{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:15.767Z", "seo": { "title": "Honduras exports to Poland: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Honduras to Poland, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "HND", "country_name": "Honduras" }, "importer": { "iso3": "POL", "country_name": "Poland" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "HND", "importer_iso3": "POL", "all_history_lane_count": 16, "current_lane_count": 7, "current_product_count": 7, "first_observed_last_year": 1999, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 17812871.2567666, "attention_trade_usd": 8655162.062659403, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 9706452.963291083, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 8721411.86621838, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 7934981.031618494, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 2, "high_volatility_lane_count": 4, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 4, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.3430422399506197, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 36.01214008578465, "product_concentration_hhi": 3802.923097130481, "top1_product_share_pct": 44.54633347559969, "top3_product_share_pct": 93.13570426202782, "top_product_hs6": "090111", "top_product_trade_usd": 7934981.031618494, "top_product_description": "Coffee: not roasted or decaffeinated", "top_attention_product_hs6": "610910", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": 9974.8173828125, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.00989999994635582, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 13.294336478585858, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 14.09669518989899, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 8.178961531515151, "tariff_advantage_pp": 5.917733658383837, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 37, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 674048.2663969999, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 17841, "buyer_population_latest": 37781.025, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 8.774876361756622, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 9.599090635201723, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.7520265621440814, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 22.94, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 22.524, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 48.589370786428134, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 674048.2663969999, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 17841, "buyer_population_2024": 37781.025 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "HND", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 4235291.454979439, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "HND", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 3601098.884939742, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.974000650984154, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "HND", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 1594571.528519757, "yoy_growth_pct": -55.71986275665852, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "HND", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 2119912.5702921334, "yoy_growth_pct": 32.945592742399654, "cagr_3y_pct": -20.601636831700798 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "HND", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 987619.1926099153, "yoy_growth_pct": -53.412267729804675, "cagr_3y_pct": -35.02920843377279 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "HND", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 9455343.071076617, "yoy_growth_pct": 857.3875378109667, "cagr_3y_pct": 80.99966118322364 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "HND", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 18447366.138051342, "yoy_growth_pct": 95.09991334403125, "cagr_3y_pct": 105.68635048426604 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "HND", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 34083102.35833239, "yoy_growth_pct": 84.75863764653778, "cagr_3y_pct": 225.57411291522396 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "HND", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 41043511.06392637, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.4218754279343, "cagr_3y_pct": 63.12570617535647 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "HND", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 4751919.295342424, "yoy_growth_pct": -88.4222397836745, "cagr_3y_pct": -36.37249464388723 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "HND", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 2714952.5688575516, "yoy_growth_pct": -42.86618942542644, "cagr_3y_pct": -56.9730023686834 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "HND", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 3128602.974373965, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.236008549883318, "cagr_3y_pct": -57.59972732957061 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "HND", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 2562731.6509394394, "yoy_growth_pct": -18.08702887740995, "cagr_3y_pct": -18.602445190205653 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "HND", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 6579051.176432249, "yoy_growth_pct": 156.72025293871553, "cagr_3y_pct": 34.31783179210299 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "HND", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 35861494.062324084, "yoy_growth_pct": 445.08610893298146, "cagr_3y_pct": 125.47201277858395 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "HND", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 3839400.485589603, "yoy_growth_pct": -89.29380778470338, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.424782152804227 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "HND", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 3562917.874024688, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.201192285166281, "cagr_3y_pct": -18.489382654402842 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "HND", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 6479073.875948808, "yoy_growth_pct": 81.84741004512736, "cagr_3y_pct": -43.46793483453935 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "HND", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 4639761.027592175, "yoy_growth_pct": -28.38851483364636, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.514990357865602 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "HND", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 5080570.885722777, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.500701771258303, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.556064866648375 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "HND", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 2917663.3140515154, "yoy_growth_pct": -42.57213648468876, "cagr_3y_pct": -23.350837441478944 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "HND", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 5288059.147514209, "yoy_growth_pct": 81.24295294960278, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.456041543187839 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "HND", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 6136962.852359276, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.05321879283663, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.49935881821786 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "HND", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 6214061.880144548, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.2563059226540885, "cagr_3y_pct": 28.660963586029474 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "HND", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 7102422.027858444, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.295965583355773, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.332482544397381 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "HND", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 15568501.906950988, "yoy_growth_pct": 119.1998989342693, "cagr_3y_pct": 36.38432017491506 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "HND", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 19590413.70081536, "yoy_growth_pct": 25.833646794677655, "cagr_3y_pct": 46.62994709522978 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "HND", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 33446350.77330481, "yoy_growth_pct": 70.72814941071283, "cagr_3y_pct": 67.61546588706425 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "HND", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 27769822.674770374, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.97204019956985, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.276157243647 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "HND", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 19309653.75481314, "yoy_growth_pct": -30.46533288685176, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.4800170277238891 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "HND", "importer_iso3": "POL", "hs_code": "090111", "hs_description": "Coffee: not roasted or decaffeinated", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 521655414.50919855, "current_below_peak_pct": 13.252880065838523, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7272946989183514, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "HND", "importer_iso3": "POL", "hs_code": "610910", "hs_description": "T-shirts, singlets and other vests: of cotton, knitted or crocheted", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1229315672.679328, "current_below_peak_pct": 56.493920549210976, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.8850432370069223, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "HND", "importer_iso3": "POL", "hs_code": "611020", "hs_description": "Jerseys, pullovers, cardigans, waistcoats and similar articles: of cotton, knitted or crocheted", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 799100199.9117014, "current_below_peak_pct": 63.867140864514504, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.812799532255797, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "HND", "importer_iso3": "POL", "hs_code": "610990", "hs_description": "T-shirts, singlets and other vests: of textile materials (other than cotton), knitted or crocheted", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 304665931.63800687, "current_below_peak_pct": 25.306749083430862, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7148004089974531, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "HND", "importer_iso3": "POL", "hs_code": "080719", "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: melons, (other than watermelons), fresh", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 21474877.02483523, "current_below_peak_pct": 46.58344137825187, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7209674731832936, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "HND", "importer_iso3": "POL", "hs_code": "080430", "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: pineapples, fresh or dried", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13378721.138353523, "current_below_peak_pct": 84.58989860807992, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.618824107266055, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "HND", "importer_iso3": "POL", "hs_code": "090421", "hs_description": "Spices: fruits of the genus Capsicum or Pimenta, dried, neither crushed nor ground", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12271642.225476012, "current_below_peak_pct": 92.83488043430775, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9677272302610286, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "HND", "importer_iso3": "POL", "distance_km": 9978, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 2, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 1, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 674048.2663969999, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 17840.920578438512, "importer_population": 37781.025, "importer_biz_entry_days": 37, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 11.6, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 28488.668302000002, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2831.033020788843, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 13.294336478585858, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 14.09669518989899, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 8.178961531515151, "tariff_advantage_pp": 5.917733658383837 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HND-POL/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HND-POL/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HND-POL/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HND-POL/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HND-POL/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }