{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:12.842Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Indonesia exports to Croatia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Indonesia to Croatia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "IDN",
    "country_name": "Indonesia"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "HRV",
    "country_name": "Croatia"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
    "importer_iso3": "HRV",
    "all_history_lane_count": 83,
    "current_lane_count": 46,
    "current_product_count": 46,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1996,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 72649747.52284098,
    "attention_trade_usd": 65043273.34084708,
    "critical_trade_usd": 16311641.41962416,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 43379458.042032965,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 19945803.846952666,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 55870732.03143758,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 72649747.52284098,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 1,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 6,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 26,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 21,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 10,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 46,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.0578148923915163,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 24.89866681283894,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 1604.7953567101222,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 24.109614375497355,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 64.05384773589194,
    "top_product_hs6": "151190",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 17515573.9725294,
    "top_product_description": "Vegetable oils: palm oil and its fractions, other than crude, whether or not refined, but not chemically modified",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "151190",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 10566.4931640625,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 7.37652828007663,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 7.37652828007663,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 19.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 67837.788544,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 17399,
    "buyer_population_latest": 3899,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 8.630920182413139,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 9.094435516675814,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.42487532207068357,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 24.842,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 22.32,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 89.52993721058365,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 22.45244061515259,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Critical attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 67837.788544,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 17399,
    "buyer_population_2024": 3899
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 2486872.9312435444,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 2535710.851172813,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.9638285219843343,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 3423101.205769436,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 34.99572335647767,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 4116593.094312633,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 20.25916988298089,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.293654443903673
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 4055858.607122824,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.4753580399704314,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.948420093359108
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 7809894.332451751,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 92.55834803353744,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 31.646244018341264
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 9084766.011054523,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 16.323801889423926,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 30.194289215287707
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 14114056.049302133,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 55.35959904886785,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 51.5385091924605
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 19853608.432459988,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 40.66550652136347,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 36.47866470316712
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 39551258.575149424,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 99.21445872018124,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 63.28596377789177
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 18280216.251215797,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -53.78094930536168,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.004182897580337
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 25603600.890208095,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 40.06180527818006,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.848019697893662
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 43593219.492693946,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 70.26206461984745,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.2966440282105047
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 56963659.286020935,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 30.67091613999242,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 46.06254057126282
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 41883288.135078676,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -26.473669950208112,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 17.82747569977674
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 53025260.12462317,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 26.602429001300678,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.746740108883964
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 74072071.33031918,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 39.692047066304845,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.14877596181669
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 30810976.97520531,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -58.40405645225455,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.727618476145384
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 15253014.082823649,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -50.49487039927916,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -33.98778768122668
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 20155772.8673579,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 32.14288505807665,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -35.19900782282266
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 20615248.608402044,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.279623530528374,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -12.536328821544574
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 37278961.5239533,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 80.83197652421093,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 34.70055284262179
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 34581278.372639164,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -7.23647612764311,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.714621305507695
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 30238006.952026993,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -12.559603418387743,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.620020162691414
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 28661371.784909416,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.214084280154207,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.389682359535344
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 36384242.49607868,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 26.94522358917746,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.7085425868471615
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 38797473.6711766,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6.632627229653076,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.663434654452317
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 115016972.84482023,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 196.4547996594649,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 58.911375497584494
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 147152698.61268017,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 27.93998570212515,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 59.32538055430936
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 100129465.6102428,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -31.955399694168683,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 37.16800338161439
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "hs_code": "151190",
      "hs_description": "Vegetable oils: palm oil and its fractions, other than crude, whether or not refined, but not chemically modified",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 32220056.45444752,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 10.903379076425368,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3724267176057505,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "hs_code": "270119",
      "hs_description": "Coal: (other than anthracite and bituminous), whether or not pulverised but not agglomerated",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 18105081.387341194,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 64.20474235141639,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.240006552102805,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "hs_code": "480300",
      "hs_description": "Tissue, towel, napkin stock or similar: for household or sanitary use, cellulose, wadding webs of cellulose fibres, in rolls exceeding 36cm in width or rectangular sheets with one side more than 36cm in unfolded state",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 67288740.29930374,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 22.312461927602133,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.919680523871871,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "hs_code": "151790",
      "hs_description": "Edible mixtures or preparations of animal or vegetable fats or oils or of fractions of different fats or oils of this chapter, other than edible fats or oils of heading no. 1516",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 21095154.42177311,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.894696377092861,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "hs_code": "270400",
      "hs_description": "Coke and semi-coke: of coal, lignite or peat, whether or not agglomerated: retort carbon",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 26265875.51779808,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "hs_code": "210390",
      "hs_description": "Sauces and preparations therefor: mixed condiments and mixed seasonings",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 42042538.84934574,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2973763831643959,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "hs_code": "480256",
      "hs_description": "Paper and paperboard: uncoated, for printing & writing, with no, or not more than 10% weight of all fibre got by mechanical/chemi-mechanical process, weight 40-150g/m2, one side not more than 435mm, other side not more than 297mm, unfolded, sheets",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 19288440.999918498,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 60.81826127080171,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1333646918095677,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "hs_code": "640299",
      "hs_description": "Footwear: n.e.s. in heading no. 6402, (other than just covering the ankle), with outer soles and uppers of rubber or plastics",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 99341436.13995323,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8859199082637813,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "hs_code": "180400",
      "hs_description": "Cocoa: butter, fat and oil",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 19425760.596890796,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3035271991716506,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "hs_code": "400122",
      "hs_description": "Rubber: technically specified natural rubber (TSNR), in primary forms or in plates, sheets or strip (excluding latex and smoked sheets)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 26152491.529120684,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3853785436187385,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
    "importer_iso3": "HRV",
    "distance_km": 10568,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 67837.78854400001,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 17398.76597691716,
    "importer_population": 3899,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 19.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 6.2,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 1186092.99132,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 4291.8125855504495,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 7.37652828007663,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 7.37652828007663,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IDN-HRV/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IDN-HRV/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IDN-HRV/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IDN-HRV/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IDN-HRV/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}