{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:15.782Z", "seo": { "title": "Honduras exports to Brazil: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Honduras to Brazil, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "HND", "country_name": "Honduras" }, "importer": { "iso3": "BRA", "country_name": "Brazil" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "HND", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "all_history_lane_count": 60, "current_lane_count": 17, "current_product_count": 17, "first_observed_last_year": 1996, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 22322602.49483975, "attention_trade_usd": 4840293.667556921, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 6069377.502382138, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 2340095.0963158607, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 5331322.6264488, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 2, "high_volatility_lane_count": 7, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 8, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 8, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.8796933763420218, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 13.202037641006239, "product_concentration_hhi": 2856.024859262504, "top1_product_share_pct": 48.404325952425644, "top3_product_share_pct": 78.23949727225596, "top_product_hs6": "760200", "top_product_trade_usd": 10805105.27266653, "top_product_description": "Aluminium: waste and scrap", "top_attention_product_hs6": "854430", "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "distance_km": 6086.6748046875, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.05939999967813492, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 28.83659997252525, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 28.83659997252525, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 16.6, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 1608981.220812, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 7519, "buyer_population_latest": 213993.439, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.134039194863969, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.688169663595019, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.43419756407150345, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 19.334000000000003, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 16.486, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 21.683375263595888, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 1608981.220812, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 7519, "buyer_population_2024": 213993.439 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "HND", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "export_value_usd": 86763.09806847578, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "HND", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "export_value_usd": 157426.83134712587, "yoy_growth_pct": 81.44445605536166, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "HND", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "export_value_usd": 125009.29425956185, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.59212956912244, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "HND", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "export_value_usd": 194001.25383417838, "yoy_growth_pct": 55.18946409805796, "cagr_3y_pct": 30.76449127741101 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "HND", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "export_value_usd": 184537.67630040998, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.8781012218907405, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.43919895699867 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "HND", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "export_value_usd": 654497.872121545, "yoy_growth_pct": 254.66896800850796, "cagr_3y_pct": 73.64221289666726 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "HND", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "export_value_usd": 388549.55428670545, "yoy_growth_pct": -40.63394690234394, "cagr_3y_pct": 26.05128947676496 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "HND", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "export_value_usd": 399572.06288289884, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.8368347034726016, "cagr_3y_pct": 29.37092679173383 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "HND", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "export_value_usd": 414949.47752852936, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.848470920284819, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.092912707824778 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "HND", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "export_value_usd": 926906.0092381679, "yoy_growth_pct": 123.37803984207683, "cagr_3y_pct": 33.617423829227036 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "HND", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "export_value_usd": 1842204.972443106, "yoy_growth_pct": 98.7477645071295, "cagr_3y_pct": 66.43613096591996 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "HND", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "export_value_usd": 2499563.484516536, "yoy_growth_pct": 35.68324491067085, "cagr_3y_pct": 81.95178331783339 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "HND", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "export_value_usd": 4013614.3668790935, "yoy_growth_pct": 60.57261164764554, "cagr_3y_pct": 62.99213490942379 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "HND", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "export_value_usd": 5679768.422370014, "yoy_growth_pct": 41.51255958320901, "cagr_3y_pct": 45.545090187703586 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "HND", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "export_value_usd": 3960810.811385498, "yoy_growth_pct": -30.264572129636957, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.584274846813464 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "HND", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "export_value_usd": 5342259.193269346, "yoy_growth_pct": 34.87791888248799, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.000950413643306 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "HND", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "export_value_usd": 7185954.656678051, "yoy_growth_pct": 34.51153148337611, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.156165385197788 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "HND", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "export_value_usd": 16708891.633406527, "yoy_growth_pct": 132.52152889496207, "cagr_3y_pct": 61.580090809084794 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "HND", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "export_value_usd": 14264264.162561577, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.630697980932151, "cagr_3y_pct": 38.73141182543749 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "HND", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "export_value_usd": 18101919.882083897, "yoy_growth_pct": 26.903986604473772, "cagr_3y_pct": 36.065092729272116 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "HND", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "export_value_usd": 14660486.460245524, "yoy_growth_pct": -19.011427761562906, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.265843984702855 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "HND", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "export_value_usd": 10846116.107041007, "yoy_growth_pct": -26.018034009634327, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.727147102327681 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "HND", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "export_value_usd": 12680000.225970363, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.90821028311551, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.18938565460864 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "HND", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "export_value_usd": 12874728.004213218, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.5357080029385628, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.23726071664422 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "HND", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "export_value_usd": 10074904.188375218, "yoy_growth_pct": -21.746663812406485, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.4286699448066495 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "HND", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "export_value_usd": 11731312.725557122, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.440935876026774, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.558838915407713 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "HND", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "export_value_usd": 18789626.721998937, "yoy_growth_pct": 60.166446514250715, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.42967730191873 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "HND", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "export_value_usd": 25014205.67283265, "yoy_growth_pct": 33.12774140183403, "cagr_3y_pct": 35.409332495024316 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "HND", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "export_value_usd": 22519971.849018503, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.971269351651157, "cagr_3y_pct": 24.281669066790258 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "HND", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "export_value_usd": 24656900.94245775, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.489039807713539, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.481342101804247 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "HND", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "hs_code": "760200", "hs_description": "Aluminium: waste and scrap", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 285574830.0437463, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8461488456145873, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "HND", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "hs_code": "854430", "hs_description": "Insulated electric conductors: ignition wiring sets and other wiring sets of a kind used in vehicles, aircraft or ships", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 505294604.428265, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6503057603699948, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "HND", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "hs_code": "740400", "hs_description": "Copper: waste and scrap", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 151533534.95666835, "current_below_peak_pct": 16.578259304031562, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0701107420380753, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "HND", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "hs_code": "854442", "hs_description": "Insulated electric conductors: for a voltage not exceeding 1000 volts, fitted with connectors", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 386607483.97948223, "current_below_peak_pct": 65.89064016555895, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2414382169610165, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "HND", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "hs_code": "621010", "hs_description": "Garments: of felt or non-wovens (not knitted or crocheted)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 27315243.521316085, "current_below_peak_pct": 47.87807051674507, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5782114878402715, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "HND", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "hs_code": "854420", "hs_description": "Insulated electric conductors: co-axial cable and other co-axial electric conductors", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 45852646.32372771, "current_below_peak_pct": 40.387286034580676, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.333540861585973, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "HND", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "hs_code": "853890", "hs_description": "Electrical apparatus: parts suitable for use solely or principally with the apparatus of heading no. 8535, 8536 or 8537", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 322151297.7832008, "current_below_peak_pct": 10.45841724939697, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0155027496858617, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "HND", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "hs_code": "120770", "hs_description": "Oil seeds: melon seeds, whether or not broken", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 18006667.877443355, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.2182494193636359, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "HND", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "hs_code": "610990", "hs_description": "T-shirts, singlets and other vests: of textile materials (other than cotton), knitted or crocheted", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 61648834.48241365, "current_below_peak_pct": 64.82311447765339, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0317245836472975, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "HND", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "hs_code": "610910", "hs_description": "T-shirts, singlets and other vests: of cotton, knitted or crocheted", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 111247389.16923667, "current_below_peak_pct": 88.77321936182821, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.510807133354409, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "HND", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "distance_km": 6069, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 1608981.2208119999, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 7518.834354599067, "importer_population": 213993.439, "importer_biz_entry_days": 16.6, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 4.2, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 28488.668302000002, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2831.033020788843, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 28.83659997252525, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 28.83659997252525, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HND-BRA/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HND-BRA/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HND-BRA/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HND-BRA/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HND-BRA/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }