{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:13.489Z", "seo": { "title": "Croatia exports to Lebanon: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Croatia to Lebanon, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "HRV", "country_name": "Croatia" }, "importer": { "iso3": "LBN", "country_name": "Lebanon" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "all_history_lane_count": 23, "current_lane_count": 8, "current_product_count": 8, "first_observed_last_year": 2001, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 36785989.13085254, "attention_trade_usd": 36529566.98023025, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 35072507.20226044, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 51066.91312295572, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 36591011.801988594, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 36785989.13085254, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 2, "high_volatility_lane_count": 3, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 2, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 4, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.1969339888975126, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 0.183700184574827, "product_concentration_hhi": 9065.681839957906, "top1_product_share_pct": 95.12137618587687, "top3_product_share_pct": 99.58354227548027, "top_product_hs6": "010229", "top_product_trade_usd": 34991339.104854025, "top_product_description": "Cattle: live, other than pure-bred breeding animals", "top_attention_product_hs6": "010229", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 2123.40380859375, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.1453149914741516, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 6.653996520881226, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 7.604728832183907, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 3.562713180099617, "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.04201565208429, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 15, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 18076.62484, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 2670, "buyer_population_latest": 6769.151, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": -17.20448672321533, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -17.144054688959663, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.03920581721326144, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23.9, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": -1.5939999999999999, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer economy and income contracted", "attention_trade_share_pct": 99.30293528411002, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "buyer_macro_weakness" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 18076.62484, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 2670, "buyer_population_2024": 6769.151 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 5916806.786109161, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 3320386.6507260785, "yoy_growth_pct": -43.8821179944337, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 661322.5903714875, "yoy_growth_pct": -80.0829644274448, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 2270891.9186083456, "yoy_growth_pct": 243.38641257252496, "cagr_3y_pct": -27.327568301086824 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 5989014.654633689, "yoy_growth_pct": 163.72962119235925, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.727556850451357 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 8871744.238367682, "yoy_growth_pct": 48.13362046966494, "cagr_3y_pct": 137.61027574978152 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 5940338.372077619, "yoy_growth_pct": -33.042046609195474, "cagr_3y_pct": 37.78594093571004 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 6505578.424179995, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.515283754866054, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.796149411769333 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 1512182.4004360323, "yoy_growth_pct": -76.75560416249016, "cagr_3y_pct": -44.55465944165384 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 1314672.5374831182, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.061245977731451, "cagr_3y_pct": -39.5120588721048 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 40831371.81617458, "yoy_growth_pct": 3005.8207007460896, "cagr_3y_pct": 84.46020411142001 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 78918384.97774477, "yoy_growth_pct": 93.27879879480987, "cagr_3y_pct": 273.70135275929005 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 35983053.65940808, "yoy_growth_pct": -54.40472626301791, "cagr_3y_pct": 201.3654596945005 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 15495064.68665926, "yoy_growth_pct": -56.93788294532934, "cagr_3y_pct": -27.600904446720797 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 10235461.970786694, "yoy_growth_pct": -33.943728678983256, "cagr_3y_pct": -49.38144382751135 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 58142260.202025436, "yoy_growth_pct": 468.04724953275985, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.34501134897133 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 29201554.932817787, "yoy_growth_pct": -49.77567980441096, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.520069673727594 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 82563510.94669113, "yoy_growth_pct": 182.7366937707252, "cagr_3y_pct": 100.55195561792276 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 34562596.98305563, "yoy_growth_pct": -58.13816952942844, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.917654302948147 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 56381170.428170115, "yoy_growth_pct": 63.12770263128977, "cagr_3y_pct": 24.521029675423733 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 40104390.410175025, "yoy_growth_pct": -28.869177234856778, "cagr_3y_pct": -21.391787241602454 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 37818949.7751563, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.6987292703964965, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.0467658082251825 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 49927687.95989755, "yoy_growth_pct": 32.01764791653634, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.970989016823867 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 71893241.59311482, "yoy_growth_pct": 43.994734246176684, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.47830275683651 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 40478658.25571852, "yoy_growth_pct": -43.69615646932362, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.291343189696282 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 44237530.432459556, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.286059219144228, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.9531469909959926 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 18231306.564991742, "yoy_growth_pct": -58.78769364662724, "cagr_3y_pct": -36.703954759442055 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 34235497.046649665, "yoy_growth_pct": 87.78411149308197, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.430699580689502 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 55461431.11168489, "yoy_growth_pct": 61.999783546628606, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.828459117651465 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 39646329.86745397, "yoy_growth_pct": -28.515494330435544, "cagr_3y_pct": 29.557253285476225 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "hs_code": "010229", "hs_description": "Cattle: live, other than pure-bred breeding animals", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 131732112.36871172, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2168736098485402, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "hs_code": "240120", "hs_description": "Tobacco: partly or wholly stemmed or stripped", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 43010668.22233152, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8022226839097549, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "hs_code": "210690", "hs_description": "Food preparations: n.e.s. in item no. 2106.10", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 92854623.05255453, "current_below_peak_pct": 19.540985020935032, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5013238267605694, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened", "risk_driver_labels": [ "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "hs_code": "940320", "hs_description": "Furniture: metal, other than for office use", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13592741.749215554, "current_below_peak_pct": 11.936519276045676, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1092321874240572, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "hs_code": "940360", "hs_description": "Furniture: wooden, other than for office, kitchen or bedroom use", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13439969.14814718, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8991685448744896, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened", "risk_driver_labels": [ "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "hs_code": "180631", "hs_description": "Chocolate and other food preparations containing cocoa: in blocks, slabs or bars, filled, weighing 2kg or less", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12163883.06036207, "current_below_peak_pct": 79.99758596356182, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3611986604230755, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "hs_code": "010410", "hs_description": "Sheep: live", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10754581.039797548, "current_below_peak_pct": 83.60585909850896, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9265150321695362, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "buyer_macro_weakness", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "hs_code": "392490", "hs_description": "Plastics: household articles and hygienic or toilet articles", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11101603.756280843, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9984544602174636, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "distance_km": 2120, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 1, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 0, "exporter_is_eu": 1, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 18076.62484, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2670.4419564580553, "importer_population": 6769.151, "importer_biz_entry_days": 15, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 42.3, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 67837.78854400001, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 17398.76597691716, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 6.653996520881226, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 7.604728832183907, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 3.562713180099617, "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.04201565208429 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HRV-LBN/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HRV-LBN/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HRV-LBN/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HRV-LBN/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HRV-LBN/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }