{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:15.852Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Croatia exports to Kenya: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Croatia to Kenya, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "HRV",
    "country_name": "Croatia"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "KEN",
    "country_name": "Kenya"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
    "importer_iso3": "KEN",
    "all_history_lane_count": 19,
    "current_lane_count": 1,
    "current_product_count": 1,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1998,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 470849.37006255053,
    "attention_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 0,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 0,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 0,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 0,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 0,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 0,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.9643708727928516,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 0,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 10000,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top_product_hs6": "230990",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 470849.37006255053,
    "top_product_description": "Dog or cat food: (not put up for retail sale), used in animal feeding",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "",
    "distance_km": 5627.701171875,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.034299999475479126,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 20.590224758237547,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 20.590224758237547,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 23,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 110347.079517,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 2007.0000000000002,
    "buyer_population_latest": 54985.703,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.6939927181435905,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 1.6964619039059992,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.9642087608958247,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 19.871999999999996,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 6.416000000000001,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "concentrated_product_mix"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Stable",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 110347.079517,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 2007.0000000000002,
    "buyer_population_2024": 54985.703
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 277718.96179641667,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 418731.7382895851,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 50.77535058500564,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 251580.47950438887,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -39.918459362064965,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 596782.0175689587,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 137.21316484673753,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 29.043677690775873
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 176899.70384531954,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -70.35773554874605,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -24.96502504130079
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 188055.83851817268,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6.3064744769770975,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.245125557323941
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 231207.11743249645,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 22.94599266597823,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -27.09983852702187
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 141444.02026722117,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -38.82367383931536,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.184787785286728
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 246551.25761225782,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 74.31013141910434,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.447740516751901
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 158267.47696803385,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -35.80747528899838,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.868703320098373
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 917598.7173833072,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 479.7771816180779,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 86.5045373771074
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 559294.2280677577,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -39.04805908374821,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 31.394656866374284
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 242343.62230216438,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -56.66974373409682,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 15.260360069655455
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 148794.87750956276,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -38.60169452941536,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -45.46879924347507
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 165210.07228930702,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.032096705539661,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -33.401354786169925
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 267118.84921758185,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 61.684360714894936,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.297778082942515
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 491757.728917331,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 84.09697793987179,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 48.954766393470294
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 529534.537644126,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.681995931200825,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 47.44133572361369
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 5290186.883144489,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 899.0258438439689,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 170.55495562289752
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 683891.9064440248,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -87.0724433455644,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.620875148487887
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 3883237.22969565,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 467.8144737648661,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 94.28228850351923
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 9716050.547691023,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 150.20491855071452,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 22.463382415961284
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 10944501.143868245,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.643517961824081,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 152.0013315949446
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 3867287.0540810237,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -64.66456530777826,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.13710265246288378
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 1240321.937504641,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -67.92785432889525,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -49.64821321860724
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 1406866.0213523114,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 13.427488365055806,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -49.5316712678701
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 686380.6151898082,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -51.212083825150344,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -43.8021716536274
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 3613923.786113891,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 426.5189176583192,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 42.82849328645697
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 1409992.0554092855,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -60.98445515572225,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.07401134935656195
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 2883664.2127733203,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 104.51634473474138,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 61.359011999726995
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "hs_code": "230990",
      "hs_description": "Dog or cat food: (not put up for retail sale), used in animal feeding",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 36990983.286297545,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9643708727928516,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
    "importer_iso3": "KEN",
    "distance_km": 5606,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 110347.079517,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2006.832203582084,
    "importer_population": 54985.703,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 23,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 22.4,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 67837.78854400001,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 17398.76597691716,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 20.590224758237547,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 20.590224758237547,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HRV-KEN/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HRV-KEN/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HRV-KEN/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HRV-KEN/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HRV-KEN/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}