{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:13.182Z", "seo": { "title": "Guatemala exports to South Korea: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Guatemala to South Korea, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "GTM", "country_name": "Guatemala" }, "importer": { "iso3": "KOR", "country_name": "South Korea" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "KOR", "all_history_lane_count": 51, "current_lane_count": 27, "current_product_count": 27, "first_observed_last_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 108969528.87273133, "attention_trade_usd": 93835731.16643032, "critical_trade_usd": 17154034.07151534, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 59119144.072662435, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 28899242.754111595, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 38425062.395847335, "access_friction_trade_usd": 108969528.87273133, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 1, "high_attention_lane_count": 9, "high_volatility_lane_count": 16, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 8, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 14, "access_friction_lane_count": 27, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.989985616439151, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 36.18013794746843, "product_concentration_hhi": 2044.4532499549869, "top1_product_share_pct": 38.987856969032855, "top3_product_share_pct": 64.79631635102014, "top_product_hs6": "090111", "top_product_trade_usd": 42484884.05672945, "top_product_description": "Coffee: not roasted or decaffeinated", "top_attention_product_hs6": "090111", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 13029.6923828125, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 14.599928046464647, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 14.600262464040407, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 57.65067594424242, "tariff_advantage_pp": -43.050413480202025, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 8, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 1798533.915091, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 34758, "buyer_population_latest": 51744.877, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 1.3815058218118237, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 1.3868953035443221, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.00531575773807802, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 32.412, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 34.20399999999999, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 86.11189947973786, "critical_trade_share_pct": 15.742046651913155, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 1798533.915091, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 34758, "buyer_population_2024": 51744.877 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "KOR", "export_value_usd": 2533046.186045872, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "KOR", "export_value_usd": 4863422.803218958, "yoy_growth_pct": 91.99897854254459, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "KOR", "export_value_usd": 7940327.716035, "yoy_growth_pct": 63.266243493770034, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "KOR", "export_value_usd": 55667808.51002035, "yoy_growth_pct": 601.0769643374122, "cagr_3y_pct": 180.10466298246567 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "KOR", "export_value_usd": 41094672.68828305, "yoy_growth_pct": -26.178748924729277, "cagr_3y_pct": 103.67974050010278 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "KOR", "export_value_usd": 25121393.284036536, "yoy_growth_pct": -38.869464967902836, "cagr_3y_pct": 46.80305670859788 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "KOR", "export_value_usd": 112950205.62790619, "yoy_growth_pct": 349.61760022952524, "cagr_3y_pct": 26.59822999977919 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "KOR", "export_value_usd": 90051238.95954046, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.273505958725025, "cagr_3y_pct": 29.887708673861766 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "KOR", "export_value_usd": 59540790.756041564, "yoy_growth_pct": -33.88120869409368, "cagr_3y_pct": 33.32869403815464 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "KOR", "export_value_usd": 43534222.29984833, "yoy_growth_pct": -26.88336559347603, "cagr_3y_pct": -27.22516073638547 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "KOR", "export_value_usd": 35703173.10489509, "yoy_growth_pct": -17.988260226668896, "cagr_3y_pct": -26.53637162268727 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "KOR", "export_value_usd": 71157792.0513693, "yoy_growth_pct": 99.30383174153556, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.121314761988006 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "KOR", "export_value_usd": 73229892.64533332, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.9119798889602366, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.928480183258678 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "KOR", "export_value_usd": 37991962.54808091, "yoy_growth_pct": -48.11959819184304, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.092766150970804 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "KOR", "export_value_usd": 76348007.782375, "yoy_growth_pct": 100.95831502716504, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.3744893266133493 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "KOR", "export_value_usd": 93836707.31205425, "yoy_growth_pct": 22.906556487406515, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.616245740395945 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "KOR", "export_value_usd": 158381574.01149437, "yoy_growth_pct": 68.78424078201719, "cagr_3y_pct": 60.942586073219275 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "KOR", "export_value_usd": 85604513.75647956, "yoy_growth_pct": -45.950459015979405, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.8882231905450926 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "KOR", "export_value_usd": 152108175.48020938, "yoy_growth_pct": 77.68709709970875, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.46989997667483 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "KOR", "export_value_usd": 290700174.3708627, "yoy_growth_pct": 91.1141024820756, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.437244159628356 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "KOR", "export_value_usd": 