{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:10.034Z", "seo": { "title": "Indonesia exports to Russia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Indonesia to Russia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "IDN", "country_name": "Indonesia" }, "importer": { "iso3": "RUS", "country_name": "Russia" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "all_history_lane_count": 263, "current_lane_count": 124, "current_product_count": 124, "first_observed_last_year": 1996, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 1704010199.8000007, "attention_trade_usd": 1650467579.1499999, "critical_trade_usd": 95762072.77000001, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 887121478.8700001, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 148832896.25999996, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 902489766.8400002, "access_friction_trade_usd": 1704010199.8000007, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 4, "high_attention_lane_count": 40, "high_volatility_lane_count": 72, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 62, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 97, "access_friction_lane_count": 124, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.177708573990364, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 20.749355833685293, "product_concentration_hhi": 1777.4726001967947, "top1_product_share_pct": 31.585781490813336, "top3_product_share_pct": 64.03818069211533, "top_product_hs6": "151190", "top_product_trade_usd": 538224938.29, "top_product_description": "Vegetable oils: palm oil and its fractions, other than crude, whether or not refined, but not chemically modified", "top_attention_product_hs6": "151190", "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "distance_km": 9302.7060546875, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 6.701394466704979, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 11.425769714942529, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 6.92081698762452, "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.50495272731801, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 10.1, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 1775799.919353, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 12380, "buyer_population_latest": 143446.06, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.12549554382431, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.397317436553406, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.26532954061908587, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 22.657999999999998, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 28.309999999999995, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 96.85784623494125, "critical_trade_share_pct": 5.619806312265007, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 1775799.919353, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 12380, "buyer_population_2024": 143446.06 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 89185083.3492219, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 128699746.86706017, "yoy_growth_pct": 44.30635935284239, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 96138169.37178713, "yoy_growth_pct": -25.30042077620197, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 66195333.61326195, "yoy_growth_pct": -31.145627126235098, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.459049186228963 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 41947379.11195987, "yoy_growth_pct": -36.63091214702197, "cagr_3y_pct": -31.180890901488777 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 62085783.06309438, "yoy_growth_pct": 48.00872993133611, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.563181838563686 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 74464542.4924619, "yoy_growth_pct": 19.938154628391615, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.001766687240793 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 105048026.9625132, "yoy_growth_pct": 41.07120442343049, "cagr_3y_pct": 35.79830718782577 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 137492204.9427462, "yoy_growth_pct": 30.885090294757124, "cagr_3y_pct": 30.345278567466003 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 174446767.20268112, "yoy_growth_pct": 26.877569004965316, "cagr_3y_pct": 32.81214779536974 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 273520287.515872, "yoy_growth_pct": 56.7929815506883, "cagr_3y_pct": 37.57321338935044 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 323188339.020526, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.158818110255105, "cagr_3y_pct": 32.961488570945654 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 440739427.59060746, "yoy_growth_pct": 36.37231743148248, "cagr_3y_pct": 36.198709483897986 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 516735322.9232113, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.2428175414328, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.621175395472815 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 438793426.405143, "yoy_growth_pct": -15.083524013250148, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.730724990257912 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 775001848.2754213, "yoy_growth_pct": 76.62111637011013, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.699909644063986 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 1132281703.9468417, "yoy_growth_pct": 46.10051659443912, "cagr_3y_pct": 29.885931479982574 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 1161523580.639698, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.582561971188513, "cagr_3y_pct": 38.33199472145521 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 1254950956.4347782, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.043519507681962, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.428813253545794 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 1254462396.6253266, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.03893058983273079, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.4747500304348478 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 1349872370.6475163, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.605646393136634, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.136833392203766 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 1920907493.9721472, "yoy_growth_pct": 42.30289735100754, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.246187075861517 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 2159184282.1890655, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.404386414475255, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.84245236324993 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 1286599661.3994799, "yoy_growth_pct": -40.412697887228276, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.5875051983922805 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 1236055021.9194746, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.9285444413242, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.666943348847738 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 1358874575.2144578, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.936414732109267, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.303473154669533 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 2007577072.164304, "yoy_growth_pct": 47.73821725581022, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.987075460231392 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 1500714767.3700666, "yoy_growth_pct": -25.24746431018987, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.680927837499517 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 1070881305.9085476, "yoy_growth_pct": -28.641915892836998, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.632188310164622 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 1740863713.9750018, "yoy_growth_pct": 62.56364775160901, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.640452411924323 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "hs_code": "151190", "hs_description": "Vegetable oils: palm oil and its fractions, other than crude, whether or not refined, but not chemically modified", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 864385648.0150129, "current_below_peak_pct": 42.345832640269435, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9878597040869344, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "hs_code": "281820", "hs_description": "Aluminium oxide: other than artificial corundum", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2347062659.8139477, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5596557304800094, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "hs_code": "151329", "hs_description": "Vegetable oils: palm kernel or babassu oil and their fractions, other than crude, whether or not refined, but not chemically modified", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 147850542.8503187, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9384232073050444, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "hs_code": "090111", "hs_description": "Coffee: not roasted or decaffeinated", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 757630564.1382945, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1761153871440873, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "hs_code": "180400", "hs_description": "Cocoa: butter, fat and oil", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 233013521.4988997, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.071110180664935, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "hs_code": "400122", "hs_description": "Rubber: technically specified natural rubber (TSNR), in primary forms or in plates, sheets or strip (excluding latex and smoked sheets)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 147344256.61592138, "current_below_peak_pct": 52.90223137222287, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0240856341985887, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "hs_code": "180500", "hs_description": "Cocoa: powder, not containing added sugar or other sweetening matter", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 248919068.83103657, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.540330560320159, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "hs_code": "151319", "hs_description": "Vegetable oils: coconut (copra) oil and its fractions, other than crude, whether or not refined, but not chemically modified", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 48726650.18748067, "current_below_peak_pct": 15.278177886742569, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7028629308168365, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "hs_code": "151790", "hs_description": "Edible mixtures or preparations of animal or vegetable fats or oils or of fractions of different fats or oils of this chapter, other than edible fats or oils of heading no. 1516", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 59075928.08476548, "current_below_peak_pct": 17.57515449164909, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.763191921131277, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "hs_code": "843149", "hs_description": "Machinery: parts of machines handling earth, minerals or ores and n.e.c. in heading no. 8431", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 665499273.0146462, "current_below_peak_pct": 54.3012603356969, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.184107385391569, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "distance_km": 9302, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 1775799.919353, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 12379.565666376617, "importer_population": 143446.06, "importer_biz_entry_days": 10.1, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 1186092.99132, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 4291.8125855504495, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 6.701394466704979, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 11.425769714942529, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 6.92081698762452, "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.50495272731801 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IDN-RUS/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IDN-RUS/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IDN-RUS/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IDN-RUS/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IDN-RUS/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }