{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:10.030Z", "seo": { "title": "Indonesia exports to Italy: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Indonesia to Italy, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "IDN", "country_name": "Indonesia" }, "importer": { "iso3": "ITA", "country_name": "Italy" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "all_history_lane_count": 611, "current_lane_count": 385, "current_product_count": 385, "first_observed_last_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 2043290364.6679475, "attention_trade_usd": 1698133876.545568, "critical_trade_usd": 113005076.16638447, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 1200401528.9096348, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 505944983.3732788, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 1016790.0027301931, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 1039177330.4708819, "access_friction_trade_usd": 2043290364.6679475, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 4, "high_attention_lane_count": 119, "high_volatility_lane_count": 169, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 240, "declining_demand_lane_count": 4, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 94, "access_friction_lane_count": 385, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.0966411896907133, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 36.90723414437207, "product_concentration_hhi": 618.0070707459867, "top1_product_share_pct": 19.4317386178205, "top3_product_share_pct": 35.20163110088326, "top_product_hs6": "151190", "top_product_trade_usd": 397046842.86538684, "top_product_description": "Vegetable oils: palm oil and its fractions, other than crude, whether or not refined, but not chemically modified", "top_attention_product_hs6": "151190", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 10823.77734375, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.924863798829293, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.920413126868687, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.6375390997815673, "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.28287402708712, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 11, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 2099880.198259, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 35551, "buyer_population_latest": 59066.223, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.3456337761183397, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.6164129413341017, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.26132844935394806, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 21.387999999999998, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 22.601999999999997, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 83.10781012377208, "critical_trade_share_pct": 5.530544171324802, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "declining_buyer_demand", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 2099880.198259, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 35551, "buyer_population_2024": 59066.223 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 847170467.9352845, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 800949407.8520594, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.455933821191228, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 851175161.6116325, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.270777313421783, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 937264080.2550753, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.114124862436103, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.4261571296338555 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 769281746.2583586, "yoy_growth_pct": -17.922625814381, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.3356829003753568 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 800134765.3170266, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.010626692850994, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.0401601933608404 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 724849778.6961399, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.40903831257195, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.210005097091821 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 798790338.9830316, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.2008115971141, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.2626119658526669 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 1022544344.3072566, "yoy_growth_pct": 28.011606350809657, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.519138353076961 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 1154891358.4153726, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.942911947528035, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.796825876544872 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 1152594057.5773468, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.1989192161917286, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.000714843767124 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 1380304372.344005, "yoy_growth_pct": 19.756332532659915, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.517462335483074 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 1591689410.7953756, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.314378675219341, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.285623944519552 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 2111225142.5600648, "yoy_growth_pct": 32.64052196622169, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.35434347057779 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 1806524633.4238226, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.432402446986936, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.38463989578915 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 2393345107.547824, "yoy_growth_pct": 32.48339177151587, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.564219231915443 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 3237430008.927697, "yoy_growth_pct": 35.267997862819975, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.315746012585407 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 2345293674.510595, "yoy_growth_pct": -27.556930403341628, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.089876001768449 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 2224899997.341848, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.133415847969236, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.403317259216131 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 2352255022.201422, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.724078610801797, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.099659051540122 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 1958149043.4646873, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.754389937188876, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.836446893644154 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 1631238551.405514, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.694872800935933, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.828562390065244 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 1927635581.6746895, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.17006041291709, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.420617178226884 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 1954725684.6344218, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.405353958874156, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.05830941484228358 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 1812489000.5603232, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.276554720295703, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.574449651453593 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 1782899794.028699, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.6325178537622498, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.5682132630328813 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 2725803203.574956, "yoy_growth_pct": 52.88594528443136, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.72136314855441 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 3199813086.415201, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.3897323995573, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.860135512199808 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 2219116684.9512005, "yoy_growth_pct": -30.64855274289442, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.568323826605239 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 2095148224.5551472, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.5863876485962916, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.397621206160167 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "hs_code": "151190", "hs_description": "Vegetable oils: palm oil and its fractions, other than crude, whether or not refined, but not chemically modified", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 748890641.8211211, "current_below_peak_pct": 31.797726206257508, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.082010304755565, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "hs_code": "382319", "hs_description": "Industrial monocarboxylic fatty acids: acid oils from refining: (other than stearic acid, oleic acid or tall oil fatty acids)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 478061435.96225595, "current_below_peak_pct": 35.78506697626383, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.655824408561102, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "hs_code": "721891", "hs_description": "Steel, stainless: semi-finished products, of rectangular (other than square) cross-section", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 111849389.51934412, "current_below_peak_pct": 46.70955239686036, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6397541497875034, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "hs_code": "152200", "hs_description": "Degras: residues resulting from the treatment of fatty substances or animal or vegetable waxes", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 160036207.81651855, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3450348409796073, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "hs_code": "230690", "hs_description": "Oil-cake and other solid residues: whether or not ground or in the form of pellets, resulting from the extraction of oils, n.e.c. in heading no. 2306", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 94045050.86511557, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4265101866691356, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "hs_code": "151110", "hs_description": "Vegetable oils: palm oil and its fractions, crude, not chemically modified", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 221177748.93926087, "current_below_peak_pct": 88.94017692006577, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9821866199655348, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "hs_code": "721912", "hs_description": "Steel, stainless: flat-rolled, width 600mm or more, hot-rolled, in coils, of a thickness of 4.75mm or more but not exceeding 10mm", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 389338696.5994052, "current_below_peak_pct": 48.32332519086519, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8218313963496742, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "hs_code": "711319", "hs_description": "Jewellery: of precious metal (excluding silver) whether or not plated or clad with precious metal, and parts thereof", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2122253481.6621737, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3560763596875964, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "hs_code": "270112", "hs_description": "Coal: bituminous, whether or not pulverised, but not agglomerated", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 604100390.0246077, "current_below_peak_pct": 91.50460588947841, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9181228015803643, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "hs_code": "640399", "hs_description": "Footwear: n.e.c. in heading no. 6403, (not covering the ankle), outer soles of rubber, plastics or composition leather, uppers of leather", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1765497582.3410091, "current_below_peak_pct": 13.61701269894024, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5543580809800119, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "distance_km": 10830, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 1, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 2099880.198259, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 35551.286193786254, "importer_population": 59066.223, "importer_biz_entry_days": 11, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 13.8, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 1186092.99132, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 4291.8125855504495, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.924863798829293, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.920413126868687, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.6375390997815673, "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.28287402708712 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IDN-ITA/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IDN-ITA/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IDN-ITA/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IDN-ITA/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IDN-ITA/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }