{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:15.790Z", "seo": { "title": "Hungary exports to Afghanistan: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Hungary to Afghanistan, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "HUN", "country_name": "Hungary" }, "importer": { "iso3": "AFG", "country_name": "Afghanistan" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "AFG", "all_history_lane_count": 11, "current_lane_count": 5, "current_product_count": 5, "first_observed_last_year": 1997, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 3984650, "attention_trade_usd": 3240498, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 3324357, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 2378383, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 744151.9999999999, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 3984650, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 2, "high_volatility_lane_count": 3, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 3, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 3, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.4413680570998062, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 54.580989837515965, "product_concentration_hhi": 3891.2563336642806, "top1_product_share_pct": 54.573450616741745, "top3_product_share_pct": 94.88482049866363, "top_product_hs6": "870120", "top_product_trade_usd": 2174561, "top_product_description": "Tractors: road, for semi-trailers", "top_attention_product_hs6": "870120", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": 4367.69384765625, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 5.049065472323233, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.049065472323233, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 8.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 20116.137326, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 517, "buyer_population_latest": 39835.426, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": -1.8172621057140348, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -3.58436239429053, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.4121484487080735, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 21.442, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 3.722, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer economy and income contracted", "attention_trade_share_pct": 81.3245328949845, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "buyer_macro_weakness" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 20116.137326, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 517, "buyer_population_2024": 39835.426 }, "history": [ { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "AFG", "export_value_usd": 9000, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "AFG", "export_value_usd": 7000, "yoy_growth_pct": -22.22222222222222, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "AFG", "export_value_usd": 39000, "yoy_growth_pct": 457.1428571428571, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "AFG", "export_value_usd": 5000, "yoy_growth_pct": -87.17948717948718, "cagr_3y_pct": -17.79293085565099 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "AFG", "export_value_usd": 56993.24223450284, "yoy_growth_pct": 1039.8648446900568, "cagr_3y_pct": 101.17550859310684 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "AFG", "export_value_usd": 1714037.109176016, "yoy_growth_pct": 2907.4392015170597, "cagr_3y_pct": 252.90017284365 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "AFG", "export_value_usd": 2402228.0581781995, "yoy_growth_pct": 40.1502946066912, "cagr_3y_pct": 683.2157464293209 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "AFG", "export_value_usd": 2184915.960756639, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.046272550257594, "cagr_3y_pct": 237.18671693733953 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "AFG", "export_value_usd": 4383749.779128799, "yoy_growth_pct": 100.6369973887097, "cagr_3y_pct": 36.75456914805775 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "AFG", "export_value_usd": 1582155.975973627, "yoy_growth_pct": -63.908615781258035, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.9948379517559 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "AFG", "export_value_usd": 2056143.3971229326, "yoy_growth_pct": 29.95832448552509, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.004480232705008 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "AFG", "export_value_usd": 3399382.192868995, "yoy_growth_pct": 65.32806990142784, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.127666773782439 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "AFG", "export_value_usd": 5471486.4066892555, "yoy_growth_pct": 60.95531765057154, "cagr_3y_pct": 51.223287881610105 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "AFG", "export_value_usd": 4793144.09673562, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.397770176753376, "cagr_3y_pct": 32.593538894807075 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "AFG", "export_value_usd": 5498794.24723858, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.722072532381091, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.387672437287737 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "AFG", "export_value_usd": 6491949.604990012, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.061329686052186, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.866024599659969 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "AFG", "export_value_usd": 5388489.417591118, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.997362187635023, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.979769322030302 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "AFG", "export_value_usd": 3774427.318307109, "yoy_growth_pct": -29.95388826439531, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.787959997971198 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "AFG", "export_value_usd": 3828906.3105322025, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.443371076741995, "cagr_3y_pct": -16.137745545891203 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "AFG", "export_value_usd": 3961357.079329971, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.4592324297263444, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.747552972851704 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "AFG", "export_value_usd": 4755544.827437069, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.04837565013018, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.006461419089451 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "AFG", "export_value_usd": 4172802.6671066, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.253951576028555, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.908449744213648 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "AFG", "export_value_usd": 12544959.391891846, "yoy_growth_pct": 200.6362963382224, "cagr_3y_pct": 46.85038496720757 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "AFG", "export_value_usd": 27940277, "yoy_growth_pct": 122.72114342640737, "cagr_3y_pct": 80.44442798509446 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "AFG", "export_value_usd": 1991247, "yoy_growth_pct": -92.87320236660503, "cagr_3y_pct": -21.8553778234729 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "AFG", "export_value_usd": 2145993, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.771311143218296, "cagr_3y_pct": -44.488067416036216 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "AFG", "export_value_usd": 5899544, "yoy_growth_pct": 174.90975040459125, "cagr_3y_pct": -40.4526308118917 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "AFG", "hs_code": "870120", "hs_description": "Tractors: road, for semi-trailers", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 33431179.425499395, "current_below_peak_pct": 91.58284031398667, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.8342316494692992, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "AFG", "hs_code": "871639", "hs_description": "Trailers and semi-trailers: (other than tanker type)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16336363.079753663, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1492642977159386, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "AFG", "hs_code": "401110", "hs_description": "Rubber: new pneumatic tyres, of a kind used on motor cars (including station wagons and racing cars)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 68974430.09660356, "current_below_peak_pct": 7.65199913861175, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6827408215426187, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "AFG", "hs_code": "210690", "hs_description": "Food preparations: n.e.s. in item no. 2106.10", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 92558843.79640564, "current_below_peak_pct": 76.11918673551861, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5419404978583516, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "AFG", "hs_code": "870899", "hs_description": "Vehicle parts and accessories: n.e.c. in heading no. 8708", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11315890.945535868, "current_below_peak_pct": 60.42974095941679, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1416440102790915, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "HUN", "importer_iso3": "AFG", "distance_km": 4371, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 1, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 20116.137326, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 504.9811021476211, "importer_population": 39835.426, "importer_biz_entry_days": 8.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 6.8, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 182280.517581, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 18772.673292044827, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 5.049065472323233, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.049065472323233, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HUN-AFG/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HUN-AFG/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HUN-AFG/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HUN-AFG/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HUN-AFG/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }