{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:18.605Z", "seo": { "title": "Guatemala exports to Romania: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Guatemala to Romania, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "GTM", "country_name": "Guatemala" }, "importer": { "iso3": "ROU", "country_name": "Romania" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "all_history_lane_count": 20, "current_lane_count": 4, "current_product_count": 4, "first_observed_last_year": 1997, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 4702182.5839653425, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 0, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 703888.9159476034, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 57837.38407974045, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 0, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.8699034133034801, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 15.768988397873802, "product_concentration_hhi": 5187.291058172979, "top1_product_share_pct": 68.83007215136917, "top3_product_share_pct": 98.76998855218918, "top_product_hs6": "220840", "top_product_trade_usd": 3236515.66523246, "top_product_description": "Rum and other spirits obtained by distilling fermented sugar-cane products", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": null, "shares_land_border": null, "shares_official_language": null, "common_spoken_language_score": null, "has_reported_fta": null, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 17.576118725252524, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 17.576118725252524, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": null, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": null, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": null, "buyer_population_latest": null, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 8.87418786627483, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 9.237316107837202, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.33242142383276274, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": null, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": null, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": null, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": null, "buyer_population_2024": null }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "export_value_usd": 84946.39361499996, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "export_value_usd": 26138.86434664262, "yoy_growth_pct": -69.22898873716639, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "export_value_usd": 162019.53527353925, "yoy_growth_pct": 519.8415245777488, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "export_value_usd": 23972.569132532964, "yoy_growth_pct": -85.20390205288527, "cagr_3y_pct": -34.40714345547734 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "export_value_usd": 57269.075197928265, "yoy_growth_pct": 138.89419144570908, "cagr_3y_pct": 29.8806594551283 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "export_value_usd": 567688.875518578, "yoy_growth_pct": 891.2660079747793, "cagr_3y_pct": 51.88480708228398 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "export_value_usd": 182974.91017500838, "yoy_growth_pct": -67.7684523925429, "cagr_3y_pct": 96.89090459402401 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "export_value_usd": 200426.43746880966, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.537661353192938, "cagr_3y_pct": 51.82557888206058 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "export_value_usd": 319450.05168869084, "yoy_growth_pct": 59.385186766293565, "cagr_3y_pct": -17.441043900261455 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "export_value_usd": 473605.31752308493, "yoy_growth_pct": 48.25645355807324, "cagr_3y_pct": 37.30141376040099 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "export_value_usd": 969811.3147238707, "yoy_growth_pct": 104.77204939249849, "cagr_3y_pct": 69.13912512944526 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "export_value_usd": 1223976.5542225947, "yoy_growth_pct": 26.207699955644582, "cagr_3y_pct": 56.47923419360807 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "export_value_usd": 5587057.619390643, "yoy_growth_pct": 356.4676994927609, "cagr_3y_pct": 127.64364286849661 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "export_value_usd": 948534.4142214841, "yoy_growth_pct": -83.02264843431243, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.736721476874691 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "export_value_usd": 1878345.6838410606, "yoy_growth_pct": 98.02609749090921, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.34554024362178 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "export_value_usd": 1649344.9371682892, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.191618861363363, "cagr_3y_pct": -33.415044503905555 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "export_value_usd": 1775556.20251058, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.652205581628002, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.24248419954591 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "export_value_usd": 1073533.8988592732, "yoy_growth_pct": -39.53816289558559, "cagr_3y_pct": -17.012360096755806 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "export_value_usd": 436267.03656704817, "yoy_growth_pct": -59.36159658948624, "cagr_3y_pct": -35.808089318542066 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "export_value_usd": 553327.0290268188, "yoy_growth_pct": 26.832188235193467, "cagr_3y_pct": -32.20216581231217 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "export_value_usd": 1338876.949320779, "yoy_growth_pct": 141.96847055810204, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.640316810325398 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "export_value_usd": 3007782.3126832685, "yoy_growth_pct": 124.64964492884398, "cagr_3y_pct": 90.32594746100922 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "export_value_usd": 3060560.717758661, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.7547282212823756, "cagr_3y_pct": 76.85053237675903 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "export_value_usd": 3397883.924691393, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.021614600731189, "cagr_3y_pct": 36.40259250991096 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "export_value_usd": 1610499.3809429032, "yoy_growth_pct": -52.60287235711931, "cagr_3y_pct": -18.797128504831395 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "export_value_usd": 3122326.258870397, "yoy_growth_pct": 93.87317348997432, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.6682287356478023 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "export_value_usd": 2890966.057131927, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.409866316218094, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.2429602748666815 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "export_value_usd": 2093861.303325603, "yoy_growth_pct": -27.57226262964556, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.142973824104939 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "export_value_usd": 3552097.0020683827, "yoy_growth_pct": 69.64337592116141, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.3923911084095435 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "export_value_usd": 5021294.348745515, "yoy_growth_pct": 41.361408368679676, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.205469562388934 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "hs_code": "220840", "hs_description": "Rum and other spirits obtained by distilling fermented sugar-cane products", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 22281081.194991235, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9953510879045859, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "hs_code": "340220", "hs_description": "Washing and cleaning preparations: surface-active, whether or not containing soap (excluding those of heading no. 3401), put up for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 327529910.5387213, "current_below_peak_pct": 49.55525360432684, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.3237072790798047, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "hs_code": "090111", "hs_description": "Coffee: not roasted or decaffeinated", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 82990900.07097864, "current_below_peak_pct": 55.78253306636364, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8452096895375523, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "hs_code": "120991", "hs_description": "Seed: vegetable seed, of a kind used for sowing", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 29595497.68949358, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.798287434000949, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "distance_km": 10873, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": 2, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 1, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 284087.56369599997, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 14861.90839631, "importer_population": 19115.147, "importer_biz_entry_days": 20, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.3, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 85986.321551, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 5025.575278874668, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 17.576118725252524, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 17.576118725252524, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GTM-ROU/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GTM-ROU/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GTM-ROU/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GTM-ROU/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GTM-ROU/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }