{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:13.436Z", "seo": { "title": "Croatia exports to Italy: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Croatia to Italy, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "HRV", "country_name": "Croatia" }, "importer": { "iso3": "ITA", "country_name": "Italy" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "all_history_lane_count": 1071, "current_lane_count": 877, "current_product_count": 877, "first_observed_last_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 2797455662.081419, "attention_trade_usd": 654526540.1926402, "critical_trade_usd": 53247090.81895433, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 1765080684.0333967, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 665963021.0354801, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 19567891.557554036, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 511636947.2686637, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 3, "high_attention_lane_count": 107, "high_volatility_lane_count": 600, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 442, "declining_demand_lane_count": 5, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 200, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.24041579969067, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 30.10652710981939, "product_concentration_hhi": 119.16389072185316, "top1_product_share_pct": 6.043498543166782, "top3_product_share_pct": 11.67586651899305, "top_product_hs6": "100590", "top_product_trade_usd": 169064192.18362722, "top_product_description": "Cereals: maize (corn), other than seed", "top_attention_product_hs6": "010229", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 517.0556640625, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.27747660875320435, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.123922034543295, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 3.7128691417624524, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.9675225982757165, "tariff_advantage_pp": 2.745346543486736, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 11, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 2099880.198259, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 35551, "buyer_population_latest": 59066.223, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.3456337761183397, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.6164129413341017, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.26132844935394806, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 21.387999999999998, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 22.601999999999997, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 23.397208723073962, "critical_trade_share_pct": 1.9034114299182983, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "declining_buyer_demand", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 2099880.198259, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 35551, "buyer_population_2024": 59066.223 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 995534302.7224189, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 836622663.9182982, "yoy_growth_pct": -15.962447338033048, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 808496941.4705325, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.3618169409898258, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 708123617.9602685, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.414805593166534, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.73436811856353 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 694943311.818625, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.8613001751882075, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.997388690245131 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 799100760.5584924, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.987905771377763, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.3889034671736624 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 829844465.9338491, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.847287712987524, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.429595637926843 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 846573380.0073, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.0159095782636083, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.80012054369048 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 1241874638.0283873, "yoy_growth_pct": 46.69426978883728, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.831159727305177 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 1685502557.2864733, "yoy_growth_pct": 35.72243974338618, "cagr_3y_pct": 26.64194479824731 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 1575782081.2226496, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.509659424098713, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.01097189203729 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 2079924068.124331, "yoy_growth_pct": 31.99312854925458, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.75627704173286 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 1985952068.438733, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.518049534872759, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.620069491571855 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 2184649023.997058, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.005123422466667, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.50521321591862 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 1939248382.0617318, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.232955007406108, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.3073285421945755 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 2092325256.9324086, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.893618800286517, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.754465737632649 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 2062998214.5027218, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.4016483494867171, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.891705590056314 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 1696893206.0847795, "yoy_growth_pct": -17.746259102128725, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.352485034575137 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 1769601657.1088831, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.284798286856417, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.431005179307647 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 1871029660.6213863, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.731685608738224, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.2032877078480126 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 1620793977.5787423, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.374223204967173, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.517794093380187 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 1754097744.3648255, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.224596625489799, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.2928985405145301 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 1972624544.3382833, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.458074282091292, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.7781580223146687 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 2294793722.8044486, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.332006989917947, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.289361661484687 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 2232466948.282682, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.716007713564672, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.370335010940245 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 1994623941.2006161, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.65381985901407, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.37037151407346425 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 2653515030.0397367, "yoy_growth_pct": 33.0333490553872, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.960518207578568 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 4097360010.4616694, "yoy_growth_pct": 54.412542008488685, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.435218946219983 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 3015565194.172504, "yoy_growth_pct": -26.402239820934714, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.771986392416125 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 2927554616.0090704, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.9185433740086753, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.330330391099756 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "hs_code": "100590", "hs_description": "Cereals: maize (corn), other than seed", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1555160510.1301157, "current_below_peak_pct": 31.235514398118337, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3572529625993657, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "hs_code": "382499", "hs_description": "Chemical products, mixtures and preparations: n.e.c. heading 3824", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1474442763.2900195, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.2626381606311665, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "hs_code": "100199", "hs_description": "Cereals: wheat and meslin, other than durum wheat, other than seed", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1431166922.3723724, "current_below_peak_pct": 42.025431400046706, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0314766812208926, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "hs_code": "854370", "hs_description": "Electrical machines and apparatus: having individual functions, not specified or included elsewhere in this chapter, n.e.c. in heading no. 8543", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 865065818.5998101, "current_below_peak_pct": 44.53650164000474, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.0308012182418707, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "hs_code": "722490", "hs_description": "Steel, alloy: semi-finished products", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 177331909.17019728, "current_below_peak_pct": 3.5737357828031535, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4338085177998987, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "hs_code": "240220", "hs_description": "Cigarettes: containing tobacco", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1588451960.5843477, "current_below_peak_pct": 3.8704110694805074, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.8195066299943534, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "hs_code": "680610", "hs_description": "Slag wool, rock wool and similar mineral wools (including intermixtures thereof), in bulk, sheets or rolls", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 202345310.1480624, "current_below_peak_pct": 26.989944055630318, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9166359905203083, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "hs_code": "611012", "hs_description": "Jerseys, pullovers, cardigans, waistcoats and similar articles: knitted or crocheted, of fibres from kashmir (cashmere) goats", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 182357436.1480211, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0532592033747241, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "hs_code": "940690", "hs_description": "Buildings: prefabricated, not of wood", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 207157283.82710153, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.865132872830247, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "hs_code": "010229", "hs_description": "Cattle: live, other than pure-bred breeding animals", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1850190943.5520885, "current_below_peak_pct": 25.89661216712134, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4476291289527832, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "distance_km": 518, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 2, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 1, "importer_is_eu": 1, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 2099880.198259, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 35551.286193786254, "importer_population": 59066.223, "importer_biz_entry_days": 11, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 13.8, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 67837.78854400001, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 17398.76597691716, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.123922034543295, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 3.7128691417624524, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.9675225982757165, "tariff_advantage_pp": 2.745346543486736 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HRV-ITA/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HRV-ITA/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HRV-ITA/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HRV-ITA/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HRV-ITA/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }