{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:13.487Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Hong Kong exports to Guinea: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Hong Kong to Guinea, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "HKG",
    "country_name": "Hong Kong"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "GIN",
    "country_name": "Guinea"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "HKG",
    "importer_iso3": "GIN",
    "all_history_lane_count": 47,
    "current_lane_count": 7,
    "current_product_count": 7,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1995,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 37978988.901499994,
    "attention_trade_usd": 37482210.488,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 37912491.583,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 348291.64599999983,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 35214919.798499994,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 37978988.901499994,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 2,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 6,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 2,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 6,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 7,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.6840078557756852,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 25.691804443881004,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 8409.993944689426,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 91.41407496403569,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 99.239786068953,
    "top_product_hs6": "851712",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 34718141.385,
    "top_product_description": "Telephones for cellular networks or for other wireless networks",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "851712",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 13522.0517578125,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 15,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 15850.520384,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 1174,
    "buyer_population_latest": 13497.237,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 13.219127345977322,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 10.446275515189551,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.5105888069592686,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 22.078,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 2.53,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 98.69196514212527,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 15850.520384,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 1174,
    "buyer_population_2024": 13497.237
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "HKG",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 40322147.91887587,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "HKG",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 29451463.075347833,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -26.959587731781475,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "HKG",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 26378330.741668154,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -10.434565935883933,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "HKG",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 19991812.73089013,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -24.211228804898,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -20.852687594778885
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "HKG",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 21608777.913938902,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.088136902914943,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.806665384591383
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "HKG",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 20930983.723766077,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.136661373781846,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.420653634135621
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "HKG",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 14497955.061623797,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -30.734478355347917,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.156873225044427
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "HKG",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 15675300.072472276,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.120766037997473,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.147833661991468
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "HKG",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 16209076.259584658,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.4052055440377593,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.168951743430197
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "HKG",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 11139989.947159715,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -31.273135071022452,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.407618795100325
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "HKG",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 14159367.705304759,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 27.103954065190816,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.333498987626793
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "HKG",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 7340670.066672323,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -48.15679471391815,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -23.206261058985113
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "HKG",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 9236632.904571412,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 25.828198525186785,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.05443235398857
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "HKG",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 12938396.138582239,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 40.07697688384631,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.9611752848995976
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "HKG",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 8982561.500163918,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -30.574381832552177,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.960025600261233
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "HKG",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 12680036.037695501,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 41.16280793027811,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.139626960271132
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "HKG",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 10444902.83480111,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -17.627183363278597,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.887500108968503
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "HKG",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 9896274.768953264,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.252591379020643,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.281811962466308
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "HKG",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 12192833.820229236,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 23.206298378868496,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.2975221078982413
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "HKG",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 20796818.297765877,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 70.56591276805311,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 25.804882866996515
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "HKG",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 10528474.096444808,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -49.374592085675715,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.0856181048729994
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "HKG",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 12586382.901707964,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 19.546125928714186,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.0645302329272521
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "HKG",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 11956850.131451227,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.001697272147265,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -16.847885762580837
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "HKG",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 24840468.490082398,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 107.75093956176786,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 33.12658243271953
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "HKG",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 18366398.063999996,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -26.06259390263588,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.424711778512432
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "HKG",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 18551348.073999994,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.0070020771384636,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 15.76738660962933
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "HKG",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 52658424.85799998,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 183.8522820441367,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 28.460426802793304
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "HKG",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 31978723.172488835,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -39.271401948076765,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.303716000023584
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "HKG",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 46510792.941749975,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 45.44293307421048,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 35.849931324059135
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "HKG",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 39100596.25450001,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -15.932208888656197,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.446514384166626
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HKG",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "hs_code": "851712",
      "hs_description": "Telephones for cellular networks or for other wireless networks",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 106112801.7001956,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 26.98438262781301,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5881662592929593,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HKG",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "hs_code": "847130",
      "hs_description": "Data processing machines: portable, digital and automatic, weighing not more than 10kg, consisting of at least a central processing unit, a keyboard and a display",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10421338.82534125,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.982523624727147,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HKG",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "hs_code": "851762",
      "hs_description": "Communication apparatus (excluding telephone sets or base stations): machines for the reception, conversion and transmission or regeneration of voice, images or other data, including switching and routing apparatus",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 27411172.442186885,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 96.98070833180303,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2658654040976196,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HKG",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "hs_code": "851770",
      "hs_description": "Telephone sets and other apparatus for the transmission or reception of voice, images or other data, via a wired or wireless network: parts",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 21358637.406465087,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 96.34190095359621,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.408303650020161,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HKG",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "hs_code": "999999",
      "hs_description": "Commodities not specified according to kind",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 29429566.788004793,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 46.90464768906895,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.38591609525950354,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HKG",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "hs_code": "870899",
      "hs_description": "Vehicle parts and accessories: n.e.c. in heading no. 8708",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 38693450.51246589,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 24.629026499303595,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.042878886406544,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HKG",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "hs_code": "841510",
      "hs_description": "Air conditioning machines: comprising a motor-driven fan and elements for changing the temperature and humidity, window or wall types, self-contained or split-system",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 19083306.365585797,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 27.40880594943794,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1469648162583168,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "HKG",
    "importer_iso3": "GIN",
    "distance_km": 13335,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 15850.520384,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1174.3529719452952,
    "importer_population": 13497.237,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 15,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 33.8,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 368139.247671,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 49660.63423817296,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HKG-GIN/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HKG-GIN/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HKG-GIN/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HKG-GIN/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HKG-GIN/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}