{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:15.810Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Hong Kong exports to Bahrain: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Hong Kong to Bahrain, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "HKG",
    "country_name": "Hong Kong"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "BHR",
    "country_name": "Bahrain"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "HKG",
    "importer_iso3": "BHR",
    "all_history_lane_count": 43,
    "current_lane_count": 24,
    "current_product_count": 24,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1995,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 15223650.346572947,
    "attention_trade_usd": 1094149.5151872742,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 3802390.8939400106,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 2274910.303096684,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 1932620.5246485465,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 1,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 15,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 14,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 9,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.0878048521948878,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 32.967505611805294,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 4884.8191917797,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 69.05631055772837,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 81.99514854313279,
    "top_product_hs6": "711319",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 10512891.261552105,
    "top_product_description": "Jewellery: of precious metal (excluding silver) whether or not plated or clad with precious metal, and parts thereof",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "851762",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
    "distance_km": 6397.5927734375,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 7.248370053939395,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 7.248370053939395,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 8.3,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 38868.663032,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 22232,
    "buyer_population_latest": 1748.295,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.09682223752612,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 1.6976782015584613,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.3757875899532923,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 27.208000000000006,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 45.017999999999994,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 7.1871692417947735,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Watch",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 38868.663032,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 22232,
    "buyer_population_2024": 1748.295
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "HKG",
      "importer_iso3": "BHR",
      "export_value_usd": 63654216.272579804,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "HKG",
      "importer_iso3": "BHR",
      "export_value_usd": 54229056.33616653,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -14.806811690293841,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "HKG",
      "importer_iso3": "BHR",
      "export_value_usd": 37344792.29545083,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -31.13508731564488,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "HKG",
      "importer_iso3": "BHR",
      "export_value_usd": 45815573.195487246,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 22.682629569928793,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.381985808128213
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "HKG",
      "importer_iso3": "BHR",
      "export_value_usd": 44340384.037552185,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.219842195667133,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.490485739231023
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "HKG",
      "importer_iso3": "BHR",
      "export_value_usd": 133873512.3290926,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 201.92231130816137,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 53.04584250890538
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "HKG",
      "importer_iso3": "BHR",
      "export_value_usd": 108919616.89962086,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -18.639904933643038,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 33.4640584311289
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "HKG",
      "importer_iso3": "BHR",
      "export_value_usd": 83627731.03308253,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -23.220689336290135,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.552144489131834
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "HKG",
      "importer_iso3": "BHR",
      "export_value_usd": 57817669.06196805,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -30.863042261548635,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -24.411573117081296
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "HKG",
      "importer_iso3": "BHR",
      "export_value_usd": 57730154.36776306,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.15136323484642444,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -19.0719881576359
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "HKG",
      "importer_iso3": "BHR",
      "export_value_usd": 47185996.18967256,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -18.264559126102796,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -17.366857039608853
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "HKG",
      "importer_iso3": "BHR",
      "export_value_usd": 69008827.37022987,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 46.24853334204608,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.075402800712548
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "HKG",
      "importer_iso3": "BHR",
      "export_value_usd": 111035511.71377277,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 60.90044700813601,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 24.361626426318807
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "HKG",
      "importer_iso3": "BHR",
      "export_value_usd": 144096613.8953783,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 29.7752508826459,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 45.08200509098488
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "HKG",
      "importer_iso3": "BHR",
      "export_value_usd": 113455582.74968375,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -21.264227046959995,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.024927149710557
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "HKG",
      "importer_iso3": "BHR",
      "export_value_usd": 110292913.57408118,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.7875835626179346,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.22342996071335053
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "HKG",
      "importer_iso3": "BHR",
      "export_value_usd": 38432920.50590879,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -65.15377166086533,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -35.63004521995982
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "HKG",
      "importer_iso3": "BHR",
      "export_value_usd": 72751552.4572494,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 89.2948844365454,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -13.767270788834029
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "HKG",
      "importer_iso3": "BHR",
      "export_value_usd": 40081937.472909674,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -44.905728992569884,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -28.63799686006937
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "HKG",
      "importer_iso3": "BHR",
      "export_value_usd": 38241032.31952395,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.592854710753292,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.16670467769510644
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "HKG",
      "importer_iso3": "BHR",
