{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:13.441Z", "seo": { "title": "Hong Kong exports to Poland: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Hong Kong to Poland, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "HKG", "country_name": "Hong Kong" }, "importer": { "iso3": "POL", "country_name": "Poland" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "HKG", "importer_iso3": "POL", "all_history_lane_count": 308, "current_lane_count": 243, "current_product_count": 243, "first_observed_last_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 216061653.3690646, "attention_trade_usd": 163739891.65269604, "critical_trade_usd": 27473881.54655679, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 165622639.5938746, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 90701472.9099491, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 18638.34036825464, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 65985977.30527588, "access_friction_trade_usd": 216061653.3690646, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 1, "high_attention_lane_count": 37, "high_volatility_lane_count": 167, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 131, "declining_demand_lane_count": 1, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 80, "access_friction_lane_count": 243, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.5636583005268858, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 36.580368226275645, "product_concentration_hhi": 391.7250553897607, "top1_product_share_pct": 12.715760116686425, "top3_product_share_pct": 26.553423736002102, "top_product_hs6": "851712", "top_product_trade_usd": 27473881.54655679, "top_product_description": "Telephones for cellular networks or for other wireless networks", "top_attention_product_hs6": "851712", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": 8283.6142578125, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.10440000146627426, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 14.09669518989899, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 14.09669518989899, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 37, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 674048.2663969999, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 17841, "buyer_population_latest": 37781.025, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 8.774876361756622, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 9.599090635201723, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.7520265621440814, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 22.94, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 22.524, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 75.78387423195572, "critical_trade_share_pct": 12.715760116686425, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "declining_buyer_demand", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 674048.2663969999, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 17841, "buyer_population_2024": 37781.025 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "HKG", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 143180913.74996042, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "HKG", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 163426259.6325263, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.13969596389133, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "HKG", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 135508797.58917087, "yoy_growth_pct": -17.08260478219933, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "HKG", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 112189844.41141173, "yoy_growth_pct": -17.208442250706433, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.808799141125 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "HKG", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 75161068.66775355, "yoy_growth_pct": -33.005461356974386, "cagr_3y_pct": -22.810711973749232 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "HKG", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 69423194.69424222, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.634103765707967, "cagr_3y_pct": -19.983595170399703 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "HKG", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 65821587.791867584, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.187901418592233, "cagr_3y_pct": -16.28468104576025 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "HKG", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 66540031.527977824, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.09150167933052, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.9796351216608516 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "HKG", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 76249768.38187233, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.592323795055439, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.175831585103306 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "HKG", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 78645673.64170152, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.142180377296455, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.113057288808221 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "HKG", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 101602503.45838813, "yoy_growth_pct": 29.190200495038866, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.152614315950919 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "HKG", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 140941269.8489998, "yoy_growth_pct": 38.718304226355094, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.725049825433597 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "HKG", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 227068182.96445313, "yoy_growth_pct": 61.10837032171421, "cagr_3y_pct": 42.394697058020995 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "HKG", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 244283754.0419733, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.5816747431388, "cagr_3y_pct": 33.96665864847037 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "HKG", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 132832832.9603443, "yoy_growth_pct": -45.62355016964382, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.9556846122488758 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "HKG", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 237499488.7416888, "yoy_growth_pct": 78.79577168439336, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.5084348469094566 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "HKG", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 221886625.76662982, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.5738511934398165, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.154633546205543 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "HKG", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 274724815.6110051, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.813147665757974, "cagr_3y_pct": 27.40823081863506 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "HKG", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 311118856.2056339, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.247452915269452, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.417776415443434 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "HKG", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 