{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:10.024Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Indonesia exports to Kenya: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Indonesia to Kenya, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "IDN",
    "country_name": "Indonesia"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "KEN",
    "country_name": "Kenya"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
    "importer_iso3": "KEN",
    "all_history_lane_count": 117,
    "current_lane_count": 63,
    "current_product_count": 63,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1996,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 221852389.61421156,
    "attention_trade_usd": 208990604.46261728,
    "critical_trade_usd": 138651219.74317312,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 201629240.28174007,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 147747619.17118812,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 201916460.74445885,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 221852389.61421156,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 2,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 12,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 41,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 30,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 52,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 63,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.1338752418167375,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 53.02797871671419,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 2237.2346240355187,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 39.43369749468362,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 70.13700719697044,
    "top_product_hs6": "151110",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 87484600.2051951,
    "top_product_description": "Vegetable oils: palm oil and its fractions, crude, not chemically modified",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "151110",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
    "distance_km": 7779.34814453125,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 27.705803971515152,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 27.705803971515152,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 23,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 110347.079517,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 2007.0000000000002,
    "buyer_population_latest": 54985.703,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.6939927181435905,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 1.6964619039059992,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.9642087608958247,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 19.871999999999996,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 6.416000000000001,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 94.20254829169964,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 62.497059411566205,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Critical attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 110347.079517,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 2007.0000000000002,
    "buyer_population_2024": 54985.703
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 28441693.71597122,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 43792875.04468529,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 53.97421645144054,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 66472584.0407064,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 51.78858198480742,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 40171489.09869912,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -39.56683092972742,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.198613932162772
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 26361124.278393995,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -34.37852350052005,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -15.56545704753809
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 21397689.300780494,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -18.828616432272625,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -31.465680459561618
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 30494481.92992537,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 42.51296717731603,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.777680749933037
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 28352435.443810105,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -7.024374085244567,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.457120763230325
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 37671564.32584992,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 32.868883170579146,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.74864312815661
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 33032521.29062885,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -12.314442254360525,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.700719932521234
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 39352076.8931565,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 19.131314703248137,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.547308554514558
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 39935709.70522657,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.4831054880652728,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.9645602704488008
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 54634814.355970606,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 36.8069198199833,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.261282026777724
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 64328924.89796546,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 17.74346752390028,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 17.800249886420282
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 70387559.5326255,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.418212171693941,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.79385280973769
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 209992542.41883945,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 198.33758097765178,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 56.64317117193522
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 287750445.12298626,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 37.0288876969046,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 64.76687452283882
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 301269164.1593899,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.698070590516612,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 62.36269757623052
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 280358913.20617044,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -6.940720604965955,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.112553003139158
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 269920552.14885247,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.723213554349103,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.1096270373403003
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 241024713.99303013,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -10.705312332010653,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.167018704228434
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 236746871.44409007,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.7748563946283769,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.480091268856024
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 350055902.8520638,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 47.8608358018926,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.052045789468522
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 334506025.15905595,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.442112692948741,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.544318949514754
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 333418705.53172386,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.3250523295701746,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.090439191921853
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 458989601.2186183,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 37.66162293943245,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.451524152967483
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 465174383.14574975,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.3474775704527708,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.618782710443076
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 300709344.87276495,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -35.35556647827147,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.383273010094079
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 385467092.1490692,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 28.185937258506755,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.652987284472044
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 253740987.23519167,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -34.1731129833869,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -18.29318563618282
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "hs_code": "151110",
      "hs_description": "Vegetable oils: palm oil and its fractions, crude, not chemically modified",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 566832513.1313491,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 73.61740140182467,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1139618046774258,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "hs_code": "151190",
      "hs_description": "Vegetable oils: palm oil and its fractions, other than crude, whether or not refined, but not chemically modified",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 534500232.3776916,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 64.95874907580453,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.066072581177014,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "hs_code": "480256",
      "hs_description": "Paper and paperboard: uncoated, for printing & writing, with no, or not more than 10% weight of all fibre got by mechanical/chemi-mechanical process, weight 40-150g/m2, one side not more than 435mm, other side not more than 297mm, unfolded, sheets",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 24493670.580688816,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 21.410413867626513,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2068669992600582,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "hs_code": "382319",
      "hs_description": "Industrial monocarboxylic fatty acids: acid oils from refining: (other than stearic acid, oleic acid or tall oil fatty acids)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 55704234.012422815,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 23.552872894846786,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1537759364138886,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "hs_code": "480255",
      "hs_description": "Paper and paperboard: uncoated, for printing & writing, containing no, or not more than 10% by weight of total fibres obtained by mechanical or chemi-mechanical process, weighing 40g/m2 to 150g/m2, in rolls",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 46081791.52121845,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 36.40683626613679,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.309961090977547,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "hs_code": "550932",
      "hs_description": "Yarn: (not sewing thread), multiple (folded) or cabled, of synthetic staple fibres, containing 85% or more by weight of acrylic or modacrylic, not put up for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13230372.936868772,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 23.310847730011943,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7719582124640946,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "hs_code": "540752",
      "hs_description": "Fabrics, woven: containing 85% or more by weight of textured polyester filaments, dyed",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 68645660.28130786,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9107710390609681,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "hs_code": "540761",
      "hs_description": "Fabrics, woven: containing 85% or more by weight of non-textured polyester filaments",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 43983223.8924754,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1493384560354403,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "hs_code": "300220",
      "hs_description": "Vaccines: for human medicine",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 114441232.0405517,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.468788625309524,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "hs_code": "390690",
      "hs_description": "Acrylic polymers: (other than polymethyl methacrylate), in primary forms",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 43130865.421478905,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.8152021985998217,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
    "importer_iso3": "KEN",
    "distance_km": 7793,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 110347.079517,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2006.832203582084,
    "importer_population": 54985.703,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 23,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 22.4,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 1186092.99132,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 4291.8125855504495,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 27.705803971515152,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 27.705803971515152,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IDN-KEN/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IDN-KEN/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IDN-KEN/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IDN-KEN/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IDN-KEN/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}