{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:12.916Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Indonesia exports to Luxembourg: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Indonesia to Luxembourg, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "IDN",
    "country_name": "Indonesia"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "LUX",
    "country_name": "Luxembourg"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
    "importer_iso3": "LUX",
    "all_history_lane_count": 31,
    "current_lane_count": 23,
    "current_product_count": 23,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2004,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 81039653.17294584,
    "attention_trade_usd": 77540447.047947,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 9360840.887504332,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 2419760.31154072,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 77829855.87383403,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 81039653.17294584,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 4,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 8,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 9,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 9,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 23,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.856108495100912,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 4.3387813926100325,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 7068.529573851348,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 83.57122377196843,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 94.29055503121538,
    "top_product_hs6": "400122",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 67725829.89718969,
    "top_product_description": "Rubber: technically specified natural rubber (TSNR), in primary forms or in plates, sheets or strip (excluding latex and smoked sheets)",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "400122",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
    "distance_km": 11300.361328125,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": null,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 2.2682545392424243,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.334022337878788,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 2.127299466868686,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 2.206722871010102,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 16.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 86710.80333699999,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 135683,
    "buyer_population_latest": 639.07,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.9490070751361035,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 4.101286267407822,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.7749260109831688,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 22.124,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 54.153999999999996,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 95.682106243062,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 86710.80333699999,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 135683,
    "buyer_population_2024": 639.07
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 5087432.151822941,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 17563605.59985864,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 245.23518104443332,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 22173613.80718781,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 26.247504711482893,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 16115057.976222917,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -27.32326757220308,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 46.86255540492377
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 13395440.189762402,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -16.876251953131018,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.634737892386546
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 28700243.14054715,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 114.2538261824467,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.980726546543206
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 33950537.06412495,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 18.29355207155121,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 28.19514920610495
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 69748340.84057078,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 105.44105299080191,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 73.32410402555239
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 8079527.424973237,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -88.41617258904948,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -34.46095212672684
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 10429459.856564173,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 29.08502326915141,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -32.525699750470224
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 27247485.75265346,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 161.25500387735065,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -26.897732027442345
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 16425450.027375251,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -39.71755714827494,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 26.680695562135902
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 95328243.81057219,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 480.36914453908224,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 109.08357880870199
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 65929916.771292984,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -30.839052377485253,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 34.25136119660592
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 56400393.93746433,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -14.45401920782945,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 50.86492691420321
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 44560798.85897545,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -20.992043232209323,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -22.39129109848176
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 52227893.783007726,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 17.205918925055297,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.471967343824904
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 44961045.15599714,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -13.913730959939352,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.277580923706806
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 57504506.837419495,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 27.898510005498032,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.872026075935313
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 73431580.39197712,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 27.697087464096825,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.02805286409021
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 49376931.92330972,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -32.7579065304926,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.1721706156539353
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 41627601.58555705,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -15.694232176654111,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.21030382626089
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 49817082.34696399,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 19.67319866981798,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -12.131784914229037
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 87186424.66749042,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 75.01310907824342,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.867142776174987
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 73016233.10263188,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -16.25274991938308,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.599640044915635
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 87385399.99344009,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 19.67941412509031,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.60172786602703
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "hs_code": "400122",
      "hs_description": "Rubber: technically specified natural rubber (TSNR), in primary forms or in plates, sheets or strip (excluding latex and smoked sheets)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 144652688.03257653,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7231994539537476,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "hs_code": "640411",
      "hs_description": "Sports footwear: tennis shoes, basketball shoes, gym shoes, training shoes and the like, with outer soles of rubber or plastics and uppers of textile materials",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 52389141.55312466,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 15.443608795578385,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.065032066009031,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "hs_code": "840710",
      "hs_description": "Engines: for aircraft, spark-ignition reciprocating or rotary internal combustion piston engines",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11948560.342381887,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "hs_code": "640399",
      "hs_description": "Footwear: n.e.c. in heading no. 6403, (not covering the ankle), outer soles of rubber, plastics or composition leather, uppers of leather",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 31000016.714420788,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 86.4355772767087,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5149502552490055,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "hs_code": "030617",
      "hs_description": "Crustaceans: frozen, shrimps and prawns, excluding cold-water varieties, in shell or not, smoked, cooked or not before or during smoking: in shell, cooked by steaming or by boiling in water",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10110797.300971799,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 11.858394891047794,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9583496611071551,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "hs_code": "854449",
      "hs_description": "Insulated electric conductors: for a voltage not exceeding 80 volts, not fitted with connectors",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 52073983.41146883,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 36.11761378475287,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9486229923844491,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "hs_code": "880330",
      "hs_description": "Aircraft and spacecraft: parts of aeroplanes or helicopters n.e.c. in heading no. 8803",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 119008971.64961857,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 70.01530545682786,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.4147417483294222,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "hs_code": "640299",
      "hs_description": "Footwear: n.e.s. in heading no. 6402, (other than just covering the ankle), with outer soles and uppers of rubber or plastics",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15022871.498847958,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 44.52109483106617,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0266230794830207,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "hs_code": "640391",
      "hs_description": "Footwear: n.e.s. in heading no. 6403, covering the ankle, outer soles of rubber, plastics or composition leather, uppers of leather",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11124679.882768841,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 60.779266213827164,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8379741375323011,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "hs_code": "640419",
      "hs_description": "Footwear: (other than sportswear), with outer soles of rubber or plastics and uppers of textile materials",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13943343.933792755,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 65.51352194132772,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.965785325727416,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
    "importer_iso3": "LUX",
    "distance_km": 11305,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 86710.803337,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 135682.79427449263,
    "importer_population": 639.07,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 16.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1.6,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 1186092.99132,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 4291.8125855504495,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 2.2682545392424243,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.334022337878788,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 2.127299466868686,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 2.206722871010102
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IDN-LUX/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IDN-LUX/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IDN-LUX/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IDN-LUX/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IDN-LUX/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}