{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:13.462Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Croatia exports to China: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Croatia to China, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "HRV",
    "country_name": "Croatia"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "CHN",
    "country_name": "China"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
    "importer_iso3": "CHN",
    "all_history_lane_count": 129,
    "current_lane_count": 67,
    "current_product_count": 67,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1995,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 197687376.45590982,
    "attention_trade_usd": 150687908.27057043,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 132253597.01304087,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 18162021.338571988,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 251555.66181408984,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 30547005.17336021,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 197687376.45590982,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 15,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 32,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 20,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 1,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 17,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 67,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.8540918434813016,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 10.156374317881951,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 1581.4919500850044,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 32.55246770666994,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 60.4691085556404,
    "top_product_hs6": "294190",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 64352119.38097306,
    "top_product_description": "Antibiotics: n.e.c. in heading no. 2941",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "294190",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 7648.76318359375,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.004900000058114529,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 16.75117538735632,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 16.75117538735632,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 8.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 17734062.645370997,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 12556,
    "buyer_population_latest": 1412359.985,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.1812362915018895,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.16286575688667,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.01746865158438471,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 44.900000000000006,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 46.43,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 76.225356910525,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "declining_buyer_demand",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 17734062.645370997,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 12556,
    "buyer_population_2024": 1412359.985
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 25391124.25632928,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 30450119.96097213,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 19.924268234722952,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 10338263.771196205,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -66.0485285954645,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 4344776.199822821,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -57.97383104184329,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -44.482679978074856
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 5522557.363972135,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 27.107982321329782,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -43.395571590656104
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 4910471.366956186,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.083379613384448,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -21.97654251458835
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 3935396.7866418716,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -19.857046451300775,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.2449358311072762
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 4129150.1099233897,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.923349125536358,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.237424317909671
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 5556550.5982907815,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 34.56886890445055,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.206313014075147
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 18452567.060524464,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 232.08672780196676,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 67.374549805999
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 39544904.02561282,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 114.3057055200257,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 112.3619077478609
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 46004163.701487385,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 16.33398748847883,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 102.3006550039097
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 49952359.31384349,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.582257114758619,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 39.369070738742806
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 66645615.561385386,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 33.41835396134258,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.003669344760787
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 64742543.44197627,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.8555098536920953,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.06350598870738
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 47247608.338493824,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -27.022316661318392,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.8384799887866676
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 70227710.7466317,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 48.63759926958122,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.7604399730595688
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 63461501.108163334,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -9.634672078205098,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.6639558238159093
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 95223692.39318174,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 50.049542999121854,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 26.315039643582907
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 89243095.53408502,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -6.280576512831115,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.315025123023334
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 95815135.15804407,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.364199532331273,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.720560090033352
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 123978541.5687836,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 29.393483987978385,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.194434082675883
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 158863908.06239983,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 28.13822944857094,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 21.194675070797263
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 193275974.21143645,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 21.661349370506457,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 26.35174712373334
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 135306273.49310434,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -29.993226501559633,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.9572980465017773
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 120573913.15448569,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -10.888157628086226,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.782946826624382
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 185556915.7199557,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 53.89474461379582,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.3493938565614094
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 131479923.35640445,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -29.14307567235316,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.9516672281210448
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 117447524.5481645,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -10.672655147662457,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.8718874169397317
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 223240051.23235062,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 90.07642101541377,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.356733237495371
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "hs_code": "294190",
      "hs_description": "Antibiotics: n.e.c. in heading no. 2941",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 498374069.73455065,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 3.5064272875131373,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "hs_code": "440792",
      "hs_description": "Wood: beech (Fagus spp.), sawn or chipped lengthwise, sliced or peeled, whether or not planed, sanded or end-jointed, thicker than 6mm",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 235794541.58742815,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 6.703256617204674,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.147801350774649,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "hs_code": "853340",
      "hs_description": "Electrical resistors: variable, including rheostats and potentiometers (excluding heating)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 693518493.0033703,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 9.777530135889785,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9934454175546052,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "hs_code": "440391",
      "hs_description": "Wood: oak, in the rough, whether or not stripped of bark or sapwood, or roughly squared, untreated",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 425860829.35559994,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6633427467641761,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "hs_code": "440795",
      "hs_description": "Wood: ash (Fraxinus spp.), sawn or chipped lengthwise, sliced or peeled, whether or not planed, sanded or end-jointed, thicker than 6mm",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 179932193.8090961,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3287464381119083,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "hs_code": "251512",
      "hs_description": "Marble and travertine: merely cut, by sawing or otherwise, into blocks or slabs of a rectangular (including square) shape, having a specific gravity of 2.5 or more",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 837965377.8884273,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 7.803407037146952,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6891502209398864,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "hs_code": "847759",
      "hs_description": "Machinery: for moulding or forming, other than for moulding or retreading pneumatic tyres or for moulding or otherwise forming inner tubes",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 80866820.41416122,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 75.34259629090917,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8819680437535616,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "hs_code": "870530",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: fire fighting vehicles",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 41101541.43437464,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 59.41044084410654,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7517570423806704,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "hs_code": "440791",
      "hs_description": "Wood: oak (Quercus spp.), sawn or chipped lengthwise, sliced or peeled, whether or not planed, sanded or end-jointed, thicker than 6mm",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 400290382.5075844,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6331796167520441,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "hs_code": "760719",
      "hs_description": "Aluminium: foil, (not backed), of a thickness not exceeding 0.2mm, not rolled",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 170563059.55014256,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6592707150307734,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "HRV",
    "importer_iso3": "CHN",
    "distance_km": 8662,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 17734062.645370997,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 12556.33325336033,
    "importer_population": 1412359.985,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 8.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1.1,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 67837.78854400001,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 17398.76597691716,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 16.75117538735632,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 16.75117538735632,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HRV-CHN/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HRV-CHN/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HRV-CHN/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HRV-CHN/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HRV-CHN/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}