      "export_value_usd": 36345579.31422993,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.9565947630715534,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -20.65191618085429
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "HKG",
      "importer_iso3": "BHR",
      "export_value_usd": 59040933.381053016,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 62.44323104773697,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.780586867867829
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "HKG",
      "importer_iso3": "BHR",
      "export_value_usd": 26958829.72782707,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -54.33874740117422,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.999903805010025
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "HKG",
      "importer_iso3": "BHR",
      "export_value_usd": 36119838.583804846,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 33.9814782335367,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.2074619152595325
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "HKG",
      "importer_iso3": "BHR",
      "export_value_usd": 27096468.06387347,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -24.981757598377563,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -22.864702830379613
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "HKG",
      "importer_iso3": "BHR",
      "export_value_usd": 15386494.646258445,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -43.21586632623687,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -17.050669561185693
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "HKG",
      "importer_iso3": "BHR",
      "export_value_usd": 17750241.125498462,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 15.362475557841314,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -21.086225089993206
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "HKG",
      "importer_iso3": "BHR",
      "export_value_usd": 39321505.97349529,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 121.52660178238035,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.215481762386405
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "HKG",
      "importer_iso3": "BHR",
      "export_value_usd": 29800511.637303736,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -24.21319860589569,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 24.650687106899127
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "HKG",
      "importer_iso3": "BHR",
      "export_value_usd": 24248285.809443295,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -18.63131041317514,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.958078788425851
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HKG",
      "importer_iso3": "BHR",
      "hs_code": "711319",
      "hs_description": "Jewellery: of precious metal (excluding silver) whether or not plated or clad with precious metal, and parts thereof",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 405518552.08923054,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 25.410616577929503,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9998566578591699,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HKG",
      "importer_iso3": "BHR",
      "hs_code": "851762",
      "hs_description": "Communication apparatus (excluding telephone sets or base stations): machines for the reception, conversion and transmission or regeneration of voice, images or other data, including switching and routing apparatus",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 51672636.37049016,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 91.05306123130987,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.128352705728059,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HKG",
      "importer_iso3": "BHR",
      "hs_code": "880330",
      "hs_description": "Aircraft and spacecraft: parts of aeroplanes or helicopters n.e.c. in heading no. 8803",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 430563088.27508926,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7050195708814566,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HKG",
      "importer_iso3": "BHR",
      "hs_code": "760120",
      "hs_description": "Aluminium: unwrought, alloys",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 25829573.580317836,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 52.695929503219844,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8297923222489638,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HKG",
      "importer_iso3": "BHR",
      "hs_code": "810411",
      "hs_description": "Magnesium: unwrought, containing at least 99.8% by weight of magnesium",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 32122799.956216164,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 49.51779039287864,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1775584961689618,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HKG",
      "importer_iso3": "BHR",
      "hs_code": "382200",
      "hs_description": "Reagents: diagnostic or laboratory reagents on a backing and prepared diagnostic or laboratory reagents whether or not on a backing, other than those of heading no. 3002 or 3006: certified reference material",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 58471407.9122216,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 21.27487388988362,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6677624935567374,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HKG",
      "importer_iso3": "BHR",
      "hs_code": "220300",
      "hs_description": "Beer: made from malt",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 26719072.40549177,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 38.54449338336338,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1919234738374316,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HKG",
      "importer_iso3": "BHR",
      "hs_code": "847150",
      "hs_description": "Digital processing units: other than those of subheadings 8471.41 or 8471.49, whether or not containing in the same housing one or two of the following types of unit: storage units, input units or output units",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 53304067.036474,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 37.67567286718852,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4265324390011176,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HKG",
      "importer_iso3": "BHR",
      "hs_code": "710239",
      "hs_description": "Diamonds: non-industrial, (other than unworked or simply sawn, cleaved or bruted), but not mounted or set",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15306586.726554576,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 96.64987125840429,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.109432486143066,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "HKG",
      "importer_iso3": "BHR",
      "hs_code": "853710",
      "hs_description": "Boards, panels, consoles, desks and other bases: for electric control or the distribution of electricity, (other than switching apparatus of heading no. 8517), for a voltage not exceeding 1000 volts",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 27668728.989969715,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7579819250520254,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "HKG",
    "importer_iso3": "BHR",
    "distance_km": 6410,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 38868.663032000004,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 22232.325226577894,
    "importer_population": 1748.295,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 8.3,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 368139.247671,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 49660.63423817296,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 7.248370053939395,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 7.248370053939395,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HKG-BHR/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HKG-BHR/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HKG-BHR/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HKG-BHR/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/HKG-BHR/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}