brisling or sprats, prepared or preserved, whole or in pieces (but not minced)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12489032.574696044,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 70.3895307557583,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7630292460126337,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
    "importer_iso3": "SYR",
    "distance_km": 8615,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 0,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 21445.775364,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1173.4582994700668,
    "importer_population": 18275.703,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 15.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 8.1,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 1186092.99132,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 4291.8125855504495,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 21.381889623030304,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 21.381889623030304,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IDN-SYR/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IDN-SYR/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IDN-SYR/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IDN-SYR/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IDN-SYR/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}