{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:12.905Z", "seo": { "title": "Indonesia exports to Brunei: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Indonesia to Brunei, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "IDN", "country_name": "Indonesia" }, "importer": { "iso3": "BRN", "country_name": "Brunei" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "all_history_lane_count": 32, "current_lane_count": 28, "current_product_count": 28, "first_observed_last_year": 2012, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 199760353.87276697, "attention_trade_usd": 107511230.969455, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 21432752.255820733, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 10733596.515639372, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 114979483.97059347, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 6, "high_volatility_lane_count": 14, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 13, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 21, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.635492975974692, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 21.787092953313568, "product_concentration_hhi": 2693.4386638956157, "top1_product_share_pct": 41.85486686541938, "top3_product_share_pct": 81.31269743823275, "top_product_hs6": "270112", "top_product_trade_usd": 83609430.16333725, "top_product_description": "Coal: bituminous, whether or not pulverised, but not agglomerated", "top_attention_product_hs6": "270112", "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "distance_km": 1533.213134765625, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.5278000235557556, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.8059946277939394, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 2.28654773359596, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.8584464271365656, "tariff_advantage_pp": 1.4281013064593944, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 5.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 14006.569576, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 31723, "buyer_population_latest": 441.532, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 2.6363175751219714, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 1.731441922235355, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.889474911383159, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 56.65599999999999, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 53.82010438264039, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 14006.569576, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 31723, "buyer_population_2024": 441.532 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 32619700.71281027, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 28920594.63032122, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.340098166616086, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 37898993.4332977, "yoy_growth_pct": 31.045000691525402, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 46626780.67911842, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.02907400741827, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.64670330402813 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 31746195.478027083, "yoy_growth_pct": -31.914245385068018, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.1560781832775886 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 29997023.25986301, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.5098640697741175, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.498204766337835 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 26016266.87627487, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.270504706760434, "cagr_3y_pct": -17.67409453238793 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 34108164.668705225, "yoy_growth_pct": 31.103224113255212, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.4209708743628378 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 33280250.835609637, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.4273186233770394, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.5228318866835195 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 31604322.95035251, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.035803045882991, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.700675947765289 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 38946241.84758632, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.230742543566873, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.520722178408065 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 41957949.32508625, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.732986122989893, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.029546855468773 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 51739460.75049143, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.312653699109443, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.857837708478662 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 63213553.29407506, "yoy_growth_pct": 22.17667593969781, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.520838716049013 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 69665906.50596029, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.207230689704016, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.413716734279916 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 61990706.17381233, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.017154182141164, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.2106895862837685 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 78290536.18849495, "yoy_growth_pct": 26.293989890969183, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.390621252278162 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 81595103.38020423, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.220902490376477, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.409867671795077 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 129246912.74078237, "yoy_growth_pct": 58.400329660148365, "cagr_3y_pct": 27.751065630140516 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 100479339.93242185, "yoy_growth_pct": -22.25784136605009, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.673211631730936 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 95449559.24080059, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.005785960580633, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.366675313539226 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 88376855.34525682, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.409886385856135, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.900632849743076 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 68036010.81986728, "yoy_growth_pct": -23.016031115754366, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.187968867474597 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 65472761.93207688, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.7674885063101127, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.808056871062089 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 109306541.61856572, "yoy_growth_pct": 66.94964194723163, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.341881444521969 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 128062249.5579873, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.158815622281033, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.469804823546614 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 227587750.51799768, "yoy_growth_pct": 77.71650217259747, "cagr_3y_pct": 51.482596473299424 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 246283543.4637058, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.214762395232533, "cagr_3y_pct": 31.098104745863587 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 196232192.2902142, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.32265350318363, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.287718067581313 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 242495730.94605544, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.57591693590242, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.1374642220602036 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "hs_code": "270112", "hs_description": "Coal: bituminous, whether or not pulverised, but not agglomerated", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 83610455.5776806, "current_below_peak_pct": 41.58103382837675, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7263520457339478, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "hs_code": "270900", "hs_description": "Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 3640592450.7823744, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "hs_code": "870322", "hs_description": "Vehicles: with only spark-ignition internal combustion piston engine, cylinder capacity over 1000 but not over 1500cc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 81430795.97669263, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9078575251095569, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "hs_code": "890190", "hs_description": "Vessels: n.e.s. in heading no. 8901, for the transport of goods and other vessels for the transport of both persons and goods", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 30045012.52471828, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5297464845890465, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "hs_code": "870323", "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 3000cc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 54515635.96722641, "current_below_peak_pct": 55.997136053382, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9512288181922468, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "hs_code": "190230", "hs_description": "Food preparations: pasta (excluding stuffed), cooked or otherwise prepared", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10022675.785745388, "current_below_peak_pct": 12.379684630365077, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6540037733398557, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "hs_code": "870332", "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 2500cc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12151127.174498957, "current_below_peak_pct": 69.06721555955964, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8240551301174334, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "hs_code": "870321", "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity not exceeding 1000cc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10187717.704949256, "current_below_peak_pct": 55.6259302957571, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.033260745953654, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "hs_code": "220299", "hs_description": "Non-alcoholic beverages: other than non-alcoholic beer, n.e.c. in item no. 2202.10, not including fruit, nut or vegetable juices of heading no. 2009", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 22864482.497032695, "current_below_peak_pct": 9.198383010360088, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6921410495154782, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "hs_code": "190590", "hs_description": "Food preparations: bakers' wares n.e.c. in heading no. 1605, whether or not containing cocoa: communion wafers, empty cachets suitable for pharmaceutical use, sealing wafers, rice papers and similar products", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16404938.81395242, "current_below_peak_pct": 38.16258219006697, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6951083331887402, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "distance_km": 1527, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 1, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 2, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 14006.569575999998, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 31722.66013788355, "importer_population": 441.532, "importer_biz_entry_days": 5.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1.1, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 1186092.99132, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 4291.8125855504495, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.8059946277939394, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 2.28654773359596, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.8584464271365656, "tariff_advantage_pp": 1.4281013064593944 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IDN-BRN/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IDN-BRN/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IDN-BRN/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IDN-BRN/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IDN-BRN/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }