{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:15.584Z", "seo": { "title": "Indonesia exports to Paraguay: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Indonesia to Paraguay, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "IDN", "country_name": "Indonesia" }, "importer": { "iso3": "PRY", "country_name": "Paraguay" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "all_history_lane_count": 49, "current_lane_count": 35, "current_product_count": 35, "first_observed_last_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 54172758.429413505, "attention_trade_usd": 34745461.83135103, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 26685215.144058675, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 2535482.7415086064, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 14093117.380148713, "access_friction_trade_usd": 54172758.429413505, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 5, "high_volatility_lane_count": 16, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 9, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 21, "access_friction_lane_count": 35, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.6027377220763164, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 8.75064690058138, "product_concentration_hhi": 2425.9083400632057, "top1_product_share_pct": 41.64245202268099, "top3_product_share_pct": 76.36691753630494, "top_product_hs6": "854370", "top_product_trade_usd": 22558864.93833139, "top_product_description": "Electrical machines and apparatus: having individual functions, not specified or included elsewhere in this chapter, n.e.c. in heading no. 8543", "top_attention_product_hs6": "854370", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 16155.017578125, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 14.752774503434345, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 14.752774503434345, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 35, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 38986.810989, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 5400, "buyer_population_latest": 7219.641, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.2296186225791113, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 1.9651940186437677, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.240055114987726, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 21.45, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 24.94, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 64.13825479576414, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 38986.810989, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 5400, "buyer_population_2024": 7219.641 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "export_value_usd": 10412207.115203729, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "export_value_usd": 6221598.56113233, "yoy_growth_pct": -40.24707257265698, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "export_value_usd": 5080144.264085104, "yoy_growth_pct": -18.34664010915359, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "export_value_usd": 3601349.908299095, "yoy_growth_pct": -29.109298455175438, "cagr_3y_pct": -29.804785238277088 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "export_value_usd": 2821261.5510705956, "yoy_growth_pct": -21.66099871136744, "cagr_3y_pct": -23.173015322475578 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "export_value_usd": 3093111.953261473, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.635774538086238, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.24346415883312 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "export_value_usd": 3584703.5564230955, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.893107349162472, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.15431311639052536 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "export_value_usd": 3113839.047690591, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.135382084490821, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.343762723933752 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "export_value_usd": 1767199.2384075169, "yoy_growth_pct": -43.246930514338, "cagr_3y_pct": -17.021937099064942 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "export_value_usd": 3161225.3420603154, "yoy_growth_pct": 78.88335810448869, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.10394618607376 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "export_value_usd": 3435748.2686656173, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.684066996197837, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.3336393611840265 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "export_value_usd": 4125788.5906900824, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.08413504323656, "cagr_3y_pct": 32.66015028282949 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "export_value_usd": 7698838.332000696, "yoy_growth_pct": 86.60283150167378, "cagr_3y_pct": 34.541598020205264 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "export_value_usd": 12294719.228654884, "yoy_growth_pct": 59.69577095223737, "cagr_3y_pct": 52.95573302135557 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "export_value_usd": 13338003.636637475, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.48563020089994, "cagr_3y_pct": 47.863603856592384 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "export_value_usd": 17875461.866154216, "yoy_growth_pct": 34.0190207854872, "cagr_3y_pct": 32.41708524197613 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "export_value_usd": 24724513.637785226, "yoy_growth_pct": 38.31538352918955, "cagr_3y_pct": 26.222384602631266 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "export_value_usd": 17734805.885657404, "yoy_growth_pct": -28.270354897682616, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.962651318118375 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "export_value_usd": 18176092.128588453, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.4882496362022666, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.5574876881532909 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "export_value_usd": 19722216.00637362, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.50636026075886, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.258100942445688 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "export_value_usd": 18219103.88555792, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.621415972373191, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.9020967439995475 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "export_value_usd": 14613797.498461269, "yoy_growth_pct": -19.78860436684011, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.0132954493792425 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "export_value_usd": 18181610.934173405, "yoy_growth_pct": 24.41400625735919, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.6747451337304273 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "export_value_usd": 26143479.276446342, "yoy_growth_pct": 43.79077503692557, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.792128117702607 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "export_value_usd": 28951199.23589923, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.73965683665703, "cagr_3y_pct": 25.593691137088292 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "export_value_usd": 18243924.865353134, "yoy_growth_pct": -36.98387166383481, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.11411324153018931 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "export_value_usd": 23255472.447253607, "yoy_growth_pct": 27.46967891441965, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.826830850044427 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "export_value_usd": 27610818.171893246, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.728261636129396, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.5677137013840436 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "export_value_usd": 42773889.2494888, "yoy_growth_pct": 54.91713785226031, "cagr_3y_pct": 32.84753135930241 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "export_value_usd": 64563733.6372047, "yoy_growth_pct": 50.9419292237409, "cagr_3y_pct": 40.546863044947216 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "hs_code": "854370", "hs_description": "Electrical machines and apparatus: having individual functions, not specified or included elsewhere in this chapter, n.e.c. in heading no. 8543", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 130055503.51816073, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.4750572569403184, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "hs_code": "870322", "hs_description": "Vehicles: with only spark-ignition internal combustion piston engine, cylinder capacity over 1000 but not over 1500cc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 169857041.24745184, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9558985925598203, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "hs_code": "240220", "hs_description": "Cigarettes: containing tobacco", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 19196601.103873275, "current_below_peak_pct": 29.30420167555162, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9410281823306694, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "hs_code": "870340", "hs_description": "Vehicles: with both spark-ignition internal combustion piston engine and electric motor for propulsion, incapable of being charged by plugging to external source of electric power", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 36336185.4494941, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7571936397508883, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "hs_code": "640411", "hs_description": "Sports footwear: tennis shoes, basketball shoes, gym shoes, training shoes and the like, with outer soles of rubber or plastics and uppers of textile materials", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12063462.778148685, "current_below_peak_pct": 13.000344001962679, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8799734231057722, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "hs_code": "380893", "hs_description": "Herbicides, anti-sprouting products and plant-growth regulators: not containing substances of 3808.50: put up in forms or packings for retail sale or as preparations or articles", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 173175783.62140402, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8927086484687793, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "hs_code": "640399", "hs_description": "Footwear: n.e.c. in heading no. 6403, (not covering the ankle), outer soles of rubber, plastics or composition leather, uppers of leather", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10827716.559425753, "current_below_peak_pct": 29.249908556570368, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4798325801598788, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "hs_code": "851762", "hs_description": "Communication apparatus (excluding telephone sets or base stations): machines for the reception, conversion and transmission or regeneration of voice, images or other data, including switching and routing apparatus", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 163361283.3714244, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.2421267663224165, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "hs_code": "841810", "hs_description": "Refrigerators and freezers: combined refrigerator-freezers, fitted with separate external doors, electric or other", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 29861838.26447831, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.789805985370232, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "hs_code": "392020", "hs_description": "Plastics: of polymers of propylene, plates, sheets, film, foil and strip (not self-adhesive), non-cellular and not reinforced, laminated, supported or similarly combined with other materials", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11469729.8031793, "current_below_peak_pct": 56.732452926659526, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6463356264937381, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "distance_km": 16140, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 38986.810989, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 5400.103826353693, "importer_population": 7219.641, "importer_biz_entry_days": 35, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 52.2, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 1186092.99132, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 4291.8125855504495, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 14.752774503434345, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 14.752774503434345, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IDN-PRY/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IDN-PRY/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IDN-PRY/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IDN-PRY/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IDN-PRY/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }