{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:15.852Z", "seo": { "title": "Hungary exports to New Caledonia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Hungary to New Caledonia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "HUN", "country_name": "Hungary" }, "importer": { "iso3": "NCL", "country_name": "New Caledonia" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "NCL", "all_history_lane_count": 7, "current_lane_count": 2, "current_product_count": 2, "first_observed_last_year": 1999, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 469927.99999999994, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 0, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 432790.99999999994, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 37136.99999999999, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 469927.99999999994, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 0, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.6137317018509345, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 79.34804025374473, "product_concentration_hhi": 8544.365336586647, "top1_product_share_pct": 92.09730001191672, "top3_product_share_pct": 100, "top_product_hs6": "870322", "top_product_trade_usd": 432790.99999999994, "top_product_description": "Vehicles: with only spark-ignition internal combustion piston engine, cylinder capacity over 1000 but not over 1500cc", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": 15995.3125, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": null, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 9435.529927, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 34695, "buyer_population_latest": 272.62, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": -2.0373796350958373, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -2.6497579926365367, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.6290465692878167, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": null, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": null, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer economy and income contracted", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "buyer_macro_weakness" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 9435.529927, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 34695, "buyer_population_2024": 272.62 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "NCL", "export_value_usd": 491706.84947463585, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "NCL", "export_value_usd": 502970.3942095716, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.290703240552827, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "NCL", "export_value_usd": 526245.7116731707, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.627572066180297, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "NCL", "export_value_usd": 501459.6370894016, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.709981294662347, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.6568282266362413 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "NCL", "export_value_usd": 300339.0831077537, "yoy_growth_pct": -40.10702738689047, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.791394385320379 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "NCL", "export_value_usd": 488432.1634565306, "yoy_growth_pct": 62.62690769462531, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.4549516604540744 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "NCL", "export_value_usd": 380337.9635965287, "yoy_growth_pct": -22.130852132063183, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.80355726954064 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "NCL", "export_value_usd": 377935.2550057219, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.6317298878309341, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.961402697776587 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "NCL", "export_value_usd": 598337.4951258359, "yoy_growth_pct": 58.317459723829444, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.999230588570815 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "NCL", "export_value_usd": 986665.0913001414, "yoy_growth_pct": 64.90109667832813, "cagr_3y_pct": 37.404206576801926 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "NCL", "export_value_usd": 1153217.2117443925, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.88030942949277, "cagr_3y_pct": 45.04337713062605 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "NCL", "export_value_usd": 1153256.1826652202, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.003379321816465719, "cagr_3y_pct": 24.44950996476287 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "NCL", "export_value_usd": 1352271.184105881, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.256790332632722, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.078842000902679 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "NCL", "export_value_usd": 1848633.3661609287, "yoy_growth_pct": 36.70581669484005, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.03431671702318 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "NCL", "export_value_usd": 3153157.2356089507, "yoy_growth_pct": 70.56693302886427, "cagr_3y_pct": 39.832013761181464 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "NCL", "export_value_usd": 3582769.489003498, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.624828110152244, "cagr_3y_pct": 38.3731065369197 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "NCL", "export_value_usd": 5321129.315152058, "yoy_growth_pct": 48.520001956142124, "cagr_3y_pct": 42.24958519712754 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "NCL", "export_value_usd": 3751642.1926557943, "yoy_growth_pct": -29.49537644249891, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.964061137037202 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "NCL", "export_value_usd": 5202661.379799505, "yoy_growth_pct": 38.676907674836954, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.240618068732402 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "NCL", "export_value_usd": 5654551.281638304, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.685745022602509, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.046499389486711 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "NCL", "export_value_usd": 5470907.269995406, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.2477203317482384, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.39989368699721 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "NCL", "export_value_usd": 4845314.131370102, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.434906638909814, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.344031222872378 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "NCL", "export_value_usd": 4047113.5935122403, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.473659214168556, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.54957348017771 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "NCL", "export_value_usd": 3973377.2602129644, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.8219486949286434, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.112324556167597 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "NCL", "export_value_usd": 5127460.019202365, "yoy_growth_pct": 29.045385912525813, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.9045200937489515 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "NCL", "export_value_usd": 3900659.041339867, "yoy_growth_pct": -23.926095440395866, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.2210970323105363 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "NCL", "export_value_usd": 1841895.566870831, "yoy_growth_pct": -52.77988803045589, "cagr_3y_pct": -22.60699074736673 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "NCL", "export_value_usd": 2272889.2808186673, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.399465295420917, "cagr_3y_pct": -23.752548461545576 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "NCL", "export_value_usd": 2354844, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.6057506132376904, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.483523307897274 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "NCL", "export_value_usd": 1069728, "yoy_growth_pct": -54.57329657505975, "cagr_3y_pct": -16.567334172656977 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "NCL", "hs_code": "870322", "hs_description": "Vehicles: with only spark-ignition internal combustion piston engine, cylinder capacity over 1000 but not over 1500cc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10635235.485458484, "current_below_peak_pct": 84.19866085071095, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.60683608373292, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "NCL", "hs_code": "210690", "hs_description": "Food preparations: n.e.s. in item no. 2106.10", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 19945918.184418604, "current_below_peak_pct": 22.819377766693687, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6940925673197023, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "NCL", "distance_km": 15982, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 1, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 0, "exporter_is_eu": 1, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 9435.529927, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 34610.556551243484, "importer_population": 272.62, "importer_biz_entry_days": null, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 182280.517581, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 18772.673292044827, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HUN-NCL/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HUN-NCL/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HUN-NCL/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HUN-NCL/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HUN-NCL/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }