{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:13.496Z", "seo": { "title": "Croatia exports to Iraq: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Croatia to Iraq, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "HRV", "country_name": "Croatia" }, "importer": { "iso3": "IRQ", "country_name": "Iraq" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "IRQ", "all_history_lane_count": 69, "current_lane_count": 13, "current_product_count": 13, "first_observed_last_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 25271213, "attention_trade_usd": 23800597, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 1405914.9999999998, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 1269759.9999999998, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 23214023, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 3, "high_volatility_lane_count": 3, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 3, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 7, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.8423320908471791, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 3.9962146493121558, "product_concentration_hhi": 5425.079863737981, "top1_product_share_pct": 71.06100130611063, "top3_product_share_pct": 94.18066714882265, "top_product_hs6": "930200", "top_product_trade_usd": 17957977, "top_product_description": "Revolvers and pistols: other than those of heading no. 9303 or 9304", "top_attention_product_hs6": "930200", "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "distance_km": 2787.15625, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 26.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 207889.333724, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 5048, "buyer_population_latest": 41179.352, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.660252055014901, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 1.3781431650274456, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.2510857061887046, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 19.198, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 27.338, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 94.18066714882265, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 207889.333724, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 5048, "buyer_population_2024": 41179.352 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "IRQ", "export_value_usd": 5845.999999999998, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "IRQ", "export_value_usd": 24075.999999999996, "yoy_growth_pct": 311.8371536093056, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "IRQ", "export_value_usd": 594920.9999999995, "yoy_growth_pct": 2371.0126266821712, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "IRQ", "export_value_usd": 247570.99999999983, "yoy_growth_pct": -58.38590333842644, "cagr_3y_pct": 248.56222560968186 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "IRQ", "export_value_usd": 241404, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.4910025810776837, "cagr_3y_pct": 115.63539189882958 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "IRQ", "export_value_usd": 4341173.999999999, "yoy_growth_pct": 1698.302430779937, "cagr_3y_pct": 93.96169231213638 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "IRQ", "export_value_usd": 2571895.999999999, "yoy_growth_pct": -40.75574948159185, "cagr_3y_pct": 118.19822366226074 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "IRQ", "export_value_usd": 10586512, "yoy_growth_pct": 311.62286499920697, "cagr_3y_pct": 252.64371177544146 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "IRQ", "export_value_usd": 7358492.000000001, "yoy_growth_pct": -30.491818268377713, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.23228754921582 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "IRQ", "export_value_usd": 3160539.0000000005, "yoy_growth_pct": -57.049093754535576, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.1114545354468595 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "IRQ", "export_value_usd": 259264, "yoy_growth_pct": -91.7968422474774, "cagr_3y_pct": -70.96001143536643 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "IRQ", "export_value_usd": 1838044, "yoy_growth_pct": 608.946864971612, "cagr_3y_pct": -37.02197642385976 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "IRQ", "export_value_usd": 7490055, "yoy_growth_pct": 307.5013982255049, "cagr_3y_pct": 33.3238821393075 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "IRQ", "export_value_usd": 41448066, "yoy_growth_pct": 453.37465479225455, "cagr_3y_pct": 442.7344024862701 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "IRQ", "export_value_usd": 16439872.999999998, "yoy_growth_pct": -60.33621206837492, "cagr_3y_pct": 107.57777455913869 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "IRQ", "export_value_usd": 9855063, "yoy_growth_pct": -40.05389822658605, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.578360778940521 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "IRQ", "export_value_usd": 26506271.605313867, "yoy_growth_pct": 168.96095545319056, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.844807395852932 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "IRQ", "export_value_usd": 23438511.865727577, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.573712762270494, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.54957482836263 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "IRQ", "export_value_usd": 30645345.64268454, "yoy_growth_pct": 30.74782997420151, "cagr_3y_pct": 45.960398266085576 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "IRQ", "export_value_usd": 3962731.999999999, "yoy_growth_pct": -87.06905757825592, "cagr_3y_pct": -46.92597564684392 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "IRQ", "export_value_usd": 7950659.999999999, "yoy_growth_pct": 100.63582397194666, "cagr_3y_pct": -30.258537709508015 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "IRQ", "export_value_usd": 44176233, "yoy_growth_pct": 455.62975903887235, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.964344165936325 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "IRQ", "export_value_usd": 3003693, "yoy_growth_pct": -93.20065837211607, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.82265394274624 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "IRQ", "export_value_usd": 7352975, "yoy_growth_pct": 144.79782054957013, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.5713609966678264 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "IRQ", "export_value_usd": 3963911.9999999995, "yoy_growth_pct": -46.091044781194014, "cagr_3y_pct": -55.23089198713475 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "IRQ", "export_value_usd": 3908152, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.4066911677151128, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.170500490222299 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "IRQ", "export_value_usd": 12651147, "yoy_growth_pct": 223.71174406727272, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.827253234111385 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "IRQ", "export_value_usd": 27209115, "yoy_growth_pct": 115.07231715827824, "cagr_3y_pct": 90.04807307346638 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "IRQ", "hs_code": "930200", "hs_description": "Revolvers and pistols: other than those of heading no. 9303 or 9304", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 18614478.347031593, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8525342196113842, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "IRQ", "hs_code": "240120", "hs_description": "Tobacco: partly or wholly stemmed or stripped", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 34376709.05095066, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7564821513821807, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "IRQ", "hs_code": "841199", "hs_description": "Turbines: parts of gas turbines (excluding turbo-jets and turbo-propellers)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 332627567.9584596, "current_below_peak_pct": 79.91470001212015, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0199392622147425, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "IRQ", "hs_code": "210390", "hs_description": "Sauces and preparations therefor: mixed condiments and mixed seasonings", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 57364447.14262161, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9581573710866763, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "IRQ", "hs_code": "853720", "hs_description": "Boards, panels, consoles, desks and other bases: for electric control or the distribution of electricity, (other than switching apparatus of heading no. 8517), for a voltage exceeding 1000 volts", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 164505969.80572236, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9410259082238922, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "IRQ", "hs_code": "848130", "hs_description": "Valves: check (nonreturn) valves, for pipes, boiler shells, tanks, vats or the like", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12734795.845828012, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3717093529313578, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "IRQ", "hs_code": "220830", "hs_description": "Whiskies", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 48752137.60057181, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.21984996038333662, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "IRQ", "hs_code": "220299", "hs_description": "Non-alcoholic beverages: other than non-alcoholic beer, n.e.c. in item no. 2202.10, not including fruit, nut or vegetable juices of heading no. 2009", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 46903128.384852424, "current_below_peak_pct": 75.54433860256947, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6514333418570869, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "IRQ", "hs_code": "848110", "hs_description": "Valves: pressure reducing, for pipes, boiler shells, tanks, vats or the like", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14040022.925291559, "current_below_peak_pct": 18.534259064450524, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.1021364086074697, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "IRQ", "hs_code": "853690", "hs_description": "Electrical apparatus: n.e.s. in heading no. 8536, for switching or protecting electrical circuits, for a voltage not exceeding 1000 volts", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 43512479.51969336, "current_below_peak_pct": 58.12128188821717, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6649297855938558, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "IRQ", "distance_km": 2786, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 0, "exporter_is_eu": 1, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 207889.333724, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 5048.387690121982, "importer_population": 41179.352, "importer_biz_entry_days": 26.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 34.2, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 67837.78854400001, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 17398.76597691716, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HRV-IRQ/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HRV-IRQ/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HRV-IRQ/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HRV-IRQ/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HRV-IRQ/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }