{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:18.441Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Indonesia exports to Afghanistan: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Indonesia to Afghanistan, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "IDN",
    "country_name": "Indonesia"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "AFG",
    "country_name": "Afghanistan"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
    "importer_iso3": "AFG",
    "all_history_lane_count": 30,
    "current_lane_count": 7,
    "current_product_count": 7,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2000,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 3144891.7199999997,
    "attention_trade_usd": 1116605.7,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 708603.1599999999,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 1972624.7400000002,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 3144891.7199999997,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 3144891.7199999997,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 1,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 3,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 5,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 7,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.9179188796968986,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 56.71819639853768,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 2538.4178079858584,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 35.50537822650377,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 79.70371711239711,
    "top_product_hs6": "210690",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 1116605.7,
    "top_product_description": "Food preparations: n.e.s. in item no. 2106.10",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "210690",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
    "distance_km": 6000.78564453125,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 5.049065472323233,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.049065472323233,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 8.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 20116.137326,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 517,
    "buyer_population_latest": 39835.426,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": -1.8172621057140348,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -3.58436239429053,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.4121484487080735,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 21.442,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 3.722,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer economy and income contracted",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 35.50537822650377,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "buyer_macro_weakness"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Watch",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 20116.137326,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 517,
    "buyer_population_2024": 39835.426
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "AFG",
      "export_value_usd": 3827168.9999999665,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "AFG",
      "export_value_usd": 8104331,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 111.75785548012307,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "AFG",
      "export_value_usd": 16972196.518151335,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 109.421314580455,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "AFG",
      "export_value_usd": 10748265,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -36.67133780530409,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 41.086970590528395
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "AFG",
      "export_value_usd": 8596816,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -20.016709673607792,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.9859049180440902
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "AFG",
      "export_value_usd": 6646558.663390239,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -22.685809916249934,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -26.837883020022034
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "AFG",
      "export_value_usd": 6430268.574754238,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.2541665482822446,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -15.738293759776534
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "AFG",
      "export_value_usd": 8588422.593077833,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 33.56242423211815,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.032555231333519785
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "AFG",
      "export_value_usd": 18492908.38997955,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 115.32368941515077,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 40.64883049942629
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "AFG",
      "export_value_usd": 14040038.764044002,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -24.078795676878773,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 29.731786324812525
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "AFG",
      "export_value_usd": 9297641.277068868,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -33.777666619555426,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.6801418910965102
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "AFG",
      "export_value_usd": 10251357.902352683,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 10.257619076313507,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -17.852933489082478
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "AFG",
      "export_value_usd": 9558233.894762903,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -6.76128971587957,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -12.029623852369586
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "AFG",
      "export_value_usd": 14855229.927614491,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 55.418146188637316,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.905658002835455
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "AFG",
      "export_value_usd": 22122533.97493948,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 48.920845269555514,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 29.22637390820235
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "AFG",
      "export_value_usd": 54051829.14089181,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 144.3292852533168,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 78.16029119199396
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "AFG",
      "export_value_usd": 31419339.211235303,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -41.871829851793784,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 28.362812145473004
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "AFG",
      "export_value_usd": 43591003.40460958,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 38.7394022246712,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 25.36818305878892
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "AFG",
      "export_value_usd": 45949496.93635668,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.410505259206055,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.269436234191504
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "AFG",
      "export_value_usd": 57076666.5812907,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 24.216085891747507,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 22.017049220184127
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "AFG",
      "export_value_usd": 34874409.44431567,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -38.899008065500375,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.1667976470972565
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "AFG",
      "export_value_usd": 18604578.14501365,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -46.652636011744455,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -26.020222301256503
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "AFG",
      "export_value_usd": 22839906.611828256,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 22.764979854970523,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -26.30943141139315
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "AFG",
      "export_value_usd": 27455144.903263032,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 20.206905263984964,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.663737269247683
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "AFG",
      "export_value_usd": 20181786.359060135,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -26.491787130719025,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.749549368375792
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "AFG",
      "export_value_usd": 20024401.649428245,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.7798353764716937,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.290493999824396
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "AFG",
      "export_value_usd": 15047504.27,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -24.854162768805377,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -18.163525518177458
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "AFG",
      "export_value_usd": 12902238.775,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -14.256619945122628,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -13.853992054494157
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "AFG",
      "export_value_usd": 5104171.925,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -60.439641414092506,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -36.59523232787025
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "AFG",
      "export_value_usd": 6251237.489999999,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 22.473098121591974,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -25.38367745841136
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "AFG",
      "hs_code": "210690",
      "hs_description": "Food preparations: n.e.s. in item no. 2106.10",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 92558843.79640564,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 7.763512652847729,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6818357317240753,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "AFG",
      "hs_code": "300220",
      "hs_description": "Vaccines: for human medicine",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 75216004.009,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 79.01465046318921,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9943202168213331,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "AFG",
      "hs_code": "340111",
      "hs_description": "Soap and organic surface-active products: in the form of bars, cakes, moulded shapes, and paper, wadding, felt and nonwovens, impregnated, coated or covered with soap or detergent, for toilet use (including medicated products)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10031117.012999997,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 91.69076482873547,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1666015871410187,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "AFG",
      "hs_code": "850710",
      "hs_description": "Electric accumulators: lead-acid, of a kind used for starting piston engines, including separators, whether or not rectangular (including square)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 24126530.326588724,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 90.37954467140351,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9575466402064582,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "AFG",
      "hs_code": "151190",
      "hs_description": "Vegetable oils: palm oil and its fractions, other than crude, whether or not refined, but not chemically modified",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 236404063.306,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 99.46416088260854,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2518845516108146,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "AFG",
      "hs_code": "392490",
      "hs_description": "Plastics: household articles and hygienic or toilet articles",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10233776.011,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6778009075470368,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
      "importer_iso3": "AFG",
      "hs_code": "300420",
      "hs_description": "Medicaments: containing antibiotics (other than penicillins, streptomycins or their derivatives), for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 26039117.015164822,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 83.53836990641585,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.056020525646334,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "IDN",
    "importer_iso3": "AFG",
    "distance_km": 5999,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 20116.137326,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 504.9811021476211,
    "importer_population": 39835.426,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 8.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 6.8,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 1186092.99132,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 4291.8125855504495,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 5.049065472323233,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.049065472323233,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IDN-AFG/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IDN-AFG/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IDN-AFG/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IDN-AFG/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IDN-AFG/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}