{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:15.763Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Croatia exports to Kazakhstan: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Croatia to Kazakhstan, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "HRV",
    "country_name": "Croatia"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "KAZ",
    "country_name": "Kazakhstan"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
    "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
    "all_history_lane_count": 114,
    "current_lane_count": 45,
    "current_product_count": 45,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1996,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 37394064.1938626,
    "attention_trade_usd": 10798874.208740188,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 22334536.108663157,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 5344157.013584306,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 15095494.269331245,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 4,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 29,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 13,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 17,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.36193608253261,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 11.437894796793026,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 852.4549689934461,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 18.270981565762693,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 42.9686285799191,
    "top_product_hs6": "330790",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 6832262.575550104,
    "top_product_description": "Perfumes and deodorizers: perfuming or deodorizing preparations n.e.c. in heading no. 3307",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "180631",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 4727.84912109375,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.05762479826807976,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.642754394406131,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 8.811168753409962,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 7.91686050229885,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.8943082511111117,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 190814.274226,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 10041,
    "buyer_population_latest": 19002.586,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 9.917422718979218,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 8.399650809013636,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.4001630989012082,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 27.696000000000005,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 36.538,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 28.878578569998233,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Watch",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 190814.274226,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 10041,
    "buyer_population_2024": 19002.586
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 470130.8667476944,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 999110.3349226288,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 112.5174936575314,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 2270290.981374984,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 127.23125785209658,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 1138223.8047110203,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -49.86440883354679,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 34.2774131695764
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 3462350.522786353,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 204.1889045419672,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 51.32796569451563
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 1164627.1045048363,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -66.36310804350353,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -19.948687581752043
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 2258447.298068716,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 93.92020753535002,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 25.65914453633169
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 5102449.621998051,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 125.92732743249529,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.798332276017078
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 7510138.415420746,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 47.186919456146946,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 86.1317023306996
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 7915591.17679798,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.398738864049535,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 51.90000858120158
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 6900955.122181723,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -12.818196796094494,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.588548839331736
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 8423389.838812921,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 22.06121746448748,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.89938727392658
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 9663660.74351784,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 14.724130408758418,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.877455672120636
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 13874786.138498403,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 43.57691672697934,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 26.213467444268712
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 10043508.52428787,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -27.613237248968314,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.0391368595556605
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 13137132.558680333,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 30.80222441103384,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.777859443678906
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 13940417.586338555,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6.11461461677536,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.15742761369874625
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 15829664.889744287,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 13.55230065171915,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.375641914539262
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 18635513.522277694,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 17.72525604348869,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.36048216618828
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 19767835.17114189,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6.076149431087963,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.3469041145994
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 10199685.761691237,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -48.4026163037758,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -13.628255715128368
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 7577789.203388804,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -25.705660150334765,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -25.914414334744574
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 13994351.338762384,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 84.6759122370952,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.875339753677437
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 11245913.321338553,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -19.639624237609677,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.3084819592686054
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 8938696.025451472,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -20.516050852972988,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.659986178318688
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 17245167.242675815,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 92.92710249429031,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.210719965665691
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 17697597.515020862,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.6235191922374668,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.31610765017477
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 18849747.362952203,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6.510204828386734,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 28.236145346157727
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 43343882.61000003,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 129.9441036286208,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 35.96281059896877
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 41926315.82489588,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.270511776388707,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 33.30838359321038
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "hs_code": "330790",
      "hs_description": "Perfumes and deodorizers: perfuming or deodorizing preparations n.e.c. in heading no. 3307",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 22182923.36248012,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6407207389604227,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "hs_code": "180631",
      "hs_description": "Chocolate and other food preparations containing cocoa: in blocks, slabs or bars, filled, weighing 2kg or less",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 66110239.711918674,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.1082361777115906,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "hs_code": "841583",
      "hs_description": "Air conditioning machines: n.e.s. in heading no. 8415 and not incorporating a refrigerating unit",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 25704683.199924387,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 4.045085718552395,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.515982574467849,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "hs_code": "180690",
      "hs_description": "Chocolate and other food preparations containing cocoa: n.e.c. in chapter 18",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 176605681.2744714,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.422804141113339,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "hs_code": "300490",
      "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1162507712.4228716,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 30.34039185025939,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8147772075427616,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "hs_code": "300420",
      "hs_description": "Medicaments: containing antibiotics (other than penicillins, streptomycins or their derivatives), for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 87455026.23274288,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 62.72078848912177,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7348192043211801,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "hs_code": "300450",
      "hs_description": "Medicaments: containing vitamins or their derivatives, for therapeutic or prophylactic use, packaged for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 66026821.1402456,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1684859664960716,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "hs_code": "853710",
      "hs_description": "Boards, panels, consoles, desks and other bases: for electric control or the distribution of electricity, (other than switching apparatus of heading no. 8517), for a voltage not exceeding 1000 volts",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 211119767.6328594,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 50.85379664577155,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.720214461566636,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "hs_code": "190531",
      "hs_description": "Food preparations: sweet biscuits, whether or not containing cocoa",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 67460150.47670805,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.894301573404955,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "hs_code": "300432",
      "hs_description": "Medicaments: containing corticosteroid hormones, their derivatives or structural analogues (but not containing antibiotics), for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 46058595.63887416,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 1.233093222702812,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7465378582757132,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
    "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
    "distance_km": 4732,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 190814.274226,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 10041.489838593548,
    "importer_population": 19002.586,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.2,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 67837.78854400001,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 17398.76597691716,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.642754394406131,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 8.811168753409962,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 7.91686050229885,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.8943082511111117
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HRV-KAZ/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HRV-KAZ/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HRV-KAZ/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HRV-KAZ/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HRV-KAZ/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}