{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:12.842Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Indonesia exports to Mozambique: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Indonesia to Mozambique, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "IDN",
    "country_name": "Indonesia"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "MOZ",
    "country_name": "Mozambique"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
    "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
    "all_history_lane_count": 55,
    "current_lane_count": 21,
    "current_product_count": 21,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1995,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 52255249.34000963,
    "attention_trade_usd": 48750806.769372925,
    "critical_trade_usd": 16666537.594367148,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 41852862.67706304,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 31116904.168915946,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 51707298.60635311,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 52255249.34000963,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 1,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 4,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 10,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 8,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 19,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 21,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.3184150018029832,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 42.856016573142774,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 2647.2402326861506,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 36.40546763871597,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 84.29430659746657,
    "top_product_hs6": "340120",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 19023767.888007548,
    "top_product_description": "Soap: in forms n.e.c. in item no. 3401.11",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "340120",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 8136.16357421875,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.242294937777773,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 8.242294937777773,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 17,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 16095.828897,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 500,
    "buyer_population_latest": 32163.044,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 7.954483087134578,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 4.817694878255674,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.9926132343610856,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 35.316,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 8.148,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 93.2936066425895,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 31.89447530127138,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Critical attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 16095.828897,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 500,
    "buyer_population_2024": 32163.044
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 3493290.3487318754,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 2415071.8362621474,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -30.86541354517354,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 3198625.908349161,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 32.444338107132054,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 6167716.144689164,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 92.82392881862127,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.86388910889756
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 7408269.032720784,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 20.113650805733375,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 45.29886796753857
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 7511362.036721129,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.3915936846381483,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 32.918392828400656
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 7073482.957484641,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.829556305445127,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.673395178962858
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 7753003.424204917,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.606589438393387,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.5276678057636106
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 18606836.94437084,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 139.9952112271768,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 35.30627945736404
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 26048115.193277907,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 39.99217207714765,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 54.42383398282167
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 18181827.64939697,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -30.199066172399856,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 32.858451694927915
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 27687514.511042297,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 52.281250515322085,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.166093244500866
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 36361751.95691788,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 31.32905787703024,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.76079918906332
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 41404528.8385574,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 13.86835509910056,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 31.563909434501358
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 21514123.965960544,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -48.03920109839335,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.065207854363399
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 22597979.56995065,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.03787932850519,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -14.662168301847434
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 79612727.63037416,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 252.30020181201542,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 24.34974114727584
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 76916002.92247921,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.387303498022698,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 52.90828365035776
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 102099442.76770036,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 32.7414827712805,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 65.31715397215541
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 95208874.86542103,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -6.748879049180467,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.14469898093688
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 103781959.5720263,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.004501648321583,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.501554213669472
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 27863058.880810674,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -73.15230990461951,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -35.13628676846512
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 47605979.60531376,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 70.85697521207935,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -20.629090331636768
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 47866064.60508307,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 0.5463284274908053,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -22.737524537430975
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 122507836.60677753,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 155.93881096664876,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 63.8243144694405
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 62157461.94918774,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -49.262460532464424,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.297590741275696
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 103852696.42503813,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 67.08001447989504,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 29.458335294546355
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 121289522.82895683,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 16.7899602072487,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.33259773290169603
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 116061777.6724343,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.310137458364583,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.13985800765941
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 64796362.37141396,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -44.17079966301113,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -14.55021988476819
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "hs_code": "340120",
      "hs_description": "Soap: in forms n.e.c. in item no. 3401.11",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 25613456.447167277,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.621446925735946,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "hs_code": "151190",
      "hs_description": "Vegetable oils: palm oil and its fractions, other than crude, whether or not refined, but not chemically modified",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 199416925.10373056,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 75.91186478777296,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.051791835604477,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "hs_code": "382319",
      "hs_description": "Industrial monocarboxylic fatty acids: acid oils from refining: (other than stearic acid, oleic acid or tall oil fatty acids)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 28874800.995952122,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 55.54123423655918,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8553446825911434,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "hs_code": "151620",
      "hs_description": "Vegetable fats and oils and their fractions: partly or wholly hydrogenated, inter-esterified, re-esterified or elaidinised, whether or not refined, but not further prepared",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10018445.764339752,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 81.16296495881502,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.8849578296735694,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "hs_code": "151110",
      "hs_description": "Vegetable oils: palm oil and its fractions, crude, not chemically modified",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 86761293.51977995,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 85.5005342806235,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2655323866963804,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "hs_code": "340220",
      "hs_description": "Washing and cleaning preparations: surface-active, whether or not containing soap (excluding those of heading no. 3401), put up for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11781745.942733193,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 75.87121881960826,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8111151022636568,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "hs_code": "870590",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: break-down lorries, road-sweepers, spraying lorries, mobile workshops, mobile radiological units, and other special purpose vehicles n.e.s. in heading no. 8705",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12620338.044886865,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "hs_code": "820130",
      "hs_description": "Tools, hand: mattocks, picks, hoes and rakes",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20669474.31504686,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2609747165443488,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "hs_code": "870421",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), for transport of goods, (of a gvw not exceeding 5 tonnes), n.e.c. in item no 8704.1",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 97047878.82256939,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0246410985031196,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "hs_code": "870322",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: with only spark-ignition internal combustion piston engine, cylinder capacity over 1000 but not over 1500cc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 28671937.18919942,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 24.89653050924016,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0207002910385812,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
    "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
    "distance_km": 8154,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 16095.828897000001,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 500.4448240968734,
    "importer_population": 32163.044,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 17,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 106.9,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 1186092.99132,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 4291.8125855504495,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.242294937777773,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 8.242294937777773,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IDN-MOZ/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IDN-MOZ/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IDN-MOZ/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IDN-MOZ/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IDN-MOZ/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}