{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:13.459Z", "seo": { "title": "Croatia exports to Serbia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Croatia to Serbia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "HRV", "country_name": "Croatia" }, "importer": { "iso3": "SRB", "country_name": "Serbia" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "all_history_lane_count": 613, "current_lane_count": 582, "current_product_count": 582, "first_observed_last_year": 2010, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 1052928095.3585601, "attention_trade_usd": 223741651.24364498, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 471883790.8502143, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 99413931.94841947, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 1124721.2035339365, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 334778356.4560931, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 39, "high_volatility_lane_count": 213, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 233, "declining_demand_lane_count": 2, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 161, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.9026925330948268, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 17.77303190923695, "product_concentration_hhi": 468.15850987696547, "top1_product_share_pct": 18.143019984786743, "top3_product_share_pct": 30.389600041945613, "top_product_hs6": "271600", "top_product_trade_usd": 191032954.76633796, "top_product_description": "Electrical energy", "top_attention_product_hs6": "120190", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": null, "shares_land_border": null, "shares_official_language": null, "common_spoken_language_score": null, "has_reported_fta": null, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.6533646786, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 6.2478250977777785, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.21601093329555554, "tariff_advantage_pp": 6.031814164482223, "buyer_biz_entry_days": null, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": null, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": null, "buyer_population_latest": null, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 10.836286255256834, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 12.018236663180426, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -1.0551410583952703, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": null, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": null, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 21.249471092083724, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "declining_buyer_demand", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": null, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": null, "buyer_population_2024": null }, "history": [ { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 480891430.29234874, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 603800695.6154518, "yoy_growth_pct": 25.558630822009597, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 667924201.686384, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.619978833507515, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 496867797.2813756, "yoy_growth_pct": -25.610152165937826, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.0953711134346067 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 449939235.31105924, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.444878945080992, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.33908756004892 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 507088881.27701604, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.701636461298428, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.773929289148075 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 537767115.7835913, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.049873235105729, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.6717892429865 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 541602891.1327132, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.7132781526688836, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.375684915219493 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 657791238.6919051, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.45268229942321, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.060629189507253 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 602782323.8448869, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.362670648579918, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.877643485779303 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 553761650.145419, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.132400662777616, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.7427884234185056 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 655247008.7906741, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.326541503660422, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.12909451312812514 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 688673038.2479393, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.1012868443240045, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.540407993453788 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 710065451.0029173, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.106323547877321, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.640519918081878 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 702992355.1885877, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.9961188513452401, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.3721564523310423 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 949433613.0270622, "yoy_growth_pct": 35.056036672313894, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.29709807887207 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 1217171056.3924954, "yoy_growth_pct": 28.199701347397088, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.678942986329908 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 1176946385.1112032, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.3047673184500304, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.741361888514717 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 1246955430.4873753, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.948363176251004, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.51210055949594 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "hs_code": "271600", "hs_description": "Electrical energy", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 960976114.140339, "current_below_peak_pct": 26.891403416623255, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.228559473333819, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "hs_code": "120190", "hs_description": "Soya beans: other than seed, whether or not broken", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 106773785.7908121, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2652069173922946, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "hs_code": "701090", "hs_description": "Glass: carboys, bottles, flasks, jars, pots, phials and other containers of glass, (not ampoules), used for the conveyance or packing of goods", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 106514358.2038311, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.39474728735268744, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "hs_code": "252329", "hs_description": "Cement: portland, other than white, whether or not artificially coloured", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 83782917.5844419, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6510476586080853, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "hs_code": "210690", "hs_description": "Food preparations: n.e.s. in item no. 2106.10", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 255773461.20500118, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.39373441023374484, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "hs_code": "010229", "hs_description": "Cattle: live, other than pure-bred breeding animals", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 94011451.9668597, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3807546515028715, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "hs_code": "710813", "hs_description": "Metals: gold, semi-manufactured", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 81852452.30893694, "current_below_peak_pct": 41.89283636476267, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9975110306543039, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "hs_code": "271019", "hs_description": "", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 780795065.3324084, "current_below_peak_pct": 55.87876849285465, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8710549761096229, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "hs_code": "330499", "hs_description": "Cosmetic and toilet preparations: n.e.c. in heading no. 3304, for the care of the skin (excluding medicaments, including sunscreen or sun tan preparations)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 108772863.8363515, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.946971364551861, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "hs_code": "180632", "hs_description": "Chocolate and other food preparations containing cocoa: in blocks, slabs or bars, (not filled), weighing 2kg or less", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 53113573.52957861, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5706749541187882, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "distance_km": 369, "shares_land_border": 1, "shares_official_language": 1, "shares_ethnic_language": 1, "shared_religion": null, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": 2, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 0, "exporter_is_eu": 1, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 63068.134601000005, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9214.993546391494, "importer_population": 6844.078, "importer_biz_entry_days": 7, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 2.3, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 67837.78854400001, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 17398.76597691716, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.6533646786, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 6.2478250977777785, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.21601093329555554, "tariff_advantage_pp": 6.031814164482223 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HRV-SRB/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HRV-SRB/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HRV-SRB/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HRV-SRB/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HRV-SRB/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }