{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:15.789Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Honduras exports to Hong Kong: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Honduras to Hong Kong, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "HND",
    "country_name": "Honduras"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "HKG",
    "country_name": "Hong Kong"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "HND",
    "importer_iso3": "HKG",
    "all_history_lane_count": 29,
    "current_lane_count": 6,
    "current_product_count": 6,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1996,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 4433069.480929298,
    "attention_trade_usd": 3313940.0211194484,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 3397491.8089909125,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 149180.2641946328,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 123521.52388212743,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 4433069.480929298,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 2,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 3,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 2,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 6,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.5468548654368033,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 6.0211980806203735,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 3184.81225339363,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 39.65873294850287,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 93.84846573576388,
    "top_product_hs6": "240210",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 1758099.186863333,
    "top_product_description": "Cigars, cheroots and cigarillos: containing tobacco including the weight of every band, wrapper or attachment thereto",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "240210",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 15363.830078125,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 0,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 1.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 368139.247671,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 49661,
    "buyer_population_latest": 7413.1,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 2.303516880397938,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.259425330431597,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.04311734573498871,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23.188,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 22.356,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 74.75497587790461,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 368139.247671,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 49661,
    "buyer_population_2024": 7413.1
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "HND",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 988512.7724318798,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "HND",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 999715.2294249699,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.1332637579917648,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "HND",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 1450190.4845708625,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 45.06035737847098,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "HND",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 2011556.8834188348,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 38.709838798458996,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 26.72141421617067
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "HND",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 1215219.1612141605,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -39.588128417786606,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.7233461768941405
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "HND",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 1463122.0704117166,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 20.39985190406881,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.2963596296245319
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "HND",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 1786765.8142681182,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 22.12007804416003,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.8730626993414674
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "HND",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 449940.0607121158,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -74.8181850626901,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -28.19301624474435
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "HND",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 1314979.5555789608,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 192.25660713512713,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.4958152070081017
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "HND",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 1049476.7804300685,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -20.190639012026047,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -16.253165591470818
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "HND",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 1323008.7335918304,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 26.06364983603262,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 43.26365147545308
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "HND",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 2125995.7860700116,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 60.694009955486486,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 17.36748529770329
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "HND",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 2915794.3274141783,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 37.149581693392776,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 40.58144968346718
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "HND",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 1975879.7517665005,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -32.23528377192587,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.305185611500315
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "HND",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 2795455.311039895,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 41.47902009424749,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.554457217769974
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "HND",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 2179658.708979426,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -22.02849030097339,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.243611932944951
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "HND",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 4059801.8287478965,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 86.25860149678219,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 27.13001787204352
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "HND",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 3998314.92543651,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.5145296717684942,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.66996206155584
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "HND",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 4869829.4914078545,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 21.797046561463596,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 30.729947301109583
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "HND",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 6462788.436534469,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 32.7107745340401,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.762943534195763
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "HND",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 2733454.311178876,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -57.7047223807216,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.906281886681114
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "HND",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 4184409.251917273,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 53.08136795279499,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.930735777598505
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "HND",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 7126091.224528072,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 70.3010101428998,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.3103452262116084
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "HND",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 7844253.627728011,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 10.077928847276297,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 42.106279520456845
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "HND",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 8569849.271484945,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.250027831737672,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 26.99296894901815
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "HND",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 6611218.48375875,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -22.8549035773976,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.468842748016764
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "HND",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 6753488.703254122,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.1519515630118002,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.868243224034674
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "HND",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 7112626.598735605,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.317812929907406,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.023570195582906
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "HND",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 5850343.867844973,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -17.74706872866102,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.993649467371918
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "HND",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 6126498.347607117,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.720311933798671,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.1956854143015523
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HND",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "hs_code": "240210",
      "hs_description": "Cigars, cheroots and cigarillos: containing tobacco including the weight of every band, wrapper or attachment thereto",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 93375770.15020572,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 7.0670361742797585,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.018093944835944,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HND",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "hs_code": "030617",
      "hs_description": "Crustaceans: frozen, shrimps and prawns, excluding cold-water varieties, in shell or not, smoked, cooked or not before or during smoking: in shell, cooked by steaming or by boiling in water",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 191720155.3648516,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.519057527026387,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HND",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "hs_code": "090111",
      "hs_description": "Coffee: not roasted or decaffeinated",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 24818082.88450507,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 2.586106220568174,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7947016899399979,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HND",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "hs_code": "030572",
      "hs_description": "Fish: edible offal, fish heads, tails and maws",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 114386644.36899278,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 72.42141019565223,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8955033932147743,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HND",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "hs_code": "610520",
      "hs_description": "Shirts: men's or boys', of man-made fibres, knitted or crocheted",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 25815699.45245729,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3978150260472382,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HND",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "hs_code": "051199",
      "hs_description": "Animal products: n.e.s. in chapter 5",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11950666.627819518,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 31.90018379125214,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5718117167963923,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "HND",
    "importer_iso3": "HKG",
    "distance_km": 15361,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 368139.247671,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 49660.63423817296,
    "importer_population": 7413.1,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 1.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.5,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 28488.668302000002,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2831.033020788843,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 0,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HND-HKG/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HND-HKG/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HND-HKG/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HND-HKG/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HND-HKG/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}