128012669.6871284, "yoy_growth_pct": -55.96402032982086, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.35419386133825 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "KOR", "export_value_usd": 126389433.04726495, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.2680281130225235, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.987398720191617 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "KOR", "export_value_usd": 100777734.42905317, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.264113858817577, "cagr_3y_pct": -29.751061503101383 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "KOR", "export_value_usd": 68610474.47977114, "yoy_growth_pct": -31.91901478190856, "cagr_3y_pct": -18.770741406944 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "KOR", "export_value_usd": 47761086.28112525, "yoy_growth_pct": -30.388054239142516, "cagr_3y_pct": -27.702855673898775 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "KOR", "export_value_usd": 83715470.58120173, "yoy_growth_pct": 75.27966195836993, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.995846278872852 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "KOR", "export_value_usd": 111348944.84182411, "yoy_growth_pct": 33.00880239790167, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.51642226344845 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "KOR", "export_value_usd": 133210534.20033553, "yoy_growth_pct": 19.63340504893578, "cagr_3y_pct": 40.76287377451819 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "KOR", "export_value_usd": 93028215.92345712, "yoy_growth_pct": -30.16452003446527, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.57850932255781 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "KOR", "export_value_usd": 111929500.84207483, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.317797918611635, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.17349361727752033 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "KOR", "hs_code": "090111", "hs_description": "Coffee: not roasted or decaffeinated", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 754213146.0506536, "current_below_peak_pct": 30.40987211349823, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1776424786024005, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "KOR", "hs_code": "170114", "hs_description": "Sugars: cane sugar, raw, in solid form, other than as specified in Subheading Note 2 to this chapter, not containing added flavouring or colouring matter", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 670796173.2567952, "current_below_peak_pct": 88.27532619558974, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7886840596023476, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "KOR", "hs_code": "854810", "hs_description": "Waste and scrap of primary cells, primary batteries and electric accumulators: spent primary cells, spent primary batteries and spent electric accumulators", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 339151411.42706895, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7877877494467123, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "KOR", "hs_code": "740400", "hs_description": "Copper: waste and scrap", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2090218541.1281333, "current_below_peak_pct": 23.18840817047813, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1828111741430347, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "KOR", "hs_code": "170310", "hs_description": "Sugars: molasses, from sugar cane, resulting from the extraction or refining of sugar", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 78325263.73375897, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6558364603336033, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "KOR", "hs_code": "080390", "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: bananas, other than plantains, fresh or dried", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 312854604.63160694, "current_below_peak_pct": 54.87155605999698, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5912544661671233, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "KOR", "hs_code": "760200", "hs_description": "Aluminium: waste and scrap", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1662820443.8393452, "current_below_peak_pct": 37.47807751884228, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6039112898170628, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "KOR", "hs_code": "260400", "hs_description": "Nickel ores and concentrates", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 197010018.4216549, "current_below_peak_pct": 59.45926242301337, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.3516932793219849, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "KOR", "hs_code": "611020", "hs_description": "Jerseys, pullovers, cardigans, waistcoats and similar articles: of cotton, knitted or crocheted", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 527967630.8203731, "current_below_peak_pct": 32.743018382884074, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.817443021105084, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "KOR", "hs_code": "240120", "hs_description": "Tobacco: partly or wholly stemmed or stripped", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 239261393.40620697, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.507977808944414, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "KOR", "distance_km": 13031, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 1798533.9150910003, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 34757.71939879189, "importer_population": 51744.877, "importer_biz_entry_days": 8, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 14.6, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 85986.321551, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 5025.575278874668, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 14.599928046464647, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 14.600262464040407, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 57.65067594424242, "tariff_advantage_pp": -43.050413480202025 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GTM-KOR/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GTM-KOR/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GTM-KOR/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GTM-KOR/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GTM-KOR/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }