{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:13.492Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Honduras exports to China: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Honduras to China, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "HND",
    "country_name": "Honduras"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "CHN",
    "country_name": "China"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "HND",
    "importer_iso3": "CHN",
    "all_history_lane_count": 53,
    "current_lane_count": 21,
    "current_product_count": 21,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1997,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 36112712.381944,
    "attention_trade_usd": 30492537.982248753,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 24314835.187117264,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 19790358.574666273,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 9026496.470671289,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 36112712.381944,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 3,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 14,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 11,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 3,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 21,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.5968184311317,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 36.372041208566834,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 2490.3401461801895,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 35.28219779857792,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 84.43713022645932,
    "top_product_hs6": "090111",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 12741358.613029022,
    "top_product_description": "Coffee: not roasted or decaffeinated",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "090111",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 13543.2138671875,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 30.189875567878776,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 30.189875567878776,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 8.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 17734062.645370997,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 12556,
    "buyer_population_latest": 1412359.985,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.1812362915018895,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.16286575688667,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.01746865158438471,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 44.900000000000006,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 46.43,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 84.43713022645932,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 17734062.645370997,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 12556,
    "buyer_population_2024": 1412359.985
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "HND",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 51765.74695951421,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "HND",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 1597211.6329691214,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2985.460418871758,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "HND",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 502316.6551951932,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -68.55040090952653,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "HND",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 978830.2742594989,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 94.86319319416938,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 166.4127278392359
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "HND",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 152935.00929309282,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -84.37573772339738,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -54.25101290029809
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "HND",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 112350.21539380675,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -26.537281481120655,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -39.29859029705348
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "HND",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 378531.6825965384,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 236.92118993249812,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -27.144063113957106
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "HND",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 777512.2457352038,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 105.40215825577874,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 71.9491795776715
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "HND",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 4175591.2582151345,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 437.0450794979773,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 233.71932522523252
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "HND",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 10246282.578042377,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 145.38519084892835,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 200.25346725792502
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "HND",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 16168734.218953127,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 57.800978997031294,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 174.99381631006293
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "HND",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 13661341.979083221,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -15.507659448880784,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 48.453962586990684
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "HND",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 18544410.270886194,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 35.743694135461965,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 21.865909116466486
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "HND",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 12489938.327713083,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -32.64850084059201,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.245348382728423
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "HND",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 49338648.456146,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 295.0271583541113,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 53.425646461480866
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "HND",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 97918030.0230344,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 98.46111129304145,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 74.13385456609261
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "HND",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 139983490.53728414,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 42.95987215465242,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 123.78905457226415
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "HND",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 219453099.5147768,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 56.77070108230098,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 64.45666923168514
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "HND",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 199870383.08107844,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -8.923417567123382,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 26.851398374682887
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "HND",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 158746358.65024254,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -20.575346780695234,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.281911807787853
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "HND",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 33957611.65331748,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -78.60888782454879,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -46.31349411466304
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "HND",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 25664004.693874598,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -24.423410704246752,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -49.550291595265136
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "HND",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 30561616.705866482,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 19.08358446162859,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -42.25812917513208
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "HND",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 44190821.75913446,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 44.59582483622919,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.177123260477993
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "HND",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 25061724.03272601,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -43.287490399416185,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.7884642273249254
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "HND",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 41138652.95571579,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 64.14933346962191,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.414111185104979
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "HND",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 29000020.866719987,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -29.50663479930319,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -13.09953955432448
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "HND",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 26317651.62353927,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -9.249542458981352,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.6432937909218293
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "HND",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 72610089.07703948,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 175.89881542506217,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.850643565807346
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "HND",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 85607075.13526353,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 17.899697168026087,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 43.45106700110104
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HND",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "hs_code": "090111",
      "hs_description": "Coffee: not roasted or decaffeinated",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 718298619.7326877,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.61066459820776,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HND",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "hs_code": "440391",
      "hs_description": "Wood: oak, in the rough, whether or not stripped of bark or sapwood, or roughly squared, untreated",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 425860829.35559994,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 58.36684346672345,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4120987267060607,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HND",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "hs_code": "440399",
      "hs_description": "Wood: in the rough, whether or not stripped of bark or sapwood, or roughly squared, untreated, n.e.c. in heading no. 4403",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 643688757.9673176,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 58.71799056147097,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6258748709116173,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HND",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "hs_code": "610910",
      "hs_description": "T-shirts, singlets and other vests: of cotton, knitted or crocheted",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 664613693.1047307,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 48.86145840445043,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8981949655648735,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HND",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "hs_code": "282110",
      "hs_description": "Iron oxides and hydroxides",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 72670150.86682355,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 95.34581172562707,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3246875407578909,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HND",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "hs_code": "540233",
      "hs_description": "Yarn, synthetic: filament, monofilament (less than 67 decitex), textured, of polyesters, not for retail sale, not sewing thread",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 76210796.10702612,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.376973353278979,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HND",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "hs_code": "240210",
      "hs_description": "Cigars, cheroots and cigarillos: containing tobacco including the weight of every band, wrapper or attachment thereto",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 37072550.71663637,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.9528453029521828,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HND",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "hs_code": "610990",
      "hs_description": "T-shirts, singlets and other vests: of textile materials (other than cotton), knitted or crocheted",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 199987310.56021369,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 92.8904357469101,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2580603414607194,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HND",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "hs_code": "030812",
      "hs_description": "Aquatic invertebrates: sea cucumbers (Stichopus japonicus, Holothuroidea), frozen",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 18963054.143753637,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 16.344504371682543,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2282047629272885,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HND",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "hs_code": "611030",
      "hs_description": "Jerseys, pullovers, cardigans, waistcoats and similar articles: of man-made fibres, knitted or crocheted",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 269248706.9175227,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 86.29829799108903,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9738167051182729,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "HND",
    "importer_iso3": "CHN",
    "distance_km": 14137,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 17734062.645370997,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 12556.33325336033,
    "importer_population": 1412359.985,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 8.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1.1,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 28488.668302000002,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2831.033020788843,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 30.189875567878776,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 30.189875567878776,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HND-CHN/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HND-CHN/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HND-CHN/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HND-CHN/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HND-CHN/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}