{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:13.466Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Croatia exports to Poland: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Croatia to Poland, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "HRV",
    "country_name": "Croatia"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "POL",
    "country_name": "Poland"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
    "importer_iso3": "POL",
    "all_history_lane_count": 484,
    "current_lane_count": 354,
    "current_product_count": 354,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1995,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 429471495.3739293,
    "attention_trade_usd": 98493397.41589968,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 257926803.7748858,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 74249493.33351928,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 76391055.9974484,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 22,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 245,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 90,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 73,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.2594176784063826,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 21.804379085558452,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 183.91830454820368,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 7.425720732030147,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 15.430481767206667,
    "top_product_hs6": "240391",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 31891353.870141767,
    "top_product_description": "Tobacco: homogenised or reconstituted",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "382499",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
    "distance_km": 805.9364624023438,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.20893040299415588,
    "has_reported_fta": 1,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 7.983804744559386,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 10.762141289655174,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 10.762141289655174,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 37,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 674048.2663969999,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 17841,
    "buyer_population_latest": 37781.025,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 8.774876361756622,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 9.599090635201723,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.7520265621440814,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 22.94,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 22.524,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 22.933628535729504,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Watch",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 674048.2663969999,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 17841,
    "buyer_population_2024": 37781.025
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 46835249.77353789,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 52818833.96347942,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.775813556827199,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 44593570.589132465,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -15.572595525365362,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 47514880.40954459,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6.550966387795931,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.4813820739183017
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 41718319.78518171,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -12.199463777243324,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.562966459860753
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 23706385.41823212,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -43.17511937129213,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -18.991417830584634
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 26662993.398912486,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.471778925885912,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -17.517891397856932
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 26161706.190277804,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.8800860096043426,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -14.405389816689384
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 38100170.97549969,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 45.63335700810849,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 17.13513827805635
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 49928129.93067981,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 31.044372380339414,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.257152824440407
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 56673330.06765079,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 13.509819306943815,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 29.391045694344943
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 116716377.75569403,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 105.94586133613473,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 45.23399777935471
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 117920783.68033561,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.0319082444133043,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 33.17264299422706
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 149578380.81862932,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 26.846494867361457,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 38.196390029050306
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 131449628.46149214,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -12.119901457630522,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.042118651236448
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 113420344.94034101,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -13.71573562601036,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.2887005651654904
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 149033819.26512164,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 31.399546830432644,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.12150235033676626
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 117794552.71608911,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -20.961193038648407,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.5900299007373238
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 136703233.1015852,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 16.05225364798506,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.4214750316955005
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 158124097.37295312,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 15.669610575669335,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.993166709640093
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 202734538.81221157,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 28.212297923218998,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.839736471979208
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 178126010.2999962,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -12.138300980381889,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.22352408151692
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 199687658.9277381,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.104716538268722,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.089719217911039
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 234032192.28479528,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 17.19912664682277,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.901722431277622
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 232768633.10718074,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.5399082772667874,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.328243810815495
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 268097496.82874352,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 15.177673748376241,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.318202738061121
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 369993703.00320774,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 38.00714567639321,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.494720563629173
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 437021815.2265982,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 18.11601432114356,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.365262383734663
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 508481415.341302,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 16.35149496545192,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.78293474962476
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 478928586.5814592,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.811978150667785,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.983012672260005
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "hs_code": "240391",
      "hs_description": "Tobacco: homogenised or reconstituted",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 304540094.58094025,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 35.34403462643404,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3071366012626857,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "hs_code": "300490",
      "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 5932968163.308607,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 26.84367909139788,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8595095059605189,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "hs_code": "382499",
      "hs_description": "Chemical products, mixtures and preparations: n.e.c. heading 3824",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1108144577.185098,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 56.90435375681465,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.6139355275244496,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "hs_code": "930690",
      "hs_description": "Ammunition: n.e.s. in chapter 93",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2039214616.8102977,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9103209429935327,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "hs_code": "852872",
      "hs_description": "Reception apparatus for television, whether or not incorporating radio-broadcast receivers or sound or video recording or reproducing apparatus: incorporating a colour video display or screen",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 723714489.7984192,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 16.81521279347806,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9382547103616473,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "hs_code": "300420",
      "hs_description": "Medicaments: containing antibiotics (other than penicillins, streptomycins or their derivatives), for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 330479821.0640883,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 5.838483969684507,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6487592573334372,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "hs_code": "210390",
      "hs_description": "Sauces and preparations therefor: mixed condiments and mixed seasonings",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 292012677.0387278,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 65.66708960061838,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9506383984907484,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "hs_code": "480524",
      "hs_description": "Paper & paperboard: uncoated, testliner (recycled linerboard), weight 150g/m2, or less, in rolls or sheets",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 472067179.6015453,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7463263082579379,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "hs_code": "732020",
      "hs_description": "Iron or steel: helical springs and leaves for springs",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 186752918.2762725,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6300530354643865,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "hs_code": "847759",
      "hs_description": "Machinery: for moulding or forming, other than for moulding or retreading pneumatic tyres or for moulding or otherwise forming inner tubes",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 28106179.29180537,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0687790202684133,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
    "importer_iso3": "POL",
    "distance_km": 802,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 1,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 2,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 674048.2663969999,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 17840.920578438512,
    "importer_population": 37781.025,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 37,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 11.6,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 67837.78854400001,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 17398.76597691716,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 7.983804744559386,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 10.762141289655174,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 10.762141289655174
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HRV-POL/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HRV-POL/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HRV-POL/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HRV-POL/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HRV-POL/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}