{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:18.586Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Guatemala exports to Paraguay: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Guatemala to Paraguay, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "GTM",
    "country_name": "Guatemala"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "PRY",
    "country_name": "Paraguay"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
    "importer_iso3": "PRY",
    "all_history_lane_count": 11,
    "current_lane_count": 5,
    "current_product_count": 5,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2003,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 1735314.1366531663,
    "attention_trade_usd": 1165895.3486992836,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 1188899.8357380617,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 167032.21929389433,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 1712309.6496143881,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 1,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 2,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 2,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 4,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.967395460017424,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 22.501227109015723,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 4856.684251559952,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 67.18641449829373,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 90.37452552446538,
    "top_product_hs6": "380891",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 1165895.3486992836,
    "top_product_description": "Insecticides: not containing substances of 3808.50: put up in forms or packings for retail sale or as preparations or articles",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "380891",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 5691.87939453125,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.6019999980926514,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 14.752774503434345,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 14.752774503434345,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 35,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 38986.810989,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 5400,
    "buyer_population_latest": 7219.641,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.2296186225791113,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 1.9651940186437677,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.240055114987726,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 21.45,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 24.94,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 67.18641449829373,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 38986.810989,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 5400,
    "buyer_population_2024": 7219.641
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 59934.886506173054,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 22092.185606654406,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -63.13968892828553,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 30369.661055623408,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 37.46788840338069,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 26960.502659676833,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.22553982312331,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -23.378714749460805
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 557144.5707580621,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1966.5214509941202,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 193.25341155395708
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 269400.73533382814,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -51.646170585979846,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 107.0075938079667
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 41559.083735264365,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -84.57350768409508,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 15.517024289650783
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 16909.359761128897,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -59.31248179376798,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -68.80729146789552
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 48171.36690333748,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 184.8798983748246,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -43.66260896959706
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 36707.133432943796,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -23.798854397049308,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.053713863132657
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 123874.10667555017,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 237.466032050261,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 94.21575484717468
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 20052.538452639557,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -83.81216301711788,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -25.33332777397347
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 16330.4907951685,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -18.561478718825832,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -23.660451175230357
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 310602.0874066735,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1801.976439670555,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 35.8546823989385
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 289949.5921171435,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -6.649181099188672,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 143.62267909410664
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 281930.88783566427,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.7655511507805763,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 158.45273992864804
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 682759.564856014,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 142.17267220964814,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 30.023287031490508
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 830716.92601732,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 21.670492626860316,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 42.028942161848335
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 1218506.8171311643,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 46.68135185026421,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 62.890254341638816
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 867121.8226650237,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -28.83734333907434,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.293928289522956
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 893407.063343955,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.0313203971900737,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.4547522428603585
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 1662220.936053013,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 86.05415204928488,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.905630446525283
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 1130188.2453831872,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -32.00733904442037,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.23376174876922
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 1524611.5807888124,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 34.89890617928848,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.50056102601716
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 1153799.4238097593,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -24.32174605332593,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.45843583668289
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 1223824.1182552034,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6.069052644716,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.6887200174603887
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 1628279.570490179,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 33.04849497586342,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.217028870007609
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 2598739.739403797,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 59.600340537434214,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 31.082331274933917
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 2638315.081514932,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.522866700003389,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 29.182162634609867
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 2593815.8140310943,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.6866547818953581,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.78938906024927
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "hs_code": "380891",
      "hs_description": "Insecticides: not containing substances of 3808.50: put up in forms or packings for retail sale or as preparations or articles",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 98217422.47091028,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 25.892297093334992,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0999899927001007,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "hs_code": "392350",
      "hs_description": "Plastics: stoppers, lids, caps and other closures, for the conveyance or packing of goods",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13744441.714971123,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.33151916784634444,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "hs_code": "310590",
      "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: n.e.s. in heading no. 3105",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16168543.430752661,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.920457058049239,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "hs_code": "382499",
      "hs_description": "Chemical products, mixtures and preparations: n.e.c. heading 3824",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 86009153.77764367,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 50.86039321933096,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9047758992200825,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "hs_code": "610910",
      "hs_description": "T-shirts, singlets and other vests: of cotton, knitted or crocheted",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12406466.690190347,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 66.66880450279895,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.171496360164302,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
    "importer_iso3": "PRY",
    "distance_km": 5677,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 1,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 38986.810989,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 5400.103826353693,
    "importer_population": 7219.641,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 35,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 52.2,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 85986.321551,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 5025.575278874668,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 14.752774503434345,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 14.752774503434345,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GTM-PRY/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GTM-PRY/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GTM-PRY/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GTM-PRY/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GTM-PRY/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}