{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:13.452Z", "seo": { "title": "Hungary exports to Luxembourg: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Hungary to Luxembourg, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "HUN", "country_name": "Hungary" }, "importer": { "iso3": "LUX", "country_name": "Luxembourg" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "all_history_lane_count": 131, "current_lane_count": 101, "current_product_count": 101, "first_observed_last_year": 2000, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 167274447.62645626, "attention_trade_usd": 70208834.9860948, "critical_trade_usd": 11208798.172934048, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 60979084.639156885, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 31752663.573119283, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 23849.755714885967, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 124151001.76595706, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 1, "high_attention_lane_count": 5, "high_volatility_lane_count": 67, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 56, "declining_demand_lane_count": 1, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 45, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.9804429923516158, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 28.06116199684991, "product_concentration_hhi": 1442.8974525071778, "top1_product_share_pct": 26.106569889253993, "top3_product_share_pct": 56.634860181761084, "top_product_hs6": "870870", "top_product_trade_usd": 43669620.57646437, "top_product_description": "Vehicle parts: road wheels and parts and accessories thereof", "top_attention_product_hs6": "870870", "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "distance_km": 977.3939819335938, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": null, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.23913070713434342, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 1.0591900595959596, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.18522128636363638, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.8739687732323231, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 16.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 86710.80333699999, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 135683, "buyer_population_latest": 639.07, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.9490070751361035, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 4.101286267407822, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.7749260109831688, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 22.124, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 54.153999999999996, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 41.9722414166206, "critical_trade_share_pct": 6.7008430348935475, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "declining_buyer_demand", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 86710.80333699999, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 135683, "buyer_population_2024": 639.07 }, "history": [ { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 6611401.30959651, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 13547772.892168634, "yoy_growth_pct": 104.91530097415077, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 17822694.265927706, "yoy_growth_pct": 31.55442158489543, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 19793060.972153183, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.055380723173247, "cagr_3y_pct": 44.125163951888794 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 31558260.951636482, "yoy_growth_pct": 59.44103338051519, "cagr_3y_pct": 32.56078027374352 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 31013044.253596343, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.7276512760816987, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.279149141093413 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 27925580.956915263, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.955369977338002, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.157869604831827 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 27573656.905792687, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.260221055617572, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.399440315794201 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 46702957.322684206, "yoy_growth_pct": 69.37527540234545, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.62165133748794 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 96776691.92171526, "yoy_growth_pct": 107.21748143925271, "cagr_3y_pct": 51.32924034034387 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 75277675.75693414, "yoy_growth_pct": -22.21507652087564, "cagr_3y_pct": 39.762484192907046 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 100484478.13149688, "yoy_growth_pct": 33.48509650584004, "cagr_3y_pct": 29.097609300456085 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 108133857.66678356, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.612498644095544, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.768046592094687 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 118380025.49797007, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.47544834917502, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.28867153173692 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 103690189.46013302, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.409049563930829, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.052306089847832 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 102986921.91323046, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.6782392341687649, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.6124542991261537 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 91743619.21256045, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.917214042131329, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.14577304299976 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 103652744.24590673, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.980875548144732, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.012038979709605435 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 90819379.72715797, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.381114086379386, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.104369750283999 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 114415266.72930183, "yoy_growth_pct": 25.981114463709474, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.6389294075506875 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 124243739.37806478, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.590175882748596, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.22609985071314 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 145007596.5880093, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.712195973723553, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.87924772359426 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 166659217.96607032, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.931370416114742, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.357028793829517 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 510044668.425613, "yoy_growth_pct": 206.04047867874402, "cagr_3y_pct": 60.11962565132374 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 196291242.17103994, "yoy_growth_pct": -61.51489186683502, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.62078167053122 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 196637311.7020152, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.17630411176148275, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.668496841290427 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "hs_code": "870870", "hs_description": "Vehicle parts: road wheels and parts and accessories thereof", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 116136528.07195197, "current_below_peak_pct": 8.584316749861244, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9420011114475331, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "hs_code": "480640", "hs_description": "Paper: glassine and other glazed transparent or translucent papers, in rolls or sheets", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 115857585.95480293, "current_below_peak_pct": 41.755370925584465, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.2951815650124334, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "hs_code": "852691", "hs_description": "Radio navigational aid apparatus", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16490068.37555349, "current_below_peak_pct": 67.31903509315698, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4273127242917665, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "hs_code": "240319", "hs_description": "Tobacco: smoking, other than water pipe tobacco, whether or not containing tobacco substitutes in any proportion", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 215648832.617414, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.9201677997531383, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "hs_code": "870332", "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 2500cc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 375702694.3712825, "current_below_peak_pct": 35.68432406680615, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9705104965384331, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "hs_code": "870322", "hs_description": "Vehicles: with only spark-ignition internal combustion piston engine, cylinder capacity over 1000 but not over 1500cc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 252396127.7669756, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.168100992462336, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "hs_code": "870323", "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 3000cc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 460997470.96042943, "current_below_peak_pct": 57.304856402238826, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0556418182900138, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "hs_code": "871690", "hs_description": "Trailers, semi-trailers and other vehicles not mechanically propelled: parts thereof for heading no. 8716", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 76734616.6504339, "current_below_peak_pct": 8.374098895363488, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3859944082609312, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "hs_code": "870380", "hs_description": "Vehicles: with only electric motor for propulsion", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 493775031.86452144, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.150658415041604, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "hs_code": "870340", "hs_description": "Vehicles: with both spark-ignition internal combustion piston engine and electric motor for propulsion, incapable of being charged by plugging to external source of electric power", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 121018898.90365475, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8318808268957679, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "distance_km": 980, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 2, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 1, "importer_is_eu": 1, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 86710.803337, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 135682.79427449263, "importer_population": 639.07, "importer_biz_entry_days": 16.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1.6, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 182280.517581, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 18772.673292044827, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.23913070713434342, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 1.0591900595959596, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.18522128636363638, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.8739687732323231 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HUN-LUX/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HUN-LUX/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HUN-LUX/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HUN-LUX/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HUN-LUX/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }