{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:18.390Z", "seo": { "title": "Croatia exports to Tajikistan: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Croatia to Tajikistan, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "HRV", "country_name": "Croatia" }, "importer": { "iso3": "TJK", "country_name": "Tajikistan" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "all_history_lane_count": 3, "current_lane_count": 1, "current_product_count": 1, "first_observed_last_year": 2002, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 47967.82247622131, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 0, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 0, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 47967.82247622131, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 0, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 0, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.9851019177618706, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 0, "product_concentration_hhi": 10000, "top1_product_share_pct": 100, "top3_product_share_pct": 100, "top_product_hs6": "870423", "top_product_trade_usd": 47967.82247622131, "top_product_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), for transport of goods, (of a g.v.w. exceeding 20 tonnes), nes in item no 8704.1", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": 4350.0166015625, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.019999999552965164, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.525382681609198, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 8.525382681609198, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 7, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 8746.270636, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 897, "buyer_population_latest": 9749.625, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 11.342641385471342, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 9.016690878247392, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.133572839613729, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": null, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": null, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 8746.270636, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 897, "buyer_population_2024": 9749.625 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "export_value_usd": 89453.43932620062, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "export_value_usd": 12779.137843501434, "yoy_growth_pct": -85.71420177942956, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "export_value_usd": 2825.3716442614723, "yoy_growth_pct": -77.89074913454935, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "export_value_usd": 61938.4481688213, "yoy_growth_pct": 2092.22304062627, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.53168430510101 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "export_value_usd": 20666.673026038163, "yoy_growth_pct": -66.63353113124751, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.37880161004879 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "export_value_usd": 113315, "yoy_growth_pct": 448.2982183790938, "cagr_3y_pct": 242.2976679260566 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "export_value_usd": 176970, "yoy_growth_pct": 56.17526364558974, "cagr_3y_pct": 41.899144425937564 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "export_value_usd": 117182, "yoy_growth_pct": -33.784257218737636, "cagr_3y_pct": 78.31865478116333 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "export_value_usd": 866392.6894382002, "yoy_growth_pct": 639.3564621172195, "cagr_3y_pct": 97.00433919544473 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "export_value_usd": 144646.54503316045, "yoy_growth_pct": -83.30473620143836, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.501895895139754 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "export_value_usd": 135687.30647285358, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.193883551282164, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.0088990265737765 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "export_value_usd": 159492.1249943386, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.5438802201056, "cagr_3y_pct": -43.11363872324107 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "export_value_usd": 97014.26514508144, "yoy_growth_pct": -39.17300609762074, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.466187470581769 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "export_value_usd": 52837.87879922066, "yoy_growth_pct": -45.53596966363301, "cagr_3y_pct": -26.975478877404868 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "export_value_usd": 37009.42043138001, "yoy_growth_pct": -29.956649902596244, "cagr_3y_pct": -38.549652018122536 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "export_value_usd": 161528.69342929148, "yoy_growth_pct": 336.45291265445627, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.52356173677716 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "export_value_usd": 39097.03286100976, "yoy_growth_pct": -75.79561127439916, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.55189443607355 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "export_value_usd": 1036741.5302334174, "yoy_growth_pct": 2551.7140927779387, "cagr_3y_pct": 203.70555622968013 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "export_value_usd": 2508232.2573284586, "yoy_growth_pct": 141.93419325680355, "cagr_3y_pct": 149.48207999590412 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "export_value_usd": 175259.0926435477, "yoy_growth_pct": -93.01264497609891, "cagr_3y_pct": 64.88415384259622 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "export_value_usd": 105856.14442456013, "yoy_growth_pct": -39.60019829621244, "cagr_3y_pct": -53.26073715589339 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "export_value_usd": 143402.31033212494, "yoy_growth_pct": 35.469047273229016, "cagr_3y_pct": -61.47616922334228 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "export_value_usd": 110220.31471869031, "yoy_growth_pct": -23.139094158653318, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.323767125326281 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "hs_code": "870423", "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), for transport of goods, (of a g.v.w. exceeding 20 tonnes), nes in item no 8704.1", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 40425812.495084025, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9851019177618707, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "distance_km": 4355, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 1, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 8746.270636000001, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 897.0879019449467, "importer_population": 9749.625, "importer_biz_entry_days": 7, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 17.5, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 67837.78854400001, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 17398.76597691716, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.525382681609198, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 8.525382681609198, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HRV-TJK/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HRV-TJK/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HRV-TJK/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HRV-TJK/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HRV-TJK/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }