{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:15.858Z", "seo": { "title": "Hungary exports to Botswana: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Hungary to Botswana, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "HUN", "country_name": "Hungary" }, "importer": { "iso3": "BWA", "country_name": "Botswana" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "all_history_lane_count": 3, "current_lane_count": 3, "current_product_count": 3, "first_observed_last_year": 2024, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 430680.1952895835, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 347502.809298436, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 0, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 128079.23652312704, "access_friction_trade_usd": 430680.1952895835, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 2, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 0, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 2, "access_friction_lane_count": 3, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.062049951394549, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 16.297717507743517, "product_concentration_hhi": 5418.32281030619, "top1_product_share_pct": 70.26117338945474, "top3_product_share_pct": 100.00000000000003, "top_product_hs6": "851762", "top_product_trade_usd": 302600.9587664565, "top_product_description": "Communication apparatus (excluding telephone sets or base stations): machines for the reception, conversion and transmission or regeneration of voice, images or other data, including switching and routing apparatus", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": 8070.8115234375, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": null, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 48, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 17613.846473, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 7348, "buyer_population_latest": 2397.24, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.0129069649398543, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 1.4194113162523392, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.571193944045457, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 32.758, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 32.414, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 17613.846473, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 7348, "buyer_population_2024": 2397.24 }, "history": [ { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 44684.60147205781, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 18924.8886174065, "yoy_growth_pct": -57.64785184614297, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 126596.50165845592, "yoy_growth_pct": 568.9418586168932, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 409564.8649503707, "yoy_growth_pct": 223.5198916122767, "cagr_3y_pct": 109.27704834178127 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 1681784.1308195926, "yoy_growth_pct": 310.6270519624245, "cagr_3y_pct": 346.2507640362585 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 2884227.922516707, "yoy_growth_pct": 71.49810547392434, "cagr_3y_pct": 183.48883385828177 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 2573185.096077854, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.784266527988006, "cagr_3y_pct": 84.52254875050593 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 2115920.0530392677, "yoy_growth_pct": -17.77039062349486, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.955059580529977 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 1096859.565634143, "yoy_growth_pct": -48.16157803038755, "cagr_3y_pct": -27.54965074857909 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 879826.7474578285, "yoy_growth_pct": -19.786746177559955, "cagr_3y_pct": -30.073459223869815 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 2575310.5207908964, "yoy_growth_pct": 192.70655026481052, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.768575686046074 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 2039197.766804788, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.817402393147688, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.961581393116592 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 664166.8134199693, "yoy_growth_pct": -67.4299950582699, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.9471934255425 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 526875.3170423368, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.671237045205938, "cagr_3y_pct": -41.07592814847359 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 125590.87823479102, "yoy_growth_pct": -76.16307422792036, "cagr_3y_pct": -60.50886793687219 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 105341.98451207267, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.12290160505385, "cagr_3y_pct": -45.86957443597601 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 306690.6125473251, "yoy_growth_pct": 191.1380623479492, "cagr_3y_pct": -16.504280806762495 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 1310923.6977718489, "yoy_growth_pct": 327.4417423094623, "cagr_3y_pct": 118.544445162052 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 2465887.9914243477, "yoy_growth_pct": 88.10309063872816, "cagr_3y_pct": 186.06009815948354 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 2048376.8990054682, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.931470280518155, "cagr_3y_pct": 88.32289805701808 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 1885972.5942103956, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.9284386029701555, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.889267328864328 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 4449082.199369241, "yoy_growth_pct": 135.90386270867037, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.739737601393983 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 3136977.8486788357, "yoy_growth_pct": -29.49157358514135, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.265815584330467 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 3189734.1654359237, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.6817561137483672, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.144236218489596 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 2473907.8873835914, "yoy_growth_pct": -22.441565375856463, "cagr_3y_pct": -17.76859729615775 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "hs_code": "851762", "hs_description": "Communication apparatus (excluding telephone sets or base stations): machines for the reception, conversion and transmission or regeneration of voice, images or other data, including switching and routing apparatus", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 23437642.389256265, "current_below_peak_pct": 22.214654713275518, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3007918217798278, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "hs_code": "220210", "hs_description": "Waters: including mineral and aerated, containing added sugar or other sweetening matter or flavoured", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 39064272.14250133, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "hs_code": "392690", "hs_description": "Plastics: other articles n.e.s. in chapter 39", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 18779532.580225803, "current_below_peak_pct": 6.612830887560289, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4204988723644874, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "distance_km": 8020, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": 1, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 1, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 17613.846473, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 7347.552382323007, "importer_population": 2397.24, "importer_biz_entry_days": 48, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.6, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 182280.517581, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 18772.673292044827, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HUN-BWA/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HUN-BWA/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HUN-BWA/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HUN-BWA/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HUN-BWA/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }