{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:15.807Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Croatia exports to Estonia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Croatia to Estonia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "HRV",
    "country_name": "Croatia"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "EST",
    "country_name": "Estonia"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
    "importer_iso3": "EST",
    "all_history_lane_count": 57,
    "current_lane_count": 44,
    "current_product_count": 44,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2007,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 7294436.826069723,
    "attention_trade_usd": 1215821.657294095,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 2260551.603741416,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 2710717.3168289345,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 2172153.91789739,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 1,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 20,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 17,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 8,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.8739931377821427,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 38.96525613598404,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 700.1272501797467,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 16.667793364785165,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 36.03846093768549,
    "top_product_hs6": "850423",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 1215821.657294095,
    "top_product_description": "Electrical transformers: liquid dielectric, having a power handling capacity exceeding 10,000kVA",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "850423",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
    "distance_km": 1624.370361328125,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.3093666434288025,
    "has_reported_fta": 1,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.2906120348536399,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 1.6586807884137935,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.09095098410528736,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 1.5677298043085062,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 3.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 36262.924354,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 27281,
    "buyer_population_latest": 1329.254,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 6.235608076538068,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.522533158466936,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.6757560652948857,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 30.938,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 31.318,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 16.667793364785165,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Watch",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 36262.924354,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 27281,
    "buyer_population_2024": 1329.254
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 455401.59873796167,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 666635.5712495507,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 46.38410868494407,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 289934.9938504698,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -56.507722306655225,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 444808.2809914957,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 53.41655558173146,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.7814739617295507
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 460167.472144281,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.452991279422468,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.622344239551662
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 438993.0058546625,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.60146958909331,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.829195382789283
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 974501.3733538861,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 121.98562627590346,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 29.878280590572114
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 1739651.9218576956,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 78.51713393388397,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 55.781356624956246
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 842088.9182479111,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -51.59440186467403,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 24.251064179559133
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 3151484.226400224,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 274.24601584323744,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 47.880494479682945
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 1448046.889336911,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -54.05190744073819,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.932394763275861
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 6173370.336701859,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 326.3239251547142,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 94.2621210287365
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 2321763.7634026916,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -62.39066123087797,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.683389547362475
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 5016510.581874857,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 116.06464279220394,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 51.31188300369176
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 2943451.009013477,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -41.32473238173855,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -21.877135263598646
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 4801037.916032102,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 63.1091498153119,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 27.400862751888354
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 5361788.875453519,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.679786105185741,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.2435669467218533
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 7039618.581171996,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 31.292349338849345,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 33.730593612773106
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 17246522.82899515,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 144.99229084828983,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 53.15181121927159
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 5700939.574640925,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -66.94441174509444,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.065486387754789
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 6071903.556871462,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6.507067429387758,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.80987174742169
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 7404467.859295043,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 21.946400991753933,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -24.560737353290484
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 9742523.597028399,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 31.576283159880635,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.557000161797646
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 7895662.887790572,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -18.956697316095227,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.14937273261065
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 10188926.681837771,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 29.0446011517713,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.227334127526568
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 10020680.142793033,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.6512685221755974,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.9427761171163729
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 15558342.007454356,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 55.262335348005905,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 25.369407155571654
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 18344682.87549602,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 17.90898327538155,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 21.654242012823666
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 20600318.09239811,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.295852875794688,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 27.152696775810558
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 13408547.29396228,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -34.91096965677304,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.835974496237993
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "hs_code": "850423",
      "hs_description": "Electrical transformers: liquid dielectric, having a power handling capacity exceeding 10,000kVA",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 26266542.701713964,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 62.361931848650286,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7962207622037873,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "hs_code": "854442",
      "hs_description": "Insulated electric conductors: for a voltage not exceeding 1000 volts, fitted with connectors",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 26112423.44980554,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 33.02738179045068,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9510863370647286,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "hs_code": "851712",
      "hs_description": "Telephones for cellular networks or for other wireless networks",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 472358276.2233993,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 43.799152427032325,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8622117903464456,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "hs_code": "940690",
      "hs_description": "Buildings: prefabricated, not of wood",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13971469.114975538,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 70.14758400148806,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0340192968966009,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "hs_code": "180631",
      "hs_description": "Chocolate and other food preparations containing cocoa: in blocks, slabs or bars, filled, weighing 2kg or less",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 18063318.308385946,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 23.722108999385863,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6864290371642999,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "hs_code": "680610",
      "hs_description": "Slag wool, rock wool and similar mineral wools (including intermixtures thereof), in bulk, sheets or rolls",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 22715218.42989516,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0.49653500842458187,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9067218427003806,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "hs_code": "850431",
      "hs_description": "Electrical transformers: n.e.c. in item no. 8504.2, having a power handling capacity not exceeding 1kVA",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12846066.954702131,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 75.00449150097445,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0430196207298656,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "hs_code": "440791",
      "hs_description": "Wood: oak (Quercus spp.), sawn or chipped lengthwise, sliced or peeled, whether or not planed, sanded or end-jointed, thicker than 6mm",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11099058.64129785,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 26.977574367540058,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.018362847643991,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "hs_code": "841510",
      "hs_description": "Air conditioning machines: comprising a motor-driven fan and elements for changing the temperature and humidity, window or wall types, self-contained or split-system",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 22038133.938627377,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 5.364816859815192,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5772871829820873,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "hs_code": "220890",
      "hs_description": "Spirits, liqueurs and other spirituous beverages: n.e.c. in heading no. 2208",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 35548305.81699041,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8638527383359718,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
    "importer_iso3": "EST",
    "distance_km": 1625,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 1,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 2,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 36262.924354,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 27280.658439997173,
    "importer_population": 1329.254,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 3.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 67837.78854400001,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 17398.76597691716,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.2906120348536399,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 1.6586807884137935,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.09095098410528736,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 1.5677298043085062
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HRV-EST/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HRV-EST/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HRV-EST/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HRV-EST/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HRV-EST/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}