{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:13.423Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Hungary exports to Poland: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Hungary to Poland, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "HUN",
    "country_name": "Hungary"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "POL",
    "country_name": "Poland"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "HUN",
    "importer_iso3": "POL",
    "all_history_lane_count": 1410,
    "current_lane_count": 1313,
    "current_product_count": 1313,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1995,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 7186915961.291248,
    "attention_trade_usd": 1612252208.9732337,
    "critical_trade_usd": 181344283.01212832,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 3820876711.2961216,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 882311529.010324,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 1677228271.00202,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 6,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 159,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 874,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 560,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 425,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.1615149408676144,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 17.48498288862795,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 196.3194636257665,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 10.842196033100562,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 18.30876363499093,
    "top_product_hs6": "300215",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 779219517.2573907,
    "top_product_description": "Blood, human or animal, antisera, other blood fractions and immunological products: immunological products, put up in measured doses or in forms or packings for retail sale",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "220710",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
    "distance_km": 546.8059692382812,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.13072437047958374,
    "has_reported_fta": 1,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 7.812898250026261,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.415188815959596,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.5873616441959595,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 7.827827171763638,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 37,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 674048.2663969999,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 17841,
    "buyer_population_latest": 37781.025,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 8.774876361756622,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 9.599090635201723,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.7520265621440814,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 22.94,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 22.524,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 22.43315794503274,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 2.5232559277004096,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Watch",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 674048.2663969999,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 17841,
    "buyer_population_2024": 37781.025
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "HUN",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 353499787.8228904,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "HUN",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 393655631.86139965,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.359510082260083,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "HUN",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 535943428.2241142,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 36.145245957718686,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "HUN",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 540039781.1778822,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 0.7643256243185181,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 15.171634868808237
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "HUN",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 555124157.5947074,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.7931972685280027,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.139311674888908
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "HUN",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 648124515.4626529,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 16.75307345133492,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.540116261483719
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "HUN",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 657375639.9527665,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.427368394406403,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.7732883213181605
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "HUN",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 779153769.0056704,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 18.524892261242563,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.963813688527903
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "HUN",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 1050522596.4568006,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 34.828661330540925,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 17.46693843173077
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "HUN",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 1587114610.6702647,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 51.07857898757058,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 34.1523323658419
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "HUN",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 1884475044.3778455,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 18.73591432580919,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 34.231900231754175
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "HUN",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 2783428538.1496763,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 47.703125411704136,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 38.37518858436335
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "HUN",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 3489939768.7343864,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 25.382768801184085,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 30.03788002283583
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "HUN",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 3941094162.7916284,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.927283103824205,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 27.881819547997043
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "HUN",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 2860811065.1216006,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -27.410740597601503,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.9182475577190319
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "HUN",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 3214069225.046434,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.348182102330396,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.7075593246158047
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "HUN",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 3915934363.420685,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 21.837275093666065,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.21325321320104784
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "HUN",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 3457831657.697824,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.698426562050301,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.521732930719271
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "HUN",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 3722175325.167171,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.6447812860080955,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.013999673882119
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "HUN",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 3768928204.1837296,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.2560633213713146,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.267343970537116
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "HUN",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 3369948556.0019627,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -10.586024104648006,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.8544693187955255
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "HUN",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 3729906871.765189,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 10.68141871549142,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.06919071848354719
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "HUN",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 4118934736.9312344,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 10.42996188754537,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.004377563485483
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "HUN",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 4660174167.693611,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 13.140276924261762,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.410543357730019
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "HUN",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 4523528275.545209,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.9322056908450356,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.6415479135678135
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "HUN",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 4396871025.421864,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.799965920586178,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.2004807188761744
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "HUN",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 5416974123.904806,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 23.20066002811778,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.144091046946131
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "HUN",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 5753298923.036095,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6.208720799442369,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.346081729572541
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "HUN",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 6386506133.766178,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.005984900154143,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.250432443570915
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "HUN",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 7314934946.357872,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 14.537350988876163,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.531119579183535
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HUN",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "hs_code": "300215",
      "hs_description": "Blood, human or animal, antisera, other blood fractions and immunological products: immunological products, put up in measured doses or in forms or packings for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 3198442970.4888015,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.9497470049087704,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HUN",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "hs_code": "300490",
      "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 5932968163.308607,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7084690279200003,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HUN",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "hs_code": "870340",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: with both spark-ignition internal combustion piston engine and electric motor for propulsion, incapable of being charged by plugging to external source of electric power",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 5539020546.30921,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1331333384073226,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HUN",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "hs_code": "950300",
      "hs_description": "Tricycles, scooters, pedal cars and similar wheeled toys: dolls' carriages: dolls: other toys: reduced-size (scale) models and similar recreational models, working or not: puzzles of all kinds",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1637150535.77316,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.036137034380286,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HUN",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "hs_code": "220710",
      "hs_description": "Undenatured ethyl alcohol: of an alcoholic strength by volume of 80% vol. or higher",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 220804031.75192097,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9174767392082063,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HUN",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "hs_code": "870322",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: with only spark-ignition internal combustion piston engine, cylinder capacity over 1000 but not over 1500cc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2730540475.5438857,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2153155577295736,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HUN",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "hs_code": "853710",
      "hs_description": "Boards, panels, consoles, desks and other bases: for electric control or the distribution of electricity, (other than switching apparatus of heading no. 8517), for a voltage not exceeding 1000 volts",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1474565841.9316962,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 6.095319500354253,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2593216068638053,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HUN",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "hs_code": "401110",
      "hs_description": "Rubber: new pneumatic tyres, of a kind used on motor cars (including station wagons and racing cars)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1238779771.5550914,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9450762742123396,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HUN",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "hs_code": "741011",
      "hs_description": "Copper: foil, not backed, of a thickness not exceeding 0.15mm, of refined copper",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 141985669.28008902,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.9378923752413966,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HUN",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "hs_code": "852872",
      "hs_description": "Reception apparatus for television, whether or not incorporating radio-broadcast receivers or sound or video recording or reproducing apparatus: incorporating a colour video display or screen",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 723714489.7984192,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 46.42350837352585,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6349349124425476,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "HUN",
    "importer_iso3": "POL",
    "distance_km": 545,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 1,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 2,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 674048.2663969999,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 17840.920578438512,
    "importer_population": 37781.025,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 37,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 11.6,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 182280.517581,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 18772.673292044827,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 7.812898250026261,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.415188815959596,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.5873616441959595,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 7.827827171763638
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HUN-POL/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HUN-POL/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HUN-POL/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HUN-POL/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HUN-POL/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}