{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:13.476Z", "seo": { "title": "Hong Kong exports to Zimbabwe: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Hong Kong to Zimbabwe, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "HKG", "country_name": "Hong Kong" }, "importer": { "iso3": "ZWE", "country_name": "Zimbabwe" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "HKG", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "all_history_lane_count": 76, "current_lane_count": 65, "current_product_count": 65, "first_observed_last_year": 2010, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 73304883.80437937, "attention_trade_usd": 61030749.1267475, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 68871537.28113617, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 18686923.35594768, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 65366555.73863606, "access_friction_trade_usd": 73304883.80437937, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 23, "high_volatility_lane_count": 60, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 28, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 57, "access_friction_lane_count": 65, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.8296628470627396, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 29.78762260943566, "product_concentration_hhi": 442.2772041110405, "top1_product_share_pct": 11.054811858533489, "top3_product_share_pct": 25.222115246332667, "top_product_hs6": "851712", "top_product_trade_usd": 8103716.987690726, "top_product_description": "Telephones for cellular networks or for other wireless networks", "top_attention_product_hs6": "851712", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": 10082.017578125, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.15119999647140503, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 33.586451310303026, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 33.586451310303026, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 27, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 26217.726717, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 1737, "buyer_population_latest": 15092.171, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.484738370653396, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.7134131471191925, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.7245315575260545, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 11.168, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": -4.618, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 83.25604783661277, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 26217.726717, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 1737, "buyer_population_2024": 15092.171 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "HKG", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 30029249.305285305, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "HKG", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 28674096.01913128, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.512777766693987, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "HKG", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 30241244.607185557, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.465380973156675, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "HKG", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 16111996.785153454, "yoy_growth_pct": -46.721780156742895, "cagr_3y_pct": -18.74159432704601 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "HKG", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 17986906.42361419, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.636730465266654, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.39701412457669 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "HKG", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 15570652.458900297, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.433404876903687, "cagr_3y_pct": -19.850210993772166 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "HKG", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 8538030.348897068, "yoy_growth_pct": -45.16587939115764, "cagr_3y_pct": -19.077471816932956 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "HKG", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 10214960.484356815, "yoy_growth_pct": 19.64071415694102, "cagr_3y_pct": -17.18797487300655 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "HKG", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 4366754.543979245, "yoy_growth_pct": -57.25138094595186, "cagr_3y_pct": -34.54381998544653 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "HKG", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 8808600.94367313, "yoy_growth_pct": 101.71962621114518, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.0453689051542092 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "HKG", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 6563674.612910189, "yoy_growth_pct": -25.48561735419952, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.708082929273925 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "HKG", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 5432539.348138557, "yoy_growth_pct": -17.23326233367488, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.551061205852472 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "HKG", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 6557173.209664149, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.701807929121486, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.370432649449844 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "HKG", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 4610589.606846152, "yoy_growth_pct": -29.686322757938843, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.106540545371269 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "HKG", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 7092233.9889603695, "yoy_growth_pct": 53.824881278292146, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.293262854720119 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "HKG", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 23393620.90523303, "yoy_growth_pct": 229.84840801427416, "cagr_3y_pct": 52.801258320963825 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "HKG", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 24436713.97446315, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.458878227768426, "cagr_3y_pct": 74.35274108865325 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "HKG", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 30119631.87425542, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.255655018637245, "cagr_3y_pct": 61.94052193573813 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "HKG", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 40873829.95886105, "yoy_growth_pct": 35.704945297813296, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.443295153426575 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "HKG", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 38041619.1527252, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.929154446711838, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.896964838009886 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "HKG", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 70824883.06896397, "yoy_growth_pct": 86.17736217962812, "cagr_3y_pct": 32.97767503721156 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "HKG", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 38733066.854062356, "yoy_growth_pct": -45.31149904427376, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.7772285832372337 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "HKG", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 53732851.4835653, "yoy_growth_pct": 38.726044302194865, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.200200142028939 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "HKG", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 61823001.95390558, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.056246312955746, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.430039230968785 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "HKG", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 43143115.788464874, "yoy_growth_pct": -30.215106958682114, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.6596823584483795 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "HKG", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 54069024.583570726, "yoy_growth_pct": 25.324802336198204, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.2081125679635809 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "HKG", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 191786364.56431037, "yoy_growth_pct": 254.7065367674232, "cagr_3y_pct": 45.84421676744776 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "HKG", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 88884941.53227167, "yoy_growth_pct": -53.654191352865176, "cagr_3y_pct": 27.244463466909608 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "HKG", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 142263464.7475559, "yoy_growth_pct": 60.053505458969084, "cagr_3y_pct": 38.05377358079494 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "HKG", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 138899972.33293325, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.3642699976351045, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.196179987216258 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "HKG", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "hs_code": "851712", "hs_description": "Telephones for cellular networks or for other wireless networks", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 36309504.40044898, "current_below_peak_pct": 71.35516241402638, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.486850802227697, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "HKG", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "hs_code": "730890", "hs_description": "Iron or steel: structures and parts thereof, n.e.s. in heading no. 7308", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 49719003.98580262, "current_below_peak_pct": 37.26747345167756, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.549501337433938, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "HKG", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "hs_code": "851761", "hs_description": "Base stations", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 46904017.2618236, "current_below_peak_pct": 47.217560423452866, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.004969063381572, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "HKG", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "hs_code": "870120", "hs_description": "Tractors: road, for semi-trailers", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 66938849.42818907, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.137318201836452, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "HKG", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "hs_code": "360300", "hs_description": "Fuses and detonators: safety or detonating fuses, percussion or detonating caps, igniters, electric detonators", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 26022238.64738015, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.415864163836438, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "HKG", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "hs_code": "851762", "hs_description": "Communication apparatus (excluding telephone sets or base stations): machines for the reception, conversion and transmission or regeneration of voice, images or other data, including switching and routing apparatus", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 44525968.319789454, "current_below_peak_pct": 77.24031326181863, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4165040643076288, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "HKG", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "hs_code": "871639", "hs_description": "Trailers and semi-trailers: (other than tanker type)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 27118358.41436607, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.641454225216, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "HKG", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "hs_code": "842951", "hs_description": "Front-end shovel loaders", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 33654213.66455962, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5388989692564057, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "HKG", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "hs_code": "380893", "hs_description": "Herbicides, anti-sprouting products and plant-growth regulators: not containing substances of 3808.50: put up in forms or packings for retail sale or as preparations or articles", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 39204787.89218696, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2800059582994097, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "HKG", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "hs_code": "870210", "hs_description": "Vehicles: public transport type (carries 10 or more passengers), compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 44906353.96370357, "current_below_peak_pct": 23.33913350789738, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9228622196529324, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "HKG", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "distance_km": 10076, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "shares_ethnic_language": 1, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 26217.726717, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1737.1739769579872, "importer_population": 15092.171, "importer_biz_entry_days": 27, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 76.6, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 368139.247671, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 49660.63423817296, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 33.586451310303026, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 33.586451310303026, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HKG-ZWE/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HKG-ZWE/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HKG-ZWE/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HKG-ZWE/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HKG-ZWE/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }