{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:13.189Z", "seo": { "title": "Guatemala exports to Kuwait: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Guatemala to Kuwait, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "GTM", "country_name": "Guatemala" }, "importer": { "iso3": "KWT", "country_name": "Kuwait" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "KWT", "all_history_lane_count": 10, "current_lane_count": 7, "current_product_count": 7, "first_observed_last_year": 2012, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 15987336.914411744, "attention_trade_usd": 15075782.179915361, "critical_trade_usd": 11756765.149446053, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 830349.429764842, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 11756765.149446053, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 15453392.59327618, "access_friction_trade_usd": 15987336.914411744, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 1, "high_attention_lane_count": 1, "high_volatility_lane_count": 4, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 3, "access_friction_lane_count": 7, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.7681810310929635, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 39.04545586911802, "product_concentration_hhi": 5851.043511230672, "top1_product_share_pct": 73.53798329506616, "top3_product_share_pct": 96.81334096632516, "top_product_hs6": "090831", "top_product_trade_usd": 11756765.149446053, "top_product_description": "Spices: cardamoms, neither crushed nor ground", "top_attention_product_hs6": "090831", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": 13416.072265625, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 4.070672613737371, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.070672613737371, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 19.4, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 105960.22568799999, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 24812, "buyer_population_latest": 4328.553, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 2.6105403309166553, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 0.6290050431921435, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.9691492396988197, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 19.944, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 59.312, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 94.29827031621092, "critical_trade_share_pct": 73.53798329506616, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction" ], "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 105960.22568799999, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 24812, "buyer_population_2024": 4328.553 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "KWT", "export_value_usd": 3947674.855518147, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "KWT", "export_value_usd": 3679622.1954808217, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.790140268584565, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "KWT", "export_value_usd": 2922943.150300279, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.564041767925755, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "KWT", "export_value_usd": 3054506.143143974, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.5010452163662285, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.194956126247554 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "KWT", "export_value_usd": 3142794.0271895, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.890414355318738, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.120825723747702 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "KWT", "export_value_usd": 5080587.030907873, "yoy_growth_pct": 61.658288355959456, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.23507414717567 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "KWT", "export_value_usd": 4594535.862820961, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.56683086285125, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.57773012644168 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "KWT", "export_value_usd": 3728769.2420697706, "yoy_growth_pct": -18.843396734738405, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.864381075913938 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "KWT", "export_value_usd": 3304454.0905352007, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.379496128299982, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.357972007520225 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "KWT", "export_value_usd": 3071468.0335148172, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.0506670886339435, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.561751144809463 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "KWT", "export_value_usd": 4861826.812566935, "yoy_growth_pct": 58.29000202887773, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.247454263813637 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "KWT", "export_value_usd": 2483787.229357519, "yoy_growth_pct": -48.91247004238443, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.077460807227444 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "KWT", "export_value_usd": 4282490.346449062, "yoy_growth_pct": 72.41776170806762, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.716365347395975 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "KWT", "export_value_usd": 8568145.634202769, "yoy_growth_pct": 100.07390422507942, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.789481889549457 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "KWT", "export_value_usd": 5350841.374259779, "yoy_growth_pct": -37.549598212943394, "cagr_3y_pct": 29.15242417488937 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "KWT", "export_value_usd": 11289081.906602029, "yoy_growth_pct": 110.97769709466915, "cagr_3y_pct": 38.14041099666494 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "KWT", "export_value_usd": 11116716.093232322, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.5268364141188817, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.067801299548627 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "KWT", "export_value_usd": 11049731.741117664, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.6025552110252907, "cagr_3y_pct": 27.343432720302996 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "KWT", "export_value_usd": 7692158.856980921, "yoy_growth_pct": -30.386012645381467, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.003944113006638 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "KWT", "export_value_usd": 7977919.749065654, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.714963476415911, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.469491809024811 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "KWT", "export_value_usd": 8977954.308287892, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.535029063677383, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.6870573161050935 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "KWT", "export_value_usd": 7428221.988471352, "yoy_growth_pct": -17.26153048457736, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.1570853874094955 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "KWT", "export_value_usd": 11450412.859089397, "yoy_growth_pct": 54.147424200037534, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.800362211965277 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "KWT", "export_value_usd": 13245637.327791398, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.67825100102782, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.840944325880766 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "KWT", "export_value_usd": 17397990.804346494, "yoy_growth_pct": 31.348838668886202, "cagr_3y_pct": 32.80203836150078 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "KWT", "export_value_usd": 25362972.84140821, "yoy_growth_pct": 45.78104521742732, "cagr_3y_pct": 30.354592668537684 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "KWT", "export_value_usd": 12146279.689801408, "yoy_growth_pct": -52.11018926783262, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.8468679926138996 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "KWT", "export_value_usd": 10935101.772432467, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.971595816173274, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.340688875383156 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "KWT", "export_value_usd": 9571300.360561382, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.471776122918632, "cagr_3y_pct": -27.735733942825725 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "KWT", "export_value_usd": 16409127.129452767, "yoy_growth_pct": 71.44093813069227, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.547111875976523 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "KWT", "hs_code": "090831", "hs_description": "Spices: cardamoms, neither crushed nor ground", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 26606406.566644568, "current_below_peak_pct": 52.782081669749715, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6790476999450981, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "KWT", "hs_code": "080390", "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: bananas, other than plantains, fresh or dried", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 44829851.96561066, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9410570253014741, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "KWT", "hs_code": "190410", "hs_description": "Food preparations: obtained by the swelling or roasting of cereals or cereal products", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 23132105.812750913, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3371344889659151, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "KWT", "hs_code": "090111", "hs_description": "Coffee: not roasted or decaffeinated", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 50353854.64958192, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2830797850897342, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "KWT", "hs_code": "611020", "hs_description": "Jerseys, pullovers, cardigans, waistcoats and similar articles: of cotton, knitted or crocheted", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 36404635.75616144, "current_below_peak_pct": 29.81618892210274, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9844840156771186, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "KWT", "hs_code": "620342", "hs_description": "Trousers, bib and brace overalls, breeches and shorts: men's or boys', of cotton (not knitted or crocheted)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 24885281.19290166, "current_below_peak_pct": 36.72368215193501, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1143050185175452, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "KWT", "hs_code": "630790", "hs_description": "Textiles: made up articles (including dress patterns), n.e.c. in chapter 63, n.e.c. in heading no. 6307", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15536950.159725914, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.0924394444840133, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "KWT", "distance_km": 13419, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 105960.22568799999, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 24479.36427900964, "importer_population": 4328.553, "importer_biz_entry_days": 19.4, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1.7, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 85986.321551, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 5025.575278874668, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 4.070672613737371, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.070672613737371, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GTM-KWT/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GTM-KWT/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GTM-KWT/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GTM-KWT/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GTM-KWT/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }