{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:13.417Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Croatia exports to Hungary: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Croatia to Hungary, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "HRV",
    "country_name": "Croatia"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "HUN",
    "country_name": "Hungary"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
    "importer_iso3": "HUN",
    "all_history_lane_count": 560,
    "current_lane_count": 500,
    "current_product_count": 500,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2002,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 1256334019.5023484,
    "attention_trade_usd": 811054080.2641195,
    "critical_trade_usd": 610606965.227247,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 697329047.0023462,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 695316194.3873544,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 112426.06802182017,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 821299288.40459,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 3,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 36,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 373,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 182,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 1,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 114,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.1774583242457461,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 42.33076515728378,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 1018.2276982455548,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 26.760360707500137,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 48.60227899178572,
    "top_product_hs6": "270900",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 336199515.3098635,
    "top_product_description": "Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "270900",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
    "distance_km": 302.1078796386719,
    "shares_land_border": 1,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.211279034614563,
    "has_reported_fta": 1,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 7.780031403448278,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 7.780031403448278,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 7.780031403448278,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 7,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 182280.517581,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 18773,
    "buyer_population_latest": 9709.886,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 6.19142800064274,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 6.484674704790949,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.2753886462640631,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 26.228,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 30.585999999999995,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 64.55720116417682,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 48.60227899178572,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "declining_buyer_demand",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Critical attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 182280.517581,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 18773,
    "buyer_population_2024": 9709.886
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "HUN",
      "export_value_usd": 64367300.34642223,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "HUN",
      "export_value_usd": 51117550.76225409,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -20.584597323265886,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "HUN",
      "export_value_usd": 42570030.49582268,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -16.721302446953334,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "HUN",
      "export_value_usd": 51571811.11062005,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 21.14581669299178,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.121392349261435
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "HUN",
      "export_value_usd": 39454797.48525031,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -23.495420006443247,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.270309705297985
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "HUN",
      "export_value_usd": 60095326.16077681,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 52.314369838655765,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.17917586609798
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "HUN",
      "export_value_usd": 59689849.490595065,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.6747224719222733,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.993569340456627
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "HUN",
      "export_value_usd": 81385892.76939386,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 36.34796110889389,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 27.29649261953533
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "HUN",
      "export_value_usd": 80060401.44701646,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.6286499751660521,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.033692939741524
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "HUN",
      "export_value_usd": 128935472.45798515,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 61.04774661080601,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 29.26788525172541
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "HUN",
      "export_value_usd": 140489717.7823119,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.961261865381376,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.958714391005937
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "HUN",
      "export_value_usd": 177145813.4958694,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 26.09165730573675,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 30.307989206643526
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "HUN",
      "export_value_usd": 435003002.35782456,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 145.56211280035006,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 49.9822781971174
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "HUN",
      "export_value_usd": 369993774.1097732,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -14.944547025120547,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 38.096697259833135
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "HUN",
      "export_value_usd": 220790800.14888084,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -40.32580664901282,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.617614264271411
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "HUN",
      "export_value_usd": 312037207.31958205,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 41.32708750055396,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.483166927483667
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "HUN",
      "export_value_usd": 400191479.7438169,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 28.251205419214354,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.649729029357295
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "HUN",
      "export_value_usd": 403879860.9826485,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 0.9216541144735801,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 22.29923531242164
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "HUN",
      "export_value_usd": 400676927.6763839,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.7930411034785867,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.69160058980576
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "HUN",
      "export_value_usd": 529649071.03645945,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 32.188562517940355,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.7926983938887
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "HUN",
      "export_value_usd": 475343118.476043,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -10.253195092770817,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.580813595395551
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "HUN",
      "export_value_usd": 524614268.2101811,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 10.365386142982814,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.399479162021262
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "HUN",
      "export_value_usd": 616946755.3161842,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 17.6000716528379,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.217139318673625
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "HUN",
      "export_value_usd": 676608623.2948308,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.67050518777266,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.489012901135755
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "HUN",
      "export_value_usd": 829435979.2371268,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 22.587261036976436,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.496870088084712
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "HUN",
      "export_value_usd": 1105384847.0737221,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 33.26945957786869,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 21.456829679105983
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "HUN",
      "export_value_usd": 1854791943.3846803,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 67.7960348646771,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 39.95418538974616
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "HUN",
      "export_value_usd": 2136608852.2940838,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 15.19399035102209,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 37.08209016188202
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "HUN",
      "export_value_usd": 1416690060.5095181,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -33.69445890910667,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.62266322658174
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "HUN",
      "export_value_usd": 1354451489.7120514,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.39323833295494,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.94881790692964
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "HUN",
      "hs_code": "270900",
      "hs_description": "Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2907230005.8632426,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 63.113606246850715,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8554194793007343,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "HUN",
      "hs_code": "271121",
      "hs_description": "Petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons: in gaseous state, natural gas",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 3811101912.8279495,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 71.5989517265846,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4923082682191433,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "HUN",
      "hs_code": "271600",
      "hs_description": "Electrical energy",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 3630305361.5060277,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 76.85426559952356,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2034954351647844,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "HUN",
      "hs_code": "010392",
      "hs_description": "Swine: live, (other than pure-bred breeding animals), weighing 50kg or more",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 120599778.808514,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8101509276306174,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "HUN",
      "hs_code": "330300",
      "hs_description": "Perfumes and toilet waters",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 189283522.31376448,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5378168605294291,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "HUN",
      "hs_code": "860630",
      "hs_description": "Railway or tramway goods vans and wagons: self-discharging, not self-propelled, excluding those of item no. 8606.10",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 53111569.193397366,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "HUN",
      "hs_code": "120600",
      "hs_description": "Oil seeds: sunflower seeds, whether or not broken",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 161204421.0873893,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 44.602124775147324,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.381695233854105,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "HUN",
      "hs_code": "330499",
      "hs_description": "Cosmetic and toilet preparations: n.e.c. in heading no. 3304, for the care of the skin (excluding medicaments, including sunscreen or sun tan preparations)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 240301595.250844,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.536766821741433,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "HUN",
      "hs_code": "230400",
      "hs_description": "Oil-cake and other solid residues: whether or not ground or in the form of pellets, resulting from the extraction of soya-bean oil",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 266130278.64149985,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 44.3130937366467,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3694456359740628,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "HUN",
      "hs_code": "252329",
      "hs_description": "Cement: portland, other than white, whether or not artificially coloured",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 299516418.4774013,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 12.821865215571993,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1550574541100975,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
    "importer_iso3": "HUN",
    "distance_km": 300,
    "shares_land_border": 1,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 1,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 2,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 182280.517581,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 18772.673292044827,
    "importer_population": 9709.886,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 7,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 4.5,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 67837.78854400001,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 17398.76597691716,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 7.780031403448278,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 7.780031403448278,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 7.780031403448278
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HRV-HUN/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HRV-HUN/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HRV-HUN/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HRV-HUN/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HRV-HUN/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}