{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:18.377Z", "seo": { "title": "Croatia exports to Guatemala: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Croatia to Guatemala, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "HRV", "country_name": "Croatia" }, "importer": { "iso3": "GTM", "country_name": "Guatemala" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "all_history_lane_count": 12, "current_lane_count": 2, "current_product_count": 2, "first_observed_last_year": 2001, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 125690.27658227646, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 0, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 0, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 94394.49082990928, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 0, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 0, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.15902770363779611, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 19.757047917987855, "product_concentration_hhi": 6260.10731845688, "top1_product_share_pct": 75.10086969067885, "top3_product_share_pct": 100, "top_product_hs6": "481151", "top_product_trade_usd": 94394.49082990928, "top_product_description": "Paper and paperboard: coated, impregnated or covered with plastics (excluding adhesives), bleached, weighing more than 150g/m2, other than goods of heading no. 4803, 4809, 4810 or 4818", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": 10082.482421875, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.01720000058412552, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 7.270483306666667, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 7.405439594252875, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 2.1656053111111104, "tariff_advantage_pp": 5.239834283141764, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 15, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 85986.321551, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 5026, "buyer_population_latest": 17109.747, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 7.963421520392089, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 6.390193560081858, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.4787339957434753, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 17.206, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 4.184, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 85986.321551, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 5026, "buyer_population_2024": 17109.747 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 50232.29205793415, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 64439.79381839691, "yoy_growth_pct": 28.28360239679466, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 42591.54510066731, "yoy_growth_pct": -33.904901650216246, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 26230.916839939575, "yoy_growth_pct": -38.41285452795513, "cagr_3y_pct": -19.472634369660348 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 105069.56538201356, "yoy_growth_pct": 300.55620633905227, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.699404230909742 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 55864.96960165559, "yoy_growth_pct": -46.83049330361189, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.464187323338047 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 110005.07657394151, "yoy_growth_pct": 96.91244326870884, "cagr_3y_pct": 61.26238765786183 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 10390.31794789562, "yoy_growth_pct": -90.55469231830259, "cagr_3y_pct": -53.75650670391491 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 31564.72246632958, "yoy_growth_pct": 203.789764900529, "cagr_3y_pct": -17.3288200800894 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 288316.45585845, "yoy_growth_pct": 813.4135621372884, "cagr_3y_pct": 37.875013410603465 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 4353.670939597108, "yoy_growth_pct": -98.48996793241155, "cagr_3y_pct": -25.17002711116557 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 38494.137633368584, "yoy_growth_pct": 784.1765527858396, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.839260468332742 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 37560.17963583662, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.426234369574143, "cagr_3y_pct": -49.30644556826081 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 14827.325988962393, "yoy_growth_pct": -60.523815027722975, "cagr_3y_pct": 50.45354034676601 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 205744.53079144144, "yoy_growth_pct": 1287.6037455748913, "cagr_3y_pct": 74.84151790515428 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 68410.02638182943, "yoy_growth_pct": -66.75001463286763, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.122972266595454 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 7414.549328671487, "yoy_growth_pct": -89.16160434248731, "cagr_3y_pct": -20.626784521195596 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 220567.6711244232, "yoy_growth_pct": 2874.795383335102, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.3460736079610855 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 104419.44617300582, "yoy_growth_pct": -52.658771051673135, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.138493438792144 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 73453.4377933187, "yoy_growth_pct": -29.65540377257081, "cagr_3y_pct": 114.77107416675364 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 155522.69369642777, "yoy_growth_pct": 111.72963222502031, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.994405771251248 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 479023.1396198914, "yoy_growth_pct": 208.00851517844703, "cagr_3y_pct": 66.15944610989577 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 992523.29258968, "yoy_growth_pct": 107.19735864477337, "cagr_3y_pct": 138.18232320097027 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 530056.316202488, "yoy_growth_pct": -46.59507538412812, "cagr_3y_pct": 50.49061421688319 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 1485533.6830779926, "yoy_growth_pct": 180.2595946258851, "cagr_3y_pct": 45.82836397053851 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 767554.4045863046, "yoy_growth_pct": -48.33140349965347, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.21124338550695 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 389602.81871514267, "yoy_growth_pct": -49.24101583064587, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.752878475573368 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 360665.8449457449, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.4273009278598145, "cagr_3y_pct": -37.61586307899244 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "hs_code": "481151", "hs_description": "Paper and paperboard: coated, impregnated or covered with plastics (excluding adhesives), bleached, weighing more than 150g/m2, other than goods of heading no. 4803, 4809, 4810 or 4818", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 24210436.18008707, "current_below_peak_pct": 20.414330995893433, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.18490657209439107, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "hs_code": "481159", "hs_description": "Paper and paperboard: coated, impregnated or covered with plastics (excluding adhesives), other than bleached and weighing more than 150g/m2, other than goods of heading no. 4803, 4809, or 4810", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15780297.864582058, "current_below_peak_pct": 17.774547719368634, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.08097174330678866, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "limited_history" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "HRV", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "distance_km": 10089, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 2, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 1, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 85986.321551, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 5025.575278874668, "importer_population": 17109.747, "importer_biz_entry_days": 15, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 17.3, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 67837.78854400001, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 17398.76597691716, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 7.270483306666667, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 7.405439594252875, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 2.1656053111111104, "tariff_advantage_pp": 5.239834283141764 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HRV-GTM/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HRV-GTM/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HRV-GTM/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HRV-GTM/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HRV-GTM/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }