{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:20.869Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Guatemala exports to Lebanon: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Guatemala to Lebanon, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "GTM",
    "country_name": "Guatemala"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "LBN",
    "country_name": "Lebanon"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
    "importer_iso3": "LBN",
    "all_history_lane_count": 5,
    "current_lane_count": 2,
    "current_product_count": 2,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2019,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 325435.2063660502,
    "attention_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 260530.61153614655,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 325435.2063660502,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 325435.2063660502,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 325435.2063660502,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 325435.2063660502,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 1,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 2,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 2,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 2,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.7175335851285745,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 65.82977500353037,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 6806.733761283509,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 80.05606229434845,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top_product_hs6": "090111",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 260530.61153614655,
    "top_product_description": "Coffee: not roasted or decaffeinated",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "",
    "distance_km": 12172.5732421875,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 9.063669905454544,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.063669905454544,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 15,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 18076.62484,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 2670,
    "buyer_population_latest": 6769.151,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": -17.20448672321533,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -17.144054688959663,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.03920581721326144,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23.9,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": -1.5939999999999999,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer economy and income contracted",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction",
      "buyer_macro_weakness"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Stable",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 18076.62484,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 2670,
    "buyer_population_2024": 6769.151
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 971551.1289721498,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 822686.4179716293,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -15.322375381109543,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 709363.2171324893,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -13.774774733554429,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 626713.2066747887,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.65129632627454,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -13.595891162553642
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 599627.2627782049,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.32190411947696,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.005559563411026
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 466199.9328454007,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -22.25171172414777,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -13.05702157251507
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 1047771.5041316921,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 124.74724475757269,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.68593225048174
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 1436574.4927747282,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 37.10761240498179,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 33.8080556992032
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 768285.7709478748,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -46.51960098052841,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.118211137611983
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 816496.9719727207,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6.275165159620899,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.97708240012992
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 504268.20096577186,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -38.24004028485001,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -29.458534618881227
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 497617.4964963817,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.3188823837499086,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -13.47845140039815
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 584970.8710738042,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 17.554321379866856,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.519880776884726
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 747165.9432026468,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 27.727033968564708,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.003581485014216
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 739500.033529419,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.025998272936357,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.116257071601112
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 1245585.0974747278,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 68.43611102083548,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 28.650966814358746
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 5169195.975707047,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 315.00143074824535,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 90.54693899708322
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 2431343.217519572,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -52.96476997688193,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 48.69716571095406
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 8985129.046135968,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 269.55412059439686,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 93.21921133510635
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 5890356.980103268,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -34.443267872302826,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.449461681961386
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 2371514.728463635,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -59.73903217624583,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.8270606154420657
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 1770724.5106068037,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -25.333606856662783,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -41.80635505259688
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 4629720.2655646885,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 161.45909416356048,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.713598533951571
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 3550141.5597666763,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -23.31844353162741,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.394887306856162
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 3714044.8116727876,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.616808911610937,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 28.006506994704637
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 5005614.89927134,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 34.77529628989144,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.6362780260481777
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 3209667.419385001,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -35.878658586935494,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.304828561397599
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 4231698.043110421,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 31.842259342908786,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.445366235224424
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 3078378.2547772643,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -27.254302565629974,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -14.96033983893037
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 3674125.90652818,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 19.352646180708575,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.607944140856324
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "hs_code": "090111",
      "hs_description": "Coffee: not roasted or decaffeinated",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 97194759.92513348,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 67.3382777216203,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.000456068875563,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "hs_code": "120991",
      "hs_description": "Seed: vegetable seed, of a kind used for sowing",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15979895.472816259,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 59.77456216878608,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5818671827559666,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
    "importer_iso3": "LBN",
    "distance_km": 12177,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 0,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 18076.62484,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2670.4419564580553,
    "importer_population": 6769.151,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 15,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 42.3,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 85986.321551,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 5025.575278874668,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 9.063669905454544,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.063669905454544,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GTM-LBN/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GTM-LBN/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GTM-LBN/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GTM-LBN/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GTM-LBN/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}