341506295.2591957, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.767147971731172, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.457600972781327 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "HKG", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 218331564.66461754, "yoy_growth_pct": -36.068070282889295, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.37258470615031 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "HKG", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 165805539.4674024, "yoy_growth_pct": -24.057916352086405, "cagr_3y_pct": -18.92426381937402 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "HKG", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 157369672.52554122, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.087807662493504, "cagr_3y_pct": -22.760264881474534 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "HKG", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 190178966.2111203, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.84854925287725, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.497372899098484 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "HKG", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 212433293.3408412, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.701781523523502, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.611175810956539 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "HKG", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 324291264.16569877, "yoy_growth_pct": 52.655574399717885, "cagr_3y_pct": 27.253988392374783 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "HKG", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 517257627.9379482, "yoy_growth_pct": 59.50402773528061, "cagr_3y_pct": 39.58801791777593 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "HKG", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 394854980.9451613, "yoy_growth_pct": -23.66376837800268, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.952778177897827 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "HKG", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 287143398.9355427, "yoy_growth_pct": -27.278769980763627, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.9742158354089563 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "HKG", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 248732944.5513347, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.37674991888993, "cagr_3y_pct": -21.655447825330988 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "HKG", "importer_iso3": "POL", "hs_code": "851712", "hs_description": "Telephones for cellular networks or for other wireless networks", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 5853995396.901201, "current_below_peak_pct": 80.74717576499752, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.116135765551192, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "HKG", "importer_iso3": "POL", "hs_code": "847180", "hs_description": "Data processing machines: automatic, units thereof n.e.s. in heading no. 8471", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1252293669.7809553, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1091932717130821, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "HKG", "importer_iso3": "POL", "hs_code": "853710", "hs_description": "Boards, panels, consoles, desks and other bases: for electric control or the distribution of electricity, (other than switching apparatus of heading no. 8517), for a voltage not exceeding 1000 volts", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1474565841.9316962, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.8746122955240887, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "HKG", "importer_iso3": "POL", "hs_code": "850440", "hs_description": "Electrical static converters", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1449736911.3291328, "current_below_peak_pct": 1.2669706874319213, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2921028872573466, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "HKG", "importer_iso3": "POL", "hs_code": "903210", "hs_description": "Regulating or controlling instruments and apparatus: automatic type, thermostats", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 134879346.85240626, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.8627260461368476, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "HKG", "importer_iso3": "POL", "hs_code": "847130", "hs_description": "Data processing machines: portable, digital and automatic, weighing not more than 10kg, consisting of at least a central processing unit, a keyboard and a display", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2172171192.805784, "current_below_peak_pct": 4.087814359052898, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3975870636836591, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "HKG", "importer_iso3": "POL", "hs_code": "851762", "hs_description": "Communication apparatus (excluding telephone sets or base stations): machines for the reception, conversion and transmission or regeneration of voice, images or other data, including switching and routing apparatus", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2241507359.289792, "current_below_peak_pct": 59.38519383295695, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8999764014722637, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "HKG", "importer_iso3": "POL", "hs_code": "852580", "hs_description": "Television cameras, digital cameras and video camera recorders", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 705330681.3190486, "current_below_peak_pct": 12.795379251993586, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.01720966076801, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "HKG", "importer_iso3": "POL", "hs_code": "851830", "hs_description": "Headphones and earphones, whether or not combined with a microphone, and sets consisting of a microphone and one or more loudspeakers", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 427505074.4641559, "current_below_peak_pct": 96.779467067205, "lane_volatility_cv": 3.5093796146171807, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "HKG", "importer_iso3": "POL", "hs_code": "847330", "hs_description": "Machines: parts and accessories of automatic data processing, magnetic or optical readers, digital processing units", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2295679116.8145776, "current_below_peak_pct": 47.93699422197486, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6405771122856855, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "HKG", "importer_iso3": "POL", "distance_km": 8290, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 1, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 674048.2663969999, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 17840.920578438512, "importer_population": 37781.025, "importer_biz_entry_days": 37, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 11.6, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 368139.247671, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 49660.63423817296, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 14.09669518989899, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 14.09669518989899, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HKG-POL/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HKG-POL/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HKG-POL/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HKG-POL/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HKG-POL